2 games · 3 starters · Updated Jul 29, 12:21 PM ET
Thin slate today — three starters, one game doubling up with Luzardo and Gusto going head-to-head against each other, plus Rogers in a neutral Detroit matchup. Luzardo is the clear top arm: projected 6.7 Ks over 6.2 IP against Miami with a 1.0 projected ER, and the matchup grades as the best on the board. His 3.68 season ERA backs the high-confidence tag. Rogers mirrors Gusto's line almost exactly — 5.9 projected Ks, 5.6 IP, 2.4 ER — so the Rogers-Gusto separation comes down to matchup and ERA, where Rogers's 4.17 edges Gusto's 4.50 against Detroit. Note Rogers's team is unconfirmed in the data.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
| Date | IP | H | ER | BB | K | HR | P | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | 7.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 105 | L |
| 2026-07-18 | 5.0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 90 | W |
| 2026-07-09 | 7.0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 96 | W |
| 2026-07-04 | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 95 | W |
| 2026-06-28 | 5.0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 96 | — |
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies
| Date | IP | H | ER | BB | K | HR | P | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | 3.3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 57 | — |
| 2026-07-02 | 3.0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 51 | — |
| 2026-06-27 | 3.3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 63 | — |
| 2026-06-21 | 4.3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 68 | — |
| 2026-06-15 | 4.7 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 91 | L |
vs Detroit Tigers
| Date | IP | H | ER | BB | K | HR | P | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | 7.0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 88 | — |
| 2026-07-18 | 6.3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 99 | — |
| 2026-07-09 | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 89 | — |
| 2026-07-03 | 5.0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 93 | W |
| 2026-06-26 | 6.3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 87 | W |
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