MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

July 1, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

2 games · 2 starters · Updated Jul 21, 3:34 AM ET

The Almanac's Take

Two-game slate today, so the decision is pretty simple. MacKenzie Gore against Cleveland is the clear lean — 6.3 projected strikeouts over 6.2 innings with a 1.1 projected ER against a matchup graded as the best available, and Progressive Field knocking run-scoring down another 9%. The 91°F heat adds a small offensive nudge, but this projection carries high confidence regardless. Steer clear of Dean Kremer: 74 days of extended rest is a real rust flag, the game total sits at 10.2, and an unfavorable matchup against Chicago paired with 3.2 projected ER makes him a tough sell even at medium confidence.

#1MacKenzie Gore(LHP)

Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians

Progressive Field · Final

GS
21
IP
110.7
W-L
6-8
ERA
4.80
WHIP
1.28
K/9
9.90
BB/9
3.40
K/BB
2.90

Projection

Matchup · elite
IP
6.2
K
6.2
ER
1.4
H
4.8
HR
0.20
BB
2.0
QS%
80%
Win%
66%
DK pts
19.3
Floor
4.0
Ceiling
34.6
Rest
6d
  • Progressive Field suppresses run scoring by 9%
  • Hot conditions (91°F) slightly boost offense
  • low sample

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for MacKenzie Gore.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-257.04315098W
2026-06-206.05126095
2026-06-157.0442102102L
2026-06-105.08236087
2026-06-034.794350100L

#2Dean Kremer(RHP)

Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Final

GS
5
IP
26.0
W-L
1-2
ERA
4.15
WHIP
1.12
K/9
10.00
BB/9
2.40
K/BB
4.14

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.6
K
5.9
ER
2.7
H
5.3
HR
0.20
BB
1.1
QS%
38%
Win%
45%
DK pts
15.0
Floor
3.1
Ceiling
26.9
Rest
74d
  • Hot conditions (94°F) slightly boost offense
  • Game total of 10.2 suggests a high-scoring environment
  • Extended rest (74 days) — rust risk
  • low sample

Last 2 Starts

Recent starts for Dean Kremer.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-04-186.02327195L
2026-04-135.06209380

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