Paul Skenes
Pittsburgh Pirates · No. 30 · P

Paul Skenes

6' 6", 260 lbs·Age 24·Bats R / Throws R
↑ HotL2 games
Pitcher archetype· SP· DERIVED
Power / KOverpowering stuff — premium velocity and whiffs, strikeouts in bunches.2024–2026 · 6,727 pitches · 98.0 mph fastball
2026 · 19 G
3.93
ERA
8-7
W-L
103.0
IP
1.03
WHIP
120
SO
21
BB
10.5
K/9
0
SV
The Almanac's Take

The numbers scream ace, but here's the stunner: Skenes has already notched a Cy Young award before his 25th birthday, something only Dwight Gooden accomplished in the modern era. His 1.97 career ERA across 321 innings isn't a small sample fluke — it's sustained dominance backed by 386 strikeouts.

What separates Skenes from other young flamethrowers is command. That 2024 Cy Young season featured just 11 losses despite Pittsburgh's offensive limitations, suggesting he's already mastered pitching with leads and keeping his team in games. The 170 strikeouts in his rookie campaign signal plus stuff, but the 1.96 ERA reveals advanced sequencing.

The trajectory mirrors peak Pedro Martinez more than power-only prospects who flame out. With back-to-back All-Star nods already secured, Skenes has established himself as the rare pitcher who arrives fully formed.

Career Highs
1.96
Best ERA · 2024
11
Most W · 2024
216
Most K · 2025
0.95
Best WHIP · 2025
Career Arc · ERA
3 seasons
Statistical Comps
Last 10 Games
DateIPHERBBSOHRDec
Jul 125.33332170W
Jul 7682140W
Jul 1467252L
Jun 26564270
Jun 20642281L
Jun 146421102L
Jun 9662270
Jun 34.66773170
May 23594121L
May 17565171L

Career · Pitching

3 seasons
YearTeamGIPWLERAERA+SOWHIP
202423133.01131.961700.95
202532187.210101.972160.95
202621115.1983.431381.04
Career76435.33021524
Pitch Movement Map

Each pitch type this pitcher throws regularly, placed by how the ball moves — sideways break across, rise or drop down the side. Each dotted ring holds about the middle 85% of the league’s pitches of that type, so a cluster sitting outside its ring is movement most pitchers don’t have.

RHP · 6,725 pitches · 2024–2026
-24-12+12+24-24-12+12+24← GLOVE SIDEARM SIDE →HORIZONTAL BREAK (IN)INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (IN)FFFSSTCHSICUSL
FF · 4-Seam Fastball39.0% · 98.1 mph
FS · Split-Finger17.9% · 93.8 mph
ST · Sweeper14.3% · 84.5 mph
CH · Changeup10.0% · 88.5 mph
SI · Sinker7.5% · 97.3 mph
CU · Curveball5.7% · 83.3 mph
SL · Slider5.6% · 85.9 mph

The dots — a sample of this pitcher’s regular-season pitches, placed by movement: left–right is horizontal break, up–down is induced vertical break (what the pitch does beyond gravity). The view is handedness-neutral — positive break is toward the pitcher’s arm side for lefties and righties alike, so every sinker runs right and every sweeper breaks left, whoever throws it.

The dotted rings — about the middle 85% of where each pitch type lands league-wide (a 2-standard-deviation spread), measured from 7.5 million regular-season pitches since 2015. A cluster sitting well outside its ring is movement most of the league doesn’t get. Spring training and the postseason are excluded.

Ask The Almanac about Paul Skenes.

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