College Football Ratings · 2025

College Football Ratings — Week 12

136 FBS teams · 11 conferences · Through November 17, 2025 · Updated Jul 28, 11:22 PM ET

Home field worth 2.9 pts (estimated this season)

Team ratings

College football power ratings — SRS, strength of schedule, and Elo for every rated FBS team.
#TeamConfRecSRSSOSEloΔ Elo
1Ohio StateBig Ten10–0+26.60+1.492283+1.7
2Notre DameFBS Independents8–2+24.02+6.002131+26.8
3IndianaBig Ten11–0+23.43+2.302137+3.1
4OregonBig Ten9–1+22.05+3.202103+13.8
5UtahBig 128–2+21.09+2.281986+43.5
6Texas TechBig 1210–1+20.22-1.642041+5.4
7GeorgiaSEC9–1+20.10+7.152151+44.1
8MiamiACC8–2+18.85+2.901906+28.8
9Texas A&MSEC10–0+18.49+7.172079+1.8
10AlabamaSEC8–2+17.52+7.982015-41.5
11Ole MissSEC10–1+16.30+3.272075+6.4
12USCBig Ten8–2+16.19+4.221964+29.8
13BYUBig 129–1+15.82+3.301976+32.5
14OklahomaSEC8–2+14.94+5.111967+41.5
15TexasSEC7–3+13.76+4.671986-44.1
16VanderbiltSEC8–2+13.70+2.141944+0.0
17IowaBig Ten6–4+13.65+1.891876-29.8
18TennesseeSEC7–3+13.56+1.981862+4.0
19Penn StateBig Ten4–6+13.42+4.451832+17.8
20WashingtonBig Ten7–3+12.53+2.471842+7.9
21IllinoisBig Ten7–3+11.49+4.651853+15.4
22MissouriSEC7–3+11.21+1.631855+20.6
22SMUACC7–3+11.21-1.291926+0.0
24LSUSEC6–4+10.78+7.941821+4.3
25James MadisonSun Belt9–1+10.50-7.041916+7.1
26LouisvilleACC7–3+10.45+0.891818-23.6
27MichiganBig Ten8–2+9.95+3.061924+7.4
28South FloridaAmerican Athletic7–3+9.80-1.181801-36.9
29AuburnSEC4–6+8.97+6.941637+0.0
30Iowa StateBig 126–4+8.86+4.411750+0.0
31PittsburghACC7–3+8.73-0.861783-26.8
32ArizonaBig 127–3+8.38+0.651823+56.6
33North TexasAmerican Athletic9–1+8.26-5.951805+17.4
34South CarolinaSEC3–7+8.01+9.061682-1.8
35TCUBig 126–4+7.87+3.601755-32.5
36ClemsonACC5–5+7.83+2.501785+23.6
37VirginiaACC9–2+7.50-1.821806+100.7
38Arizona StateBig 127–3+7.35+5.431825+8.4
38KentuckySEC5–5+7.35+6.901778+63.1
40Kansas StateBig 125–5+7.24+3.871792+8.8
41Georgia TechACC9–1+7.13-2.791809+5.1
42Florida StateACC5–5+6.53+0.741628+46.5
43MemphisAmerican Athletic8–3+6.36-7.081722-33.4
44ArkansasSEC2–8+6.07+5.851577-4.3
45FloridaSEC3–7+6.04+9.421674-6.4
46CincinnatiBig 127–3+6.00-0.941727-56.6
47NebraskaBig Ten7–3+5.34-1.891765+0.0
48KansasBig 125–5+5.19+0.111656+0.0
49Boise StateMountain West6–4+4.71-2.681646-54.4
50ToledoMid-American6–4+4.55-8.951672+116.1
51HoustonBig 128–2+4.51-1.101701+0.0
52BaylorBig 125–5+4.43+2.311694-43.5
53East CarolinaAmerican Athletic7–3+4.41-5.961759+33.4
54DukeACC5–5+4.09+0.981696-100.7
55Mississippi StateSEC5–6+3.35+4.341588-20.6
56Old DominionSun Belt7–3+3.29-4.761736+52.3
57TulaneAmerican Athletic8–2+2.59-0.631779+11.6
58NorthwesternBig Ten5–5+2.23+1.511628-7.4
59Washington StatePac-125–5+1.38+0.631629+37.4
60San Diego StateMountain West8–2+1.11-7.211699+54.4
61RutgersBig Ten5–5+0.87+1.271677+0.0
62NC StateACC5–5+0.81+4.431663-28.8
63Wake ForestACC7–3+0.52-1.281683+47.7
64MarylandBig Ten4–6+0.36+0.651553-15.4
65ColoradoBig 123–7+0.29+4.971527+0.0
66UCFBig 124–6+0.26-0.551536-5.4
67UNLVMountain West8–2-0.46-7.391747+9.2
68WisconsinBig Ten3–7-0.51+10.051566-3.1
69MinnesotaBig Ten6–4-0.56+0.691760-13.8
70ArmyAmerican Athletic5–4-0.75-3.311654+0.0
71UConnFBS Independents8–3-0.93-10.731732+18.2
72OhioMid-American6–4-1.15-5.541708-51.6
73NavyAmerican Athletic8–2-1.41-6.571769+36.9
74Texas StateSun Belt4–6-1.76-5.731664+138.1
75UCLABig Ten3–7-2.01+8.441596-1.7
76West VirginiaBig 124–7-2.06+3.261612-8.4
77MarshallSun Belt5–5-2.23-5.201679+11.6
78Virginia TechACC3–7-2.25+2.871486-46.5
79UTSAAmerican Athletic5–5-2.54-3.621653+15.4
80CaliforniaACC6–4-2.86-3.591604+0.0
81Michigan StateBig Ten3–7-3.67+4.261435-17.8
82Western MichiganMid-American6–4-3.74-5.271636+51.6
83New MexicoMountain West7–3-3.97-6.411677+6.8
84SyracuseACC3–7-4.06+3.991478+0.0
85Utah StateMountain West5–5-4.21-4.981504-9.2
86Hawai'iMountain West7–3-4.28-8.671708+0.0
87Miami (OH)Mid-American5–5-4.52-6.331568-116.1
87PurdueBig Ten2–9-4.52+6.671403-7.9
89Fresno StateMountain West7–3-4.76-9.171686+32.1
89Louisiana TechConference USA5–5-4.76-8.341441-37.4
91North CarolinaACC4–6-5.64-3.611563-47.7
92Western KentuckyConference USA8–2-6.47-12.921556+6.1
93StanfordACC3–7-7.09+3.871462+0.0
94Missouri StateConference USA7–3-7.13-7.591652+11.5
95TroySun Belt6–4-7.55-6.511576-52.3
96Jacksonville StateConference USA7–3-7.57-13.491659+42.0
97Kennesaw StateConference USA7–3-7.75-8.991570-42.0
98Air ForceMountain West3–7-7.79-5.971498-18.2
99LouisianaSun Belt4–6-7.89-5.781557+0.0
100Boston CollegeACC1–10-7.95+1.811389-5.1
101Central MichiganMid-American6–4-7.98-11.091546+66.9
102Southern MissSun Belt7–3-8.08-8.351570-138.1
103TempleAmerican Athletic5–5-8.23-7.991468+0.0
104WyomingMountain West4–6-8.88-5.421487-32.1
105LibertyConference USA4–6-9.01-9.081488-54.8
106Georgia SouthernSun Belt5–5-9.22-6.571573+59.5
107South AlabamaSun Belt3–7-9.57-8.001450+61.3
108Coastal CarolinaSun Belt6–4-10.08-7.831644-59.5
109Arkansas StateSun Belt5–5-10.23-7.051587+0.0
110BuffaloMid-American5–5-11.04-14.561463-66.9
111Bowling GreenMid-American3–7-11.16-5.921278+0.0
112Florida InternationalConference USA5–5-11.20-9.271494+54.8
113App StateSun Belt4–6-11.58-8.491447-7.1
114Florida AtlanticAmerican Athletic4–6-12.02-7.161465-11.6
115San José StateMountain West3–7-12.05-5.821328-138.4
116Northern IllinoisMid-American3–7-12.07-8.091406+27.7
117Oklahoma StateBig 121–9-12.24+4.201336-8.8
118Oregon StatePac-122–9-12.51-2.151320-76.1
119RiceAmerican Athletic5–5-12.84-7.291463+0.0
120Colorado StateMountain West2–8-12.99-3.591384-6.8
121DelawareConference USA5–5-13.02-10.511433-50.9
122Eastern MichiganMid-American4–7-13.10-8.371432+89.5
123NevadaMountain West2–8-14.12-4.511376+138.4
124AkronMid-American4–7-14.41-11.331349-89.3
125UABAmerican Athletic3–7-14.53-2.941377-17.4
126TulsaAmerican Athletic3–7-14.80-6.171369+76.1
127UTEPConference USA2–8-15.02-8.481323-11.5
128New Mexico StateConference USA3–7-17.08-9.141318-4.0
129Ball StateMid-American4–6-17.31-7.381311-89.5
130Georgia StateSun Belt1–9-17.64-2.951239-11.6
131Kent StateMid-American4–6-18.02-6.561323+89.3
132Sam HoustonConference USA2–8-18.35-6.741358+50.9
133UL MonroeSun Belt3–7-18.57-7.841279-61.3
134Middle TennesseeConference USA1–9-21.04-8.311117-6.1
135CharlotteAmerican Athletic1–9-22.63-3.141224-15.4
136MassachusettsMid-American0–10-30.97-8.341026-27.7

Ratings are points relative to an average FBS team on a neutral field, so a difference between two teams is a projected spread. Ranks are re-based to the teams shown and are assigned on the displayed values, so teams with identical published ratings share a rank.

Conference strength

Average and best SRS rating per conference.
#ConferenceTeamsAvg SRSTop 25Best team
1SEC16+11.8810Georgia+20.10
FBS Independents2+11.541Notre Dame+24.02
2Big Ten18+8.168Ohio State+26.60
3Big 1216+6.453Utah+21.09
4ACC17+3.162Miami+18.85
5American Athletic14-4.170South Florida+9.80
Pac-122-5.560Washington State+1.38
6Mountain West12-5.640Boise State+4.71
7Sun Belt14-7.191James Madison+10.50
8Mid-American13-10.840Toledo+4.55
9Conference USA12-11.530Louisiana Tech-4.76

Leagues too small for a mean to mean anything are listed with their real numbers but are not ranked — a three-team independents bucket is not a league, and ranking it would say more about who happens to be in it than about its strength.

This week's movers

Risers

  • NevadaMountain West+138.4
  • Texas StateSun Belt+138.1
  • ToledoMid-American+116.1
  • VirginiaACC+100.7
  • Eastern MichiganMid-American+89.5

Fallers

  • San José StateMountain West-138.4
  • Southern MissSun Belt-138.1
  • Miami (OH)Mid-American-116.1
  • DukeACC-100.7
  • Ball StateMid-American-89.5

Change in Elo rating over this week's games.

Next week's projected margins

SRS-implied margins for next week's games.
GameProjectionHome win %
USC at OregonOregon by 8.871%
Kansas State at UtahUtah by 16.885%
Rutgers at Ohio StateOhio State by 28.796%
Missouri at OklahomaOklahoma by 6.766%
BYU at CincinnatiBYU by 6.933%
Louisville at SMUSMU by 3.759%
Kentucky at VanderbiltVanderbilt by 9.372%
Syracuse at Notre DameNotre Dame by 31.097%
Arkansas at TexasTexas by 10.675%
Tennessee at FloridaTennessee by 4.639%
Nebraska at Penn StatePenn State by 11.075%
Miami at Virginia TechMiami by 18.213%
Pittsburgh at Georgia TechGeorgia Tech by 1.353%
Kansas at Iowa StateIowa State by 6.666%
Baylor at ArizonaArizona by 6.967%
TCU at HoustonTCU by 0.449%
Washington State at James MadisonJames Madison by 12.177%
Illinois at WisconsinIllinois by 9.129%
Washington at UCLAWashington by 11.624%
Michigan at MarylandMichigan by 6.734%
Michigan State at IowaIowa by 20.390%
Arizona State at ColoradoArizona State by 4.140%
Florida State at NC StateFlorida State by 2.843%
Western Kentucky at LSULSU by 20.290%
East Carolina at UTSAEast Carolina by 4.040%

These ratings already include this week's results, so they project next week's games — projecting this week's with them would be reporting the past as a forecast. Games where either side is unrated are omitted rather than projected off a missing rating. Context, not betting advice.

Methodology
  • These ratings are computed here from final scores — they are not a republished third-party rating. Nothing on this page comes from a subscription or permission-gated system.
  • SRS is a ridge-regularized least-squares fit: each team's rating is chosen so that (home rating - away rating + home-field) best predicts the margin of every game played. It is a whole-season simultaneous solve, so a late upset re-weighs the entire season.
  • Elo walks the games in date order and updates after each one, with diminishing credit for blowouts. It reacts to a team improving mid-season in a way a season-long average cannot, and it carries a regressed rating in from last season.
  • Ratings are points relative to an average FBS team on a neutral field, so a difference between two teams is a projected spread.
  • Home-field advantage is ESTIMATED from the season's own games rather than assumed. Measured home margin has ranged from about 2 points (2020, no crowds) to nearly 8 by season, so a fixed constant would be wrong in both directions.
  • Strength of schedule is the average rating of the opponents a team actually played. Teams below Division I are pooled into a single opponent, so scheduling one cannot inflate a schedule rating.
  • Blowouts are capped before they enter the fit, so a 63-0 win counts as a decisive win rather than four times a 17-0 win.
  • Teams with fewer than four completed games are not rated: with a shorter schedule the rating reflects the prior more than the season.
  • Validated walk-forward on 3,867 held-out games (2018-2025), fitting only on games played before each week: SRS predicted game margin to 12.7 points mean absolute error, against 13.5 for the same model with the schedule adjustment removed and 16.1 for assuming the home team wins.
What these numbers can't tell you
  • These ratings see final scores only — no injuries, no weather, no personnel changes, no market information. A team missing its starting quarterback is rated exactly as if it were not.
  • The consensus betting market predicted the same held-out games better (12.1 vs 12.7 mean absolute error). Projected margins here are context, not betting advice, and should not be read as an edge.
  • Early-season ratings are unstable by construction. Through the first month a rating rests on three or four results and will move sharply; treat November's ratings as far more settled than September's.
  • FCS teams are rated internally because FBS teams play them, but are not listed. A rating is only comparable within the population it was anchored on.

FACT (final scores, schedule, site, conference affiliation), DERIVED (SRS, Elo, strength of schedule, projected margins)

Fitted constants
margin_cap
35
ridge
0.25
prior_weight
2
elo_k
46
elo_hfa
60
elo_carry
0.87
elo_epoch_season
2002
min_games_to_rank
4
More for this week