Nolan Arenado vs Miles Mikolas

The Almanac's Take

Mikolas has been genuinely rough this season — 5.47 ERA, 23 home runs allowed in 102 innings, and a 4.6 K/9 that gives hitters plenty of chances to do damage on contact. Arenado is hitting .237/.310/.417 with 14 home runs, so the power is still there even if the average has dipped. No platoon edge here, both righties. The head-to-head is only 14 plate appearances — 6 hits, 3 home runs, 91.6 mph average exit velocity — which is far too thin to treat as signal, though it does rhyme with what Mikolas's HR rate suggests he's capable of allowing this year.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.429

6-for-14

PA

14

HR

3

K

1

BB

0

Pitches seen

39

Avg exit velo

91.6 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-07-26Field Out · Sinker 94.4 mph · 62.0 mph EV
• 2026-07-26Field Out · Slider 89.7 mph · 96.8 mph EV
• 2019-09-12Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 91.6 mph · 92.7 mph EV
• 2019-09-12Home Run · 4-Seam Fastball 94.0 mph · 98.3 mph EV
• 2019-09-12Double · 4-Seam Fastball 91.0 mph · 108.5 mph EV
• 2019-08-22Home Run · Curveball 79.3 mph · 100.8 mph EV
• 2019-08-22Double Play · Curveball 79.3 mph · 76.2 mph EV
• 2019-08-22Field Out · Slider 88.3 mph · 92.2 mph EV
• 2018-08-24Home Run · Slider 85.1 mph · 100.7 mph EV
• 2018-08-24Strikeout · Curveball 78.1 mph
• 2018-08-24Single · Sinker 93.3 mph · 101.9 mph EV
• 2018-08-02Field Out · Curveball 78.1 mph · 64.0 mph EV
• 2018-08-02Single · 4-Seam Fastball 92.0 mph · 94.3 mph EV
• 2018-08-02Field Out · Slider 89.3 mph · 102.8 mph EV