2 games · 2 starters · Updated Aug 9, 12:21 PM ET
Two-game slate today, so the decision is straightforward. Ginn is the arm: 5.7 projected strikeouts over 5.6 innings against Boston in a neutral matchup, and the 3.59 season ERA backs a high-confidence projection with no flags attached. That's a clean floor with reasonable upside for such a short slate. Lord is the other option, but 50 days of extended rest is a real concern — the projection reflects it, with only 3.9 innings and 3.1 strikeouts projected against Cincinnati. Unless something changes your read on that rust risk, Ginn is the clear first look here.
vs Boston Red Sox
| Date | IP | H | ER | BB | K | HR | P | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 91 | — |
| 2026-07-18 | 6.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 82 | W |
| 2026-07-12 | 4.3 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 86 | L |
| 2026-07-07 | 4.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 61 | L |
| 2026-07-01 | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 104 | W |
vs Cincinnati Reds
| Date | IP | H | ER | BB | K | HR | P | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | 3.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 36 | H |
| 2026-06-15 | 3.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 48 | W |
| 2026-05-23 | 3.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 47 | H |
| 2026-05-19 | 3.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 40 | H |
| 2026-04-15 | 3.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 39 | — |
Ask The Almanac about an arm's arsenal, the opposing lineup's xwOBA vs hand, or recent velocity trends.