MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

August 1, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

15 games · 30 starters · Updated Aug 1, 5:28 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

Gilbert is the cleanest arm on a deep 30-game slate — 6.4 projected Ks over 6.2 innings against a Minnesota lineup the data flags as specifically vulnerable to his pitch mix, all at 1.5 projected ER. Yamamoto matches him projection-for-projection (6.4 K, 6.2 IP, 1.5 ER) against Boston, but seven days of extended rest is a real flag worth pricing in; his 2.72 season ERA makes the matchup hard to walk away from regardless. Fried draws the Cubs at 1.5 ER and 6.3 projected Ks with high confidence and no flags — quieter name on a loud board, but the profile is clean. Hicks against Tampa Bay is medium confidence only, so temper expectations there even with the favorable matchup.

#1Logan Gilbert(RHP)

Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins

T-Mobile Park · In Progress

GS
21
IP
125.7
W-L
8-6
ERA
3.44
WHIP
0.99
K/9
9.50
BB/9
1.90
K/BB
4.93

Projection

Matchup · elite
IP
6.2
K
6.4
ER
1.5
H
4.9
HR
0.20
BB
1.2
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
19.9
Floor
4.1
Ceiling
35.7
Rest
6d
  • Minnesota Twins struggles against this pitch mix — arsenal matchup favors pitcher

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Logan Gilbert.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-265.75324093
2026-07-196.043110195W
2026-07-116.79425096L
2026-07-047.31007091W
2026-06-277.074070103L

#2Yoshinobu Yamamoto(RHP)

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · Pre-Game

GS
19
IP
125.7
W-L
11-6
ERA
2.72
WHIP
0.90
K/9
8.50
BB/9
2.00
K/BB
4.21

Projection

Matchup · elite
IP
6.2
K
6.4
ER
1.5
H
4.9
HR
0.30
BB
1.7
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
19.6
Floor
4.0
Ceiling
35.2
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Yoshinobu Yamamoto.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-256.051350100W
2026-07-199.042071102W
2026-07-116.056461103L
2026-07-047.0302100100W
2026-06-276.05224189W

#3Jordan Hicks(RHP)

Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Tropicana Field · In Progress

GS
34
IP
31.0
W-L
1-1
ERA
3.19
WHIP
1.48
K/9
10.50
BB/9
6.40
K/BB
1.64

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
6.2
K
6.3
ER
1.3
H
4.8
HR
0.20
BB
2.8
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
19.2
Floor
4.0
Ceiling
34.4
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

No completed starts on record.

#4Max Fried(RHP)

New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs

Wrigley Field · Pre-Game

GS
11
IP
63.3
W-L
3-3
ERA
3.55
WHIP
1.07
K/9
8.10
BB/9
3.00
K/BB
2.71

Projection

Matchup · elite
IP
6.2
K
6.3
ER
1.5
H
4.9
HR
0.20
BB
2.2
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
19.1
Floor
3.9
Ceiling
34.3
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Max Fried.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-273.05324066
2026-07-225.01017057
2026-05-133.05312061L
2026-05-086.06535094L
2026-05-035.363360107

#5Drew Rasmussen(RHP)

Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago White Sox

Tropicana Field · In Progress

GS
20
IP
111.3
W-L
9-5
ERA
3.07
WHIP
0.93
K/9
9.10
BB/9
1.50
K/BB
5.89

Projection

Matchup · elite
IP
6.2
K
6.4
ER
2.2
H
5.4
HR
0.30
BB
1.2
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
18.2
Floor
3.8
Ceiling
32.6
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Drew Rasmussen.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-267.01019087W
2026-07-215.07215093W
2026-07-045.06512277
2026-06-286.03015099W
2026-06-226.04225090L

#6Parker Messick(RHP)

Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Progressive Field · Pre-Game

GS
21
IP
125.3
W-L
8-6
ERA
2.59
WHIP
1.04
K/9
8.80
BB/9
2.60
K/BB
3.39

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
6.2
K
5.9
ER
1.9
H
5.2
HR
0.30
BB
1.3
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
17.9
Floor
3.7
Ceiling
32.1
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Parker Messick.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-267.76106094L
2026-07-215.74106188
2026-07-106.01141191W
2026-07-045.051330100
2026-06-296.78405083L

#7Connor Prielipp(RHP)

Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners

T-Mobile Park · In Progress

GS
14
IP
72.3
W-L
3-5
ERA
4.73
WHIP
1.30
K/9
9.50
BB/9
3.20
K/BB
2.92

Projection

Matchup · elite
IP
6.2
K
6.1
ER
2.2
H
5.4
HR
0.40
BB
1.9
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
17.2
Floor
3.6
Ceiling
30.8
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Connor Prielipp.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-265.72115072W
2026-07-085.04326283
2026-06-286.062010093
2026-06-196.09334197L
2026-06-136.07422198

#8Payton Tolle(RHP)

Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · Pre-Game

GS
16
IP
90.3
W-L
6-6
ERA
3.49
WHIP
1.10
K/9
9.60
BB/9
2.50
K/BB
3.84

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
6.2
K
6.2
ER
2.3
H
5.5
HR
0.20
BB
1.7
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
17.2
Floor
3.6
Ceiling
30.8
Rest
5d
  • Los Angeles Dodgers has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Payton Tolle.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-275.35217290W
2026-07-205.78419188
2026-07-123.73117066
2026-07-076.02016091W
2026-07-013.07635276L

#9Jacob deGrom(RHP)

Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros

Daikin Park · Pre-Game

GS
20
IP
110.3
W-L
7-6
ERA
3.67
WHIP
1.07
K/9
10.80
BB/9
2.00
K/BB
5.50

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.6
K
5.7
ER
2.5
H
5.2
HR
0.30
BB
1.2
QS%
40%
Win%
45%
DK pts
15.0
Floor
3.1
Ceiling
26.9
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Jacob deGrom.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-265.07104090
2026-07-204.77526097L
2026-07-075.05227080
2026-06-307.04209196W
2026-06-246.04228091L

#10Cristopher Sánchez(RHP)

Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Pre-Game

GS
22
IP
138.7
W-L
13-4
ERA
2.79
WHIP
1.20
K/9
10.20
BB/9
1.80
K/BB
5.61

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
5.8
ER
2.3
H
4.7
HR
0.20
BB
1.2
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
14.8
Floor
3.1
Ceiling
26.5
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Cristopher Sánchez.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-266.063360101W
2026-07-205.37307099W
2026-07-117.0102171103W
2026-07-063.312911383L
2026-06-307.03029092W

#11Jack Perkins(RHP)

Athletics vs Detroit Tigers

Sutter Health Park · Scheduled

GS
26
IP
68.3
W-L
2-6
ERA
6.45
WHIP
1.36
K/9
10.50
BB/9
3.60
K/BB
2.96

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.6
K
6.0
ER
2.6
H
5.3
HR
0.20
BB
2.4
QS%
39%
Win%
45%
DK pts
14.6
Floor
3.0
Ceiling
26.2
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Jack Perkins.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-275.71234069L
2026-07-215.05314187
2026-07-093.02322267L
2026-07-033.77748291L
2026-06-275.04215081

#12Shane Baz(RHP)

Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Pre-Game

GS
21
IP
122.0
W-L
4-9
ERA
3.91
WHIP
1.38
K/9
7.90
BB/9
3.20
K/BB
2.43

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.6
K
5.7
ER
2.7
H
5.3
HR
0.20
BB
1.6
QS%
38%
Win%
45%
DK pts
14.3
Floor
3.0
Ceiling
25.6
Rest
6d
  • Philadelphia Phillies has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Shane Baz.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-264.36122090
2026-07-206.07206077
2026-07-124.771090104
2026-07-076.063330100L
2026-06-297.042460109

#13Quinn Mathews(RHP)

St. Louis Cardinals vs Toronto Blue Jays

Rogers Centre · In Progress

No season stats yet.

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
5.6
ER
2.0
H
4.6
HR
0.10
BB
2.5
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
14.2
Floor
2.9
Ceiling
25.5
Rest
5d
  • low sample

Last 5 Starts

No completed starts on record.

#14Tyler Mahle(RHP)

San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres

Petco Park · Scheduled

GS
17
IP
89.0
W-L
3-9
ERA
4.96
WHIP
1.40
K/9
8.10
BB/9
3.50
K/BB
2.29

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.6
K
5.3
ER
2.4
H
5.1
HR
0.20
BB
1.8
QS%
41%
Win%
45%
DK pts
14.1
Floor
2.9
Ceiling
25.3
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Tyler Mahle.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-276.03023088W
2026-07-215.05314191L
2026-07-117.051340104W
2026-07-054.38305075
2026-06-294.34433185L

#15Zac Thornton(RHP)

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Citi Field · In Progress

GS
5
IP
29.7
W-L
2-1
ERA
2.43
WHIP
0.91
K/9
6.70
BB/9
2.10
K/BB
3.14

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.1
K
4.9
ER
1.9
H
4.5
HR
0.30
BB
1.2
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.9
Floor
2.9
Ceiling
24.9
Rest
5d
  • Miami Marlins struggles against this pitch mix — arsenal matchup favors pitcher

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Zac Thornton.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-276.36315181W
2026-07-216.03012081W
2026-07-127.02025082
2026-06-266.05117078
2026-05-204.34423180L

#16Braxton Ashcraft(RHP)

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds

Great American Ball Park · Pre-Game

GS
21
IP
122.3
W-L
10-4
ERA
4.05
WHIP
1.19
K/9
9.90
BB/9
2.20
K/BB
4.50

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.1
K
5.4
ER
2.4
H
4.8
HR
0.20
BB
1.4
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.6
Floor
2.8
Ceiling
24.4
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Braxton Ashcraft.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-266.07425093W
2026-07-203.09712274L
2026-07-115.05526298
2026-07-045.76127194W
2026-06-296.05518397W

#17Luinder Avila(RHP)

Kansas City Royals vs Colorado Rockies

Coors Field · Pre-Game

GS
20
IP
67.3
W-L
5-3
ERA
4.81
WHIP
1.57
K/9
7.90
BB/9
5.20
K/BB
1.51

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.1
K
5.1
ER
2.1
H
4.6
HR
0.20
BB
2.4
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.1
Floor
2.7
Ceiling
23.5
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Luinder Avila.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-264.34242089
2026-07-216.35217087W
2026-07-105.07333196
2026-07-055.03114069W
2026-06-284.06434186

#18Andrew Abbott(RHP)

Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Great American Ball Park · Pre-Game

GS
22
IP
117.0
W-L
5-6
ERA
3.77
WHIP
1.38
K/9
7.20
BB/9
4.20
K/BB
1.74

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
5.2
ER
2.5
H
4.9
HR
0.20
BB
2.0
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
12.6
Floor
2.6
Ceiling
22.6
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Andrew Abbott.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-266.032441100
2026-07-206.040260100L
2026-07-124.04433079
2026-07-076.05308195L
2026-07-015.05253096

#19Framber Valdez(RHP)

Detroit Tigers vs Athletics

Sutter Health Park · Scheduled

GS
21
IP
113.3
W-L
5-7
ERA
4.53
WHIP
1.36
K/9
7.30
BB/9
3.30
K/BB
2.24

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
4.7
ER
2.1
H
4.6
HR
0.20
BB
1.9
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
12.6
Floor
2.6
Ceiling
22.6
Rest
6d
  • Athletics struggles against this pitch mix — arsenal matchup favors pitcher

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Framber Valdez.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-265.04234197
2026-07-097.03109087W
2026-07-025.09521187L
2026-06-276.08402188
2026-06-226.04128094W

#20Kevin Gausman(RHP)

Toronto Blue Jays vs St. Louis Cardinals

Rogers Centre · In Progress

GS
22
IP
121.7
W-L
4-10
ERA
4.59
WHIP
1.27
K/9
9.10
BB/9
2.60
K/BB
3.51

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
5.0
ER
2.5
H
4.9
HR
0.20
BB
1.6
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
12.4
Floor
2.6
Ceiling
22.2
Rest
6d
  • St. Louis Cardinals has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Kevin Gausman.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-266.05316098L
2026-07-213.39421090L
2026-07-126.043380103
2026-07-065.35458092L
2026-06-306.05127196L

#21Tyler Phillips(RHP)

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Citi Field · In Progress

GS
27
IP
84.3
W-L
2-5
ERA
3.52
WHIP
1.36
K/9
6.70
BB/9
4.10
K/BB
1.66

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.7
ER
1.9
H
4.1
HR
0.20
BB
1.7
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
12.1
Floor
2.5
Ceiling
21.7
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Tyler Phillips.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-275.03225176
2026-07-214.35212168L
2026-07-085.04023071W
2026-07-033.37522171
2026-06-287.36201197L

#22Walker Buehler(RHP)

San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants

Petco Park · Scheduled

GS
21
IP
100.0
W-L
6-5
ERA
5.13
WHIP
1.41
K/9
8.20
BB/9
3.80
K/BB
2.17

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
4.7
ER
2.2
H
4.7
HR
0.30
BB
2.6
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
11.9
Floor
2.5
Ceiling
21.3
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Walker Buehler.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-265.34227192
2026-07-215.72253090W
2026-07-065.07714293L
2026-07-014.07946385L
2026-06-265.33135174W

#23Robert Gasser(RHP)

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Angels

Angel Stadium · Scheduled

GS
11
IP
57.3
W-L
3-4
ERA
4.71
WHIP
1.17
K/9
8.20
BB/9
2.20
K/BB
3.71

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.6
ER
2.3
H
4.3
HR
0.20
BB
0.8
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
11.5
Floor
2.4
Ceiling
20.6
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Robert Gasser.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-256.05204077W
2026-07-195.03105186
2026-07-123.08703258L
2026-07-077.74214194W
2026-06-295.77315196

#24David Peterson(RHP)

Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees

Wrigley Field · Pre-Game

GS
5
IP
26.7
W-L
3-1
ERA
5.06
WHIP
1.20
K/9
4.70
BB/9
3.40
K/BB
1.40

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.6
ER
2.2
H
4.3
HR
0.20
BB
1.7
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
11.1
Floor
2.3
Ceiling
19.9
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for David Peterson.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-275.73223186W
2026-07-216.73014094W
2026-07-095.02142177
2026-07-033.791033191L
2026-06-275.75202169W

#25Brent Suter(RHP)

Los Angeles Angels vs Milwaukee Brewers

Angel Stadium · Scheduled

GS
40
IP
61.3
W-L
1-2
ERA
4.40
WHIP
1.26
K/9
7.90
BB/9
2.10
K/BB
3.86

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.4
ER
2.6
H
4.6
HR
0.20
BB
0.5
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
10.5
Floor
2.2
Ceiling
18.8
Rest
14d
  • Extended rest (14 days) — rust risk

Last 3 Starts

Recent starts for Brent Suter.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-183.02102139
2026-05-273.03002040
2026-04-113.72002039

#26Ryan Feltner(RHP)

Colorado Rockies vs Kansas City Royals

Coors Field · Pre-Game

GS
15
IP
70.7
W-L
3-5
ERA
5.73
WHIP
1.46
K/9
6.90
BB/9
3.70
K/BB
1.86

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
4.0
ER
1.9
H
3.7
HR
0.20
BB
1.5
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
9.7
Floor
2.0
Ceiling
17.4
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Ryan Feltner.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-255.09514182L
2026-07-094.36443292L
2026-07-036.06209188W
2026-06-286.05100182
2026-06-226.04242093

#27Ronel Blanco(RHP)

Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers

Daikin Park · Pre-Game

GS
2
IP
10.0
W-L
0-1
ERA
8.10
WHIP
1.20
K/9
10.80
BB/9
5.40
K/BB
2.00

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
4.3
ER
2.3
H
4.0
HR
0.40
BB
2.2
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
8.9
Floor
1.8
Ceiling
16.0
Rest
6d
  • low sample

Last 2 Starts

Recent starts for Ronel Blanco.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-265.34534285L
2026-07-204.72438286

#28Miles Mikolas(RHP)

Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves

Truist Park · Pre-Game

GS
22
IP
102.0
W-L
3-7
ERA
5.47
WHIP
1.32
K/9
4.60
BB/9
1.90
K/BB
2.48

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.6
ER
2.6
H
4.2
HR
0.30
BB
0.8
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
7.6
Floor
1.6
Ceiling
13.6
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Miles Mikolas.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-264.04311263
2026-07-213.76301166
2026-07-114.04010059
2026-07-066.09723299W
2026-06-297.09603297L

#29Reynaldo López(RHP)

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals

Truist Park · Pre-Game

GS
23
IP
69.7
W-L
4-3
ERA
3.75
WHIP
1.36
K/9
8.50
BB/9
3.70
K/BB
2.28

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.6
ER
2.5
H
4.2
HR
0.20
BB
1.3
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
7.5
Floor
1.5
Ceiling
13.5
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Reynaldo López.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-265.75016089
2026-07-214.39536285L
2026-07-115.05413185L
2026-07-065.03125180
2026-07-015.02116069W

#30Kohl Drake(RHP)

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians

Progressive Field · Pre-Game

GS
2
IP
9.0
W-L
0-0
ERA
5.00
WHIP
1.44
K/9
6.00
BB/9
4.00
K/BB
1.50

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.6
ER
2.6
H
4.2
HR
0.50
BB
1.6
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
7.1
Floor
1.5
Ceiling
12.7
Rest
6d
  • low sample

Last 2 Starts

Recent starts for Kohl Drake.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-264.05421264
2026-07-215.04125085

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