Thin slate today — just two starters, and they're facing each other, so the matchup dynamic runs both directions. Montero carries the cleaner profile at a 3.22 season ERA with 5.0 projected Ks over 5.1 IP, but 10 days of extended rest is a real flag; rust shows up in command early, and a neutral matchup doesn't offer much buffer. Martin projects nearly identical — 5.2 Ks, 5.1 IP, 2.2 projected ER — but draws an unfavorable matchup tag against that same Detroit lineup, which caps his ceiling. Both sit at medium confidence. Take the numbers here as directional, not precise.