One starter on the board today, and the setup isn't clean. Jared Jones draws Philadelphia in what projects as an unfavorable matchup — the Phillies have hit his arsenal well, the game total sits at 10.5, and 95°F conditions nudge the run environment even higher. His projection reflects all of that: 5.1 IP, 5.1 Ks, 3.8 ER at medium confidence. A 4.37 season ERA with no favorable factors in sight makes this a tough fade-or-accept decision. Thin slate — one arm, one uncomfortable spot.
#1Jared Jones(RHP)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park · Final
GS
11
IP
52.0
W-L
2-2
ERA
3.81
WHIP
1.02
K/9
10.00
BB/9
2.60
K/BB
3.87
Projection
Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
5.1
ER
3.1
H
5.3
HR
0.50
BB
1.7
QS%
15%
Win%
35%
DK pts
11.1
Floor
2.3
Ceiling
19.9
Rest
5d
Hot conditions (95°F) slightly boost offense
Game total of 10.5 suggests a high-scoring environment