2 games · 2 starters · Updated Aug 17, 11:33 AM ET
The Almanac's Take
Two-game slate, so the choice is straightforward: Trevor Rogers against Tampa Bay is the arm worth building around. The Rays carry a .288 xwOBA against lefties, and Rogers projects for 6.2 IP, 5.9 Ks, and 1.7 ER — the cleanest projected line on the board by a wide margin. His 4.21 season ERA undersells the matchup advantage here, and confidence is flagged high. Lake Bachar is the only alternative, but 4.6 projected innings on short rest against Boston with a 5.14 ERA and an unfavorable matchup makes him a difficult roster at any number.
#1Trevor Rogers(LHP)
Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field · Final
GS
23
IP
125.7
W-L
8-8
ERA
4.15
WHIP
1.25
K/9
7.70
BB/9
2.50
K/BB
3.09
Projection
Matchup · neutral
IP
5.6
K
5.4
ER
1.5
H
4.5
HR
0.30
BB
1.1
QS%
48%
Win%
45%
DK pts
16.9
Floor
3.5
Ceiling
30.3
Rest
6d
Tropicana Field suppresses run scoring by 5%
Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral
Tampa Bay Rays lineup has a 0.289 xwOBA vs LHP — favorable matchup