MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

June 27, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

2 games · 2 starters · Updated Jul 31, 6:30 AM ET

The Almanac's Take

Two-game Saturday with thin coverage — both projections carry medium confidence. Cole is the arm to know: projected 5.9 Ks over 6.2 IP against Boston with a matchup graded elite, though the Fenway park factor bumps run-scoring 6%, which keeps his 2.5 projected ER honest. His 3.93 season ERA trails the projection slightly, so the gap is real but not dramatic. Teng draws an unfavorable matchup against Detroit and projects for just 3.9 IP and 4.0 Ks — the short leash alone limits his ceiling regardless of the 2.1 projected ER.

#1Gerrit Cole(RHP)

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Fenway Park · Final

GS: 12
IP: 68.0
W-L: 4-5
ERA: 3.57
WHIP: 1.09
K/9: 9.70
BB/9: 1.90
K/BB: 5.21

Projection

Matchup · favorable

IP: 6.2
K: 5.9
ER: 2.5
H: 5.6
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.5
QS%: 78%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 16.3
Floor: 3.4
Ceiling: 29.2
Rest: 5d

Fenway Park boosts run scoring by 6%
low sample

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Gerrit Cole.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-06-22	4.3	9	5	1	5	1	89	L
2026-06-16	6.0	3	2	2	6	1	90	W
2026-06-09	4.0	5	2	2	4	0	83	—
2026-06-03	5.3	6	4	1	2	3	83	L
2026-05-27	6.7	4	0	0	10	0	79	W

#2Kai-Wei Teng(RHP)

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers

Comerica Park · Final

GS: 25
IP: 68.3
W-L: 5-6
ERA: 4.35
WHIP: 1.35
K/9: 8.80
BB/9: 4.00
K/BB: 2.23

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 3.9
K: 4.0
ER: 2.1
H: 3.9
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.6
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 9.1
Floor: 1.9
Ceiling: 16.3
Rest: 6d

low sample

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Kai-Wei Teng.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-06-21	6.0	4	1	1	4	0	83	W
2026-06-15	3.3	6	5	2	9	3	81	L
2026-06-09	4.0	7	5	3	5	0	93	L
2026-06-04	5.0	7	4	2	1	1	87	L
2026-05-29	5.0	3	3	4	7	2	91	—

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