MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

July 2, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

1 game · 1 starter · Updated Jul 2, 12:31 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

One starter on the board today, and the read isn't kind to him. Jared Jones draws the Phillies with a 5.76 season ERA and projects for just 4.5 IP and 4.5 Ks — short work with middling strikeout upside. The matchup is flagged unfavorable, and Philadelphia has hit his pitch mix well, so the arsenal isn't a hidden edge here. Confidence sits at medium across the board. Thin slate; not much to work with beyond fading Jones if the format allows it.

#1Jared Jones(RHP)

vs Philadelphia Phillies

GS: 6
IP: 25.0
W-L: 1-1
ERA: 5.76
WHIP: 1.44
K/9: 9.00
BB/9: 3.20
K/BB: 2.78

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 4.5
K: 4.5
ER: 2.7
H: 4.7
HR: 0.30
BB: 1.2
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 10.0
Floor: 2.1
Ceiling: 17.9
Rest: 5d

Philadelphia Phillies has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Jared Jones.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-06-27	4.7	4	3	1	4	1	81	—
2026-06-21	3.0	1	1	2	3	0	45	—
2026-06-15	4.0	8	5	1	4	2	75	L
2026-06-10	4.0	3	2	1	4	0	75	—
2026-06-04	5.0	4	0	2	4	0	74	W

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