Spencer Steer vs Paul Skenes

The Almanac's Take

Steer comes in as a right-handed hitter facing Skenes, who also throws right, so there's no platoon edge here. Skenes has been sharp this season — 10.5 K/9, 1.05 WHIP, and a 5.57 K/BB over 110 innings — and Steer's 22.5 K% and .751 OPS don't scream upside against that profile. The head-to-head is only 17 PA, barely a footnote: Steer hit .294 in that stretch but punched out 8 times with zero walks, and the 87.3 mph average exit velocity suggests weak contact even on balls in play. Season form and pitch-mix both tilt toward Skenes here.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.294

5-for-17

PA

17

HR

0

K

8

BB

0

Pitches seen

75

Avg exit velo

87.3 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-06-26Strikeout · Changeup 88.1 mph
• 2026-06-26Single · 4-Seam Fastball 97.1 mph · 79.6 mph EV
• 2026-04-01Field Out · Sinker 97.3 mph · 62.4 mph EV
• 2026-04-01Strikeout · Changeup 90.1 mph
• 2025-09-24Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 98.0 mph
• 2025-09-24Single · Sinker 98.0 mph · 101.0 mph EV
• 2025-09-24Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 97.6 mph
• 2025-08-07Field Out · Sweeper 84.6 mph · 87.0 mph EV
• 2025-08-07Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 99.0 mph
• 2025-08-07Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 99.2 mph · 98.9 mph EV
• 2024-09-22Strikeout · Changeup 88.1 mph
• 2024-09-22Strikeout · Changeup 87.2 mph
• 2024-08-22Field Out · Split-Finger 94.5 mph · 85.9 mph EV
• 2024-08-22Single · Sweeper 84.6 mph · 72.3 mph EV
• 2024-06-17Single · Split-Finger 94.0 mph · 94.8 mph EV
• 2024-06-17Strikeout · Split-Finger 95.1 mph
• 2024-06-17Double · 4-Seam Fastball 100.5 mph · 103.7 mph EV