MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

August 15, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

1 game · 2 starters · Updated Aug 15, 12:10 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

Two starters on the board today, and Melton is the obvious anchor — projected 6.6 Ks over 6.2 innings against Chicago with a 1.46 season ERA backing the 2.0 projected ER. The matchup grades out favorably, confidence is high, and there are no workload flags to talk yourself out of. On the other side, Anthony Kay draws an unfavorable matchup against Detroit and carries 7 days of extended rest tagged as a rust risk — the 4.5 projected innings and 4.4 projected Ks reflect that ceiling. Thin slate, but Melton's projection is clean.

#1Troy Melton(RHP)

Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox

GS
13
IP
80.0
W-L
7-1
ERA
1.46
WHIP
0.90
K/9
7.80
BB/9
2.70
K/BB
2.88

Projection

Matchup · elite
IP
6.2
K
6.6
ER
2.0
H
5.2
HR
0.30
BB
2.2
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
18.5
Floor
3.8
Ceiling
33.2
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Troy Melton.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-08-096.04015092
2026-08-047.03024097W
2026-07-287.03025092W
2026-07-235.05245190
2026-07-175.74149094

#2Anthony Kay(LHP)

Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers

GS
24
IP
116.0
W-L
9-5
ERA
4.03
WHIP
1.34
K/9
7.30
BB/9
3.30
K/BB
2.19

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.4
ER
2.4
H
4.5
HR
0.30
BB
1.3
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
10.5
Floor
2.2
Ceiling
18.8
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Anthony Kay.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-08-086.06214183W
2026-08-026.37013089W
2026-07-285.35317097L
2026-07-225.05224179W
2026-07-174.02235183

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