MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

August 4, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

15 games · 30 starters · Updated Aug 4, 3:35 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

Skubal is the lead arm today — 6.9 projected Ks over 6.2 innings against the Cubs, 1.7 projected ER, and a 2.79 ERA anchoring high-confidence backing. Cantillo matches the K projection at 6.9 with the same 6.2 IP floor against the Mets, though his 4.04 ERA signals more volatility in the floor. Henderson (6.7 projected Ks, 1.9 ER) is interesting against Pittsburgh but carries an 8-day extended rest flag that softens the read. Dobbins draws an elite matchup tag versus the Yankees but also comes off 8 days rest — two favorable-context arms with the same rust caveat splitting attention on a deep 30-starter slate.

#1Tarik Skubal(RHP)

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs

Wrigley Field · Scheduled

GS: 16
IP: 96.7
W-L: 7-5
ERA: 2.79
WHIP: 0.91
K/9: 10.80
BB/9: 1.30
K/BB: 8.29

Projection

Matchup · favorable

IP: 6.2
K: 6.9
ER: 1.7
H: 5.0
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.2
QS%: 80%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 20.5
Floor: 4.2
Ceiling: 36.8
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Tarik Skubal.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-29	6.7	4	3	1	6	0	92	—
2026-07-24	7.3	4	1	2	12	0	91	W
2026-07-18	7.0	5	0	0	9	0	87	W
2026-07-12	5.0	4	2	1	5	0	93	L
2026-07-07	5.0	5	1	2	9	1	96	W

#2Jared Jones(RHP)

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers

American Family Field · Scheduled

GS: 11
IP: 52.0
W-L: 2-2
ERA: 3.81
WHIP: 1.02
K/9: 10.00
BB/9: 2.60
K/BB: 3.87

Projection

Matchup · favorable

IP: 6.2
K: 6.6
ER: 1.7
H: 5.0
HR: 0.30
BB: 1.5
QS%: 80%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 19.7
Floor: 4.1
Ceiling: 35.3
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Jared Jones.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-29	6.0	4	3	2	5	1	77	L
2026-07-24	6.0	2	1	1	5	1	83	—
2026-07-18	5.0	3	1	1	9	0	74	W
2026-07-08	6.0	0	0	0	8	0	77	—
2026-07-02	4.0	2	1	2	6	0	73	—

#3Logan Henderson(RHP)

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates

American Family Field · Scheduled

GS: 9
IP: 44.0
W-L: 5-1
ERA: 2.66
WHIP: 0.91
K/9: 11.00
BB/9: 1.80
K/BB: 6.00

Projection

Matchup · favorable

IP: 6.2
K: 6.7
ER: 1.9
H: 5.1
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.5
QS%: 80%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 19.4
Floor: 4.0
Ceiling: 34.8
Rest: 7d

Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Logan Henderson.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-28	5.7	2	0	2	7	0	93	W
2026-07-22	5.0	5	2	0	9	2	80	W
2026-07-17	5.0	3	1	0	4	1	73	—
2026-07-09	5.3	3	3	1	4	0	76	W
2026-05-22	5.0	2	0	3	7	0	85	W

#4Joey Cantillo(RHP)

Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets

Progressive Field · Pre-Game

GS: 23
IP: 113.7
W-L: 8-6
ERA: 4.04
WHIP: 1.45
K/9: 9.80
BB/9: 4.30
K/BB: 2.30

Projection

Matchup · favorable

IP: 6.2
K: 6.9
ER: 2.2
H: 5.4
HR: 0.30
BB: 2.4
QS%: 80%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 18.5
Floor: 3.8
Ceiling: 33.2
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Joey Cantillo.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-29	4.0	4	0	1	8	0	89	—
2026-07-24	3.7	8	5	1	4	1	74	L
2026-07-19	5.0	7	4	3	7	0	80	L
2026-07-12	5.0	6	1	2	9	0	85	W
2026-07-07	5.0	6	0	3	7	0	94	L

#5Gabriel Hughes(RHP)

Colorado Rockies vs Tampa Bay Rays

Coors Field · Scheduled

GS: 5
IP: 24.3
W-L: 0-3
ERA: 3.33
WHIP: 1.19
K/9: 7.80
BB/9: 2.60
K/BB: 3.00

Projection

Matchup · elite

IP: 6.2
K: 5.5
ER: 1.2
H: 4.7
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.7
QS%: 80%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 18.5
Floor: 3.8
Ceiling: 33.2
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Gabriel Hughes.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	P	Dec
2026-07-29	5.0	6	3	1	2	76	L
2026-07-22	5.0	5	1	1	5	88	L
2026-07-17	5.3	5	2	2	6	82	L
2026-07-08	6.0	4	3	2	7	94	—
2026-07-03	3.0	2	0	1	1	53	S

#6Hunter Dobbins(RHP)

St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees

Yankee Stadium · Pre-Game

GS: 7
IP: 33.7
W-L: 2-1
ERA: 3.74
WHIP: 1.31
K/9: 8.60
BB/9: 2.90
K/BB: 2.91

Projection

Matchup · elite

IP: 6.2
K: 6.4
ER: 2.0
H: 5.3
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.6
QS%: 80%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 18.4
Floor: 3.8
Ceiling: 33.0
Rest: 8d

Extended rest (8 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Hunter Dobbins.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-27	5.3	6	4	1	4	1	85	—
2026-07-22	6.0	6	0	0	5	0	86	W
2026-07-07	5.0	4	3	3	4	0	92	L
2026-06-11	4.3	7	3	0	5	2	88	—
2026-06-05	5.0	4	0	2	6	0	78	W

#7Jesús Luzardo(RHP)

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals

Citizens Bank Park · Pre-Game

GS: 22
IP: 128.7
W-L: 9-5
ERA: 3.92
WHIP: 1.19
K/9: 11.00
BB/9: 2.90
K/BB: 3.83

Projection

Matchup · neutral

IP: 6.2
K: 6.5
ER: 2.5
H: 5.5
HR: 0.30
BB: 1.9
QS%: 78%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 17.3
Floor: 3.6
Ceiling: 31.0
Rest: 6d

Washington Nationals has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Jesús Luzardo.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-29	6.3	6	6	3	5	1	100	—
2026-07-24	7.0	3	1	1	9	1	105	L
2026-07-18	5.0	2	1	2	7	1	90	W
2026-07-09	7.0	2	0	2	11	0	96	W
2026-07-04	6.0	4	1	0	9	0	95	W

#8Joe Ryan(RHP)

Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals

Kauffman Stadium · Pre-Game

GS: 22
IP: 120.3
W-L: 6-7
ERA: 3.96
WHIP: 1.12
K/9: 10.10
BB/9: 1.90
K/BB: 5.40

Projection

Matchup · favorable

IP: 5.6
K: 5.7
ER: 1.8
H: 4.7
HR: 0.30
BB: 0.9
QS%: 45%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 16.9
Floor: 3.5
Ceiling: 30.3
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Joe Ryan.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-29	6.0	8	4	0	4	1	93	L
2026-07-20	4.0	10	8	0	3	6	78	L
2026-07-11	6.0	6	2	2	6	0	94	—
2026-07-05	7.0	3	0	1	9	0	106	W
2026-06-30	4.0	6	6	3	5	1	91	L

#9Troy Melton(RHP)

Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners

T-Mobile Park · Scheduled

GS: 11
IP: 67.0
W-L: 6-1
ERA: 1.75
WHIP: 0.93
K/9: 8.10
BB/9: 2.80
K/BB: 2.86

Projection

Matchup · neutral

IP: 5.6
K: 5.8
ER: 2.1
H: 4.9
HR: 0.30
BB: 2.3
QS%: 43%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 15.5
Floor: 3.2
Ceiling: 27.8
Rest: 7d

Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Troy Melton.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-28	7.0	3	0	2	5	0	92	W
2026-07-23	5.0	5	2	4	5	1	90	—
2026-07-17	5.7	4	1	4	9	0	94	—
2026-07-08	5.3	4	0	1	9	0	91	W
2026-07-01	6.3	2	0	1	7	0	84	—

#10MacKenzie Gore(RHP)

Texas Rangers vs San Francisco Giants

Globe Life Field · Scheduled

GS: 23
IP: 122.7
W-L: 6-9
ERA: 4.77
WHIP: 1.26
K/9: 10.00
BB/9: 3.20
K/BB: 3.09

Projection

Matchup · neutral

IP: 5.6
K: 5.4
ER: 2.2
H: 5.0
HR: 0.30
BB: 1.5
QS%: 42%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 14.9
Floor: 3.1
Ceiling: 26.7
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for MacKenzie Gore.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-29	7.0	3	3	0	9	2	95	L
2026-07-24	5.0	7	3	2	5	0	96	—
2026-07-18	5.7	6	5	1	7	2	87	W
2026-07-12	4.0	2	1	1	4	1	65	—
2026-07-08	5.0	9	7	1	7	2	90	L

#11Freddy Peralta(RHP)

Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies

Coors Field · Scheduled

GS: 22
IP: 113.7
W-L: 5-9
ERA: 4.83
WHIP: 1.47
K/9: 8.90
BB/9: 3.80
K/BB: 2.35

Projection

Matchup · favorable

IP: 5.6
K: 5.4
ER: 2.0
H: 4.9
HR: 0.20
BB: 2.3
QS%: 44%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 14.9
Floor: 3.1
Ceiling: 26.7
Rest: 9d

Extended rest (9 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Freddy Peralta.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-26	4.0	6	2	2	3	0	93	—
2026-07-20	5.3	8	7	2	6	2	107	L
2026-07-11	4.3	3	2	5	6	1	92	L
2026-07-06	4.7	6	1	1	6	1	103	—
2026-07-01	4.0	7	5	3	4	1	91	L

#12J.T. Ginn(RHP)

Athletics vs Cincinnati Reds

Great American Ball Park · Pre-Game

GS: 22
IP: 109.3
W-L: 8-6
ERA: 3.54
WHIP: 1.23
K/9: 8.20
BB/9: 4.00
K/BB: 2.04

Projection

Matchup · neutral

IP: 5.2
K: 5.7
ER: 2.1
H: 4.7
HR: 0.30
BB: 2.1
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 14.6
Floor: 3.0
Ceiling: 26.2
Rest: 17d

Fastball velocity declining vs season average — fatigue concern
Extended rest (17 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for J.T. Ginn.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-18	6.3	1	0	3	7	0	82	W
2026-07-12	4.3	6	8	3	7	2	86	L
2026-07-07	4.0	2	2	2	4	1	61	L
2026-07-01	6.0	3	1	5	4	1	104	W
2026-06-26	6.0	8	3	1	5	1	89	W

#13Ryan Weathers(RHP)

New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals

Yankee Stadium · Pre-Game

GS: 21
IP: 115.0
W-L: 4-7
ERA: 3.99
WHIP: 1.24
K/9: 9.90
BB/9: 2.60
K/BB: 3.82

Projection

Matchup · neutral

IP: 5.6
K: 5.6
ER: 2.5
H: 5.2
HR: 0.30
BB: 1.7
QS%: 40%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 14.5
Floor: 3.0
Ceiling: 26.0
Rest: 5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Ryan Weathers.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-30	7.0	3	0	3	4	0	106	—
2026-07-25	5.7	6	1	1	7	0	97	W
2026-07-20	4.7	7	5	2	5	1	99	—
2026-07-10	5.3	6	1	0	6	0	91	—
2026-07-05	4.0	6	4	2	6	0	88	L

#14Emerson Hancock(RHP)

Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers

T-Mobile Park · Scheduled

GS: 20
IP: 110.3
W-L: 6-5
ERA: 3.26
WHIP: 1.04
K/9: 8.30
BB/9: 2.20
K/BB: 3.78

Projection

Matchup · neutral

IP: 5.6
K: 5.5
ER: 2.6
H: 5.3
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.2
QS%: 39%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 14.3
Floor: 3.0
Ceiling: 25.6
Rest: 6d

Detroit Tigers has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Emerson Hancock.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-29	5.0	8	3	1	5	1	92	L
2026-07-22	6.0	5	2	1	3	1	95	—
2026-07-05	7.0	2	0	2	5	0	92	W
2026-06-28	5.7	5	1	3	6	0	98	—
2026-06-20	5.3	4	5	2	6	1	76	L

#15Trey Yesavage(RHP)

Toronto Blue Jays vs Houston Astros

Daikin Park · Scheduled

GS: 17
IP: 91.7
W-L: 5-5
ERA: 3.73
WHIP: 1.16
K/9: 8.90
BB/9: 4.40
K/BB: 2.02

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 5.6
K: 5.8
ER: 2.5
H: 5.2
HR: 0.30
BB: 2.8
QS%: 40%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 14.2
Floor: 2.9
Ceiling: 25.5
Rest: 6d

Houston Astros has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Trey Yesavage.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-29	6.7	3	1	3	4	0	97	W
2026-07-24	4.0	5	3	1	9	2	93	—
2026-07-19	6.0	5	3	2	9	1	95	L
2026-07-05	6.0	3	2	2	7	1	96	L
2026-06-29	6.7	3	1	0	3	1	94	W

#16Patrick Sandoval(RHP)

Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox

Fenway Park · Pre-Game

GS: 4
IP: 19.0
W-L: 0-0
ERA: 3.32
WHIP: 1.58
K/9: 9.50
BB/9: 2.80
K/BB: 3.33

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 5.1
K: 5.3
ER: 2.3
H: 4.8
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.5
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 13.5
Floor: 2.8
Ceiling: 24.2
Rest: 6d

Last 4 Starts

Recent starts for Patrick Sandoval.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-29	5.0	5	2	2	7	2	92	—
2026-07-24	4.7	5	0	2	3	0	84	—
2026-07-18	5.0	9	4	1	5	1	76	—
2026-07-09	4.3	5	1	1	5	0	65	—

#17Brady Singer(RHP)

Cincinnati Reds vs Athletics

Great American Ball Park · Pre-Game

GS: 21
IP: 107.7
W-L: 5-10
ERA: 4.35
WHIP: 1.42
K/9: 7.60
BB/9: 3.00
K/BB: 2.53

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 5.1
K: 5.0
ER: 2.3
H: 4.7
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.6
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 12.9
Floor: 2.7
Ceiling: 23.1
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Brady Singer.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-29	4.3	6	0	4	3	0	100	L
2026-07-22	6.7	6	3	1	6	0	101	W
2026-07-17	7.0	4	2	0	6	1	96	W
2026-07-09	7.3	4	1	1	5	0	89	L
2026-07-03	5.0	3	2	5	6	1	93	L

#18Ryan Gusto(RHP)

Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves

Truist Park · Pre-Game

GS: 13
IP: 39.0
W-L: 0-2
ERA: 5.31
WHIP: 1.44
K/9: 7.80
BB/9: 3.00
K/BB: 2.62

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 5.1
K: 5.2
ER: 2.5
H: 4.9
HR: 0.30
BB: 1.4
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 12.9
Floor: 2.7
Ceiling: 23.1
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Ryan Gusto.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-29	5.0	9	6	2	3	1	79	—
2026-07-24	3.3	2	1	1	4	0	57	—
2026-07-02	3.0	4	3	2	2	1	51	—
2026-06-27	3.3	3	0	1	4	0	63	—
2026-06-21	4.3	3	1	2	6	0	68	—

#19Blade Tidwell(RHP)

San Francisco Giants vs Texas Rangers

Globe Life Field · Scheduled

GS: 8
IP: 12.0
W-L: 0-0
ERA: 3.00
WHIP: 1.08
K/9: 7.50
BB/9: 2.20
K/BB: 3.33

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 5.1
K: 5.3
ER: 2.5
H: 4.9
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.9
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 12.8
Floor: 2.6
Ceiling: 23.0
Rest: 124d

Extended rest (124 days) — rust risk
low sample

Last 1 Start

Recent starts for Blade Tidwell.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-04-02	3.0	2	0	0	2	0	37	S

#20Eduardo Rodriguez(RHP)

Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres

Chase Field · Scheduled

GS: 22
IP: 130.7
W-L: 10-3
ERA: 2.48
WHIP: 1.21
K/9: 6.10
BB/9: 3.10
K/BB: 1.96

Projection

Matchup · neutral

IP: 5.1
K: 4.8
ER: 2.3
H: 4.7
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.5
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 12.6
Floor: 2.6
Ceiling: 22.6
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Eduardo Rodriguez.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-29	8.0	5	0	1	2	0	105	W
2026-07-24	6.0	7	2	3	4	1	98	W
2026-07-10	6.0	7	2	1	5	2	87	W
2026-07-05	6.0	5	2	0	3	1	102	L
2026-06-29	7.0	5	1	0	1	0	91	W

#21Randy Vásquez(RHP)

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Chase Field · Scheduled

GS: 21
IP: 95.0
W-L: 6-6
ERA: 4.55
WHIP: 1.47
K/9: 6.10
BB/9: 2.80
K/BB: 2.13

Projection

Matchup · neutral

IP: 5.1
K: 4.5
ER: 2.2
H: 4.7
HR: 0.30
BB: 1.5
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 12.2
Floor: 2.5
Ceiling: 21.9
Rest: 5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Randy Vásquez.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-30	4.7	3	0	1	1	0	65	—
2026-07-19	3.0	3	0	0	2	0	32	H
2026-07-02	3.0	7	4	1	0	1	50	—
2026-06-27	3.3	8	5	1	1	2	79	L
2026-06-19	3.3	8	6	3	1	0	72	L

#22Javier Assad(RHP)

Chicago Cubs vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Wrigley Field · Scheduled

GS: 18
IP: 69.7
W-L: 6-1
ERA: 3.75
WHIP: 1.16
K/9: 6.20
BB/9: 2.30
K/BB: 2.67

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 5.1
K: 4.8
ER: 2.7
H: 5.0
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.3
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 11.7
Floor: 2.4
Ceiling: 21.0
Rest: 5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Javier Assad.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-30	4.3	6	1	2	6	0	83	—
2026-07-25	3.0	1	0	0	3	0	32	S
2026-07-11	5.0	7	2	0	4	2	82	—
2026-07-05	4.7	2	0	2	2	0	80	—
2026-06-24	5.0	5	3	2	5	2	83	W

#23Randy Dobnak(RHP)

Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins

Kauffman Stadium · Pre-Game

GS: 5
IP: 26.0
W-L: 1-0
ERA: 1.04
WHIP: 1.19
K/9: 4.80
BB/9: 3.50
K/BB: 1.40

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 4.5
K: 4.2
ER: 1.8
H: 4.0
HR: 0.10
BB: 1.7
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 11.3
Floor: 2.3
Ceiling: 20.3
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Randy Dobnak.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-29	7.0	4	0	1	4	0	101	W
2026-07-23	5.0	4	0	1	3	0	76	—
2026-07-18	4.3	4	1	4	3	1	96	—
2026-07-08	5.7	3	0	3	2	0	95	—
2026-07-02	4.0	6	2	1	2	1	64	—

#24Sean Manaea(RHP)

New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians

Progressive Field · Pre-Game

GS: 23
IP: 91.7
W-L: 2-5
ERA: 4.71
WHIP: 1.35
K/9: 8.60
BB/9: 2.90
K/BB: 2.93

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 4.5
K: 4.1
ER: 1.9
H: 4.1
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.3
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 11.1
Floor: 2.3
Ceiling: 19.9
Rest: 6d

Cleveland Guardians struggles against this pitch mix — arsenal matchup favors pitcher

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Sean Manaea.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-29	6.0	5	2	2	4	1	89	—
2026-07-24	6.0	6	1	2	3	0	84	—
2026-07-18	4.7	7	4	2	7	2	99	L
2026-07-09	7.0	6	2	1	6	2	97	W
2026-07-04	5.0	6	6	1	4	2	108	L

#25Davis Martin(RHP)

Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox

Fenway Park · Pre-Game

GS: 20
IP: 111.0
W-L: 8-5
ERA: 3.73
WHIP: 1.30
K/9: 8.20
BB/9: 2.70
K/BB: 3.06

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 4.5
K: 4.2
ER: 2.0
H: 4.2
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.2
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 11.1
Floor: 2.3
Ceiling: 19.9
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Davis Martin.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-29	6.0	5	4	2	6	1	106	—
2026-07-24	5.0	6	4	0	3	0	88	—
2026-07-18	5.7	4	1	2	5	0	85	L
2026-07-08	4.0	6	5	2	2	0	84	L
2026-07-02	3.3	6	2	5	0	0	73	—

#26Carson Palmquist(RHP)

Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies

Citizens Bank Park · Pre-Game

GS: 10
IP: 16.0
W-L: 0-1
ERA: 7.31
WHIP: 1.63
K/9: 8.40
BB/9: 3.90
K/BB: 2.14

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 4.5
K: 4.5
ER: 2.3
H: 4.4
HR: 0.20
BB: 2.3
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 10.3
Floor: 2.1
Ceiling: 18.5
Rest: 25d

Extended rest (25 days) — rust risk

Last 2 Starts

Recent starts for Carson Palmquist.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-10	3.0	3	1	0	4	1	45	—
2026-06-24	3.3	2	1	1	3	0	58	—

#27Cade Povich(RHP)

Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Angels

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Pre-Game

GS: 4
IP: 19.3
W-L: 1-1
ERA: 5.12
WHIP: 1.34
K/9: 5.60
BB/9: 3.30
K/BB: 1.71

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 3.9
K: 4.2
ER: 2.0
H: 3.8
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.4
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 9.9
Floor: 2.0
Ceiling: 17.8
Rest: 89d

Extended rest (89 days) — rust risk

Last 4 Starts

Recent starts for Cade Povich.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-05-07	3.0	3	3	2	1	1	43	—
2026-05-01	4.0	7	5	2	4	2	77	L
2026-04-12	6.7	5	1	0	5	0	97	W
2026-04-05	5.7	4	2	3	2	1	87	—

#28Grant Holmes(RHP)

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins

Truist Park · Pre-Game

GS: 21
IP: 102.0
W-L: 6-4
ERA: 3.88
WHIP: 1.36
K/9: 7.70
BB/9: 4.00
K/BB: 1.93

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 3.9
K: 3.9
ER: 2.1
H: 3.8
HR: 0.30
BB: 1.4
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 9.1
Floor: 1.9
Ceiling: 16.3
Rest: 5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Grant Holmes.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-30	4.7	5	3	2	4	3	69	—
2026-07-24	5.0	6	3	2	5	0	91	—
2026-07-19	5.0	7	3	2	2	0	74	W
2026-07-08	5.0	3	0	1	5	0	90	—
2026-07-03	5.0	5	1	1	2	1	82	W

#29Hayden Wesneski(RHP)

Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays

Daikin Park · Scheduled

GS: 1
IP: 5.7
W-L: 1-0
ERA: 4.76
WHIP: 1.59
K/9: 6.40
BB/9: 3.20
K/BB: 2.00

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 3.9
K: 3.8
ER: 2.2
H: 3.9
HR: 0.30
BB: 1.2
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 8.7
Floor: 1.8
Ceiling: 15.6
Rest: 6d

low sample

Last 1 Start

Recent starts for Hayden Wesneski.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-29	5.7	7	3	2	4	0	79	W

#30Grayson Rodriguez(RHP)

Los Angeles Angels vs Baltimore Orioles

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Pre-Game

GS: 9
IP: 39.0
W-L: 2-3
ERA: 9.00
WHIP: 1.90
K/9: 7.20
BB/9: 4.40
K/BB: 1.63

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 3.9
K: 3.9
ER: 2.7
H: 4.2
HR: 0.30
BB: 1.2
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 7.8
Floor: 1.6
Ceiling: 14.0
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Grayson Rodriguez.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-29	5.0	5	2	2	6	2	98	—
2026-07-24	4.0	6	5	2	3	2	80	—
2026-07-18	4.0	7	6	1	3	1	87	L
2026-07-10	5.3	6	3	1	0	0	79	W
2026-06-08	5.3	6	2	2	6	0	92	—

More for this date

DFS Picks Player Props Confirmed Lineups Matchups

Want the why behind a projection?

Ask The Almanac about an arm's arsenal, the opposing lineup's xwOBA vs hand, or recent velocity trends.

Start a conversation →