MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

July 1, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

2 games · 2 starters · Updated Jul 1, 1:42 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

Two-game slate, so the read is straightforward. Gore against Cleveland is the clear top arm — 6.3 projected strikeouts over 6.2 innings against a matchup graded elite, and the high-confidence tag backs the line. His 1.7 projected ER gives him one of the cleaner floors you'll see from a lefty this season despite a 4.05 ERA on the year. Kremer is essentially a fade: 74 days of extended rest flags a rust risk, the White Sox have hit his pitch mix well, and the unfavorable matchup grade pairs with low projection confidence — the 2.7 projected ER and 5.6 Ks don't make that math work.

#1MacKenzie Gore(LHP)

vs Cleveland Guardians

GS
17
IP
91.0
W-L
5-6
ERA
4.05
WHIP
1.25
K/9
9.60
BB/9
3.80
K/BB
2.55

Projection

Matchup · elite
IP
6.2
K
6.3
ER
1.7
H
5.0
HR
0.20
BB
2.1
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
18.7
Floor
3.9
Ceiling
33.5
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for MacKenzie Gore.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-257.04315098W
2026-06-206.05126095
2026-06-157.0442102102L
2026-06-105.08236087
2026-06-034.794350100L

#2Dean Kremer(RHP)

vs Chicago White Sox

GS
2
IP
11.0
W-L
0-1
ERA
4.09
WHIP
0.91
K/9
13.10
BB/9
1.60
K/BB
8.00

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
5.6
ER
2.7
H
5.0
HR
0.30
BB
1.1
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.4
Floor
2.8
Ceiling
24.0
Rest
74d
  • Extended rest (74 days) — rust risk
  • Chicago White Sox has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense
  • low sample

Last 2 Starts

Recent starts for Dean Kremer.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-04-186.02327195L
2026-04-135.06209380

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