MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

June 25, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

2 games · 3 starters · Updated Jul 21, 1:26 AM ET

The Almanac's Take

Thin three-game slate, all projections at medium confidence. Legumina against Kansas City projects 5.6 IP and 5.6 Ks with 2.0 ER — the park suppression at Tropicana adds a small extra layer on an already favorable matchup, though his 4.63 season ERA is a real gap from the projection. Chandler mirrors him almost exactly: 5.6 IP, 5.5 Ks, 2.1 ER against Seattle in a favorable matchup, no flags attached. Lugo's matchup grades unfavorable facing Tampa Bay, and at 3.9 projected innings he's a short outing risk regardless of the 1.8 projected ER — hard to build around him tonight.

#1Casey Legumina(RHP)

Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City Royals

Tropicana Field · Final

GS
8
IP
11.7
W-L
0-1
ERA
4.63
WHIP
1.54
K/9
6.90
BB/9
2.30
K/BB
3.00

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
5.6
K
5.6
ER
2.0
H
4.8
HR
0.30
BB
0.7
QS%
44%
Win%
45%
DK pts
16.3
Floor
3.4
Ceiling
29.2
Rest
5d
  • Tropicana Field suppresses run scoring by 5%
  • Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral
  • low sample

Last 5 Starts

No completed starts on record.

#2Bubba Chandler(RHP)

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Seattle Mariners

PNC Park · Final

GS
19
IP
94.3
W-L
3-8
ERA
4.77
WHIP
1.44
K/9
8.10
BB/9
5.20
K/BB
1.55

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
5.6
K
5.5
ER
2.1
H
4.9
HR
0.10
BB
2.1
QS%
43%
Win%
45%
DK pts
15.0
Floor
3.1
Ceiling
26.9
Rest
6d
  • low sample

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Bubba Chandler.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-196.06221174
2026-06-135.73216084
2026-06-075.31227088L
2026-06-025.05323191W
2026-05-275.08425091

#3Seth Lugo(RHP)

Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays

Tropicana Field · Final

GS
20
IP
110.7
W-L
3-6
ERA
4.39
WHIP
1.40
K/9
7.20
BB/9
2.90
K/BB
2.47

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.8
ER
1.8
H
3.7
HR
0.20
BB
1.1
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
9.7
Floor
2.0
Ceiling
17.4
Rest
6d
  • Tropicana Field suppresses run scoring by 5%
  • Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral
  • low sample

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Seth Lugo.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-196.05130085W
2026-06-103.33112044
2026-06-045.06514392
2026-05-306.06106190
2026-05-246.36323186W

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