Spencer Steer vs Paul Skenes

The Almanac's Take

Steer carries a solid .803 OPS and 9.7% walk rate into this spot, but the platoon picture cuts against him — same-handed righty-on-righty means no conventional edge at the plate. Skenes has been genuinely difficult this season: 0.90 WHIP, 10.0 K/9, and a 7.2 K/BB that reflects near-total command. The 15-PA head-to-head is too thin to lean on, though the 7 strikeouts and zero walks in that sample rhyme with what Skenes is doing to everyone. Steer's 20.7% strikeout rate this year adds another layer of concern. Tough matchup to play through.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.267

4-for-15

PA

15

HR

0

K

7

BB

0

Pitches seen

65

Avg exit velo

88.2 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-04-01Field Out · Sinker 97.3 mph · 62.4 mph EV
• 2026-04-01Strikeout · Changeup 90.1 mph
• 2025-09-24Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 98.0 mph
• 2025-09-24Single · Sinker 98.0 mph · 101.0 mph EV
• 2025-09-24Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 97.6 mph
• 2025-08-07Field Out · Sweeper 84.6 mph · 87.0 mph EV
• 2025-08-07Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 99.0 mph
• 2025-08-07Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 99.2 mph · 98.9 mph EV
• 2024-09-22Strikeout · Changeup 88.1 mph
• 2024-09-22Strikeout · Changeup 87.2 mph
• 2024-08-22Field Out · Split-Finger 94.5 mph · 85.9 mph EV
• 2024-08-22Single · Sweeper 84.6 mph · 72.3 mph EV
• 2024-06-17Single · Split-Finger 94.0 mph · 94.8 mph EV
• 2024-06-17Strikeout · Split-Finger 95.1 mph
• 2024-06-17Double · 4-Seam Fastball 100.5 mph · 103.7 mph EV