MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

June 17, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

3 games · 4 starters · Updated Jul 20, 9:02 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

Four starters today, all graded medium confidence, and none draw a favorable matchup — worth knowing before you anchor a lineup here. Littell is the projected strikeout leader at 5.6 Ks over 5.6 innings, but he's coming off 11 days of rest and his 5.34 season ERA is hard to ignore, even against Kansas City; Nationals Park adds another 5% run-scoring bump in 86-degree heat. Houser projects similarly at 5.2 Ks over 5.1 innings with the cleanest projected ER line among the deeper arms (2.3), though the Braves matchup is unfavorable and the 8-day layoff applies to him too. Holmes and Lodolo both project under 4.0 innings — thin floors on a thin slate.

#1Zack Littell(RHP)

Washington Nationals vs Kansas City Royals

Nationals Park · Final

GS
20
IP
96.0
W-L
7-7
ERA
5.34
WHIP
1.35
K/9
5.70
BB/9
2.80
K/BB
2.03

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.6
K
5.6
ER
2.6
H
5.2
HR
0.30
BB
1.5
QS%
39%
Win%
45%
DK pts
14.4
Floor
3.0
Ceiling
25.8
Rest
11d
  • Nationals Park boosts run scoring by 5%
  • Hot conditions (86°F) slightly boost offense
  • Extended rest (11 days) — rust risk
  • low sample

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Zack Littell.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-065.02114064W
2026-05-316.05225084W
2026-05-257.051270106W
2026-05-205.05203160W
2026-05-155.02023087W

#2Adrian Houser(RHP)

San Francisco Giants vs Atlanta Braves

Truist Park · Final

GS
19
IP
83.0
W-L
2-7
ERA
5.10
WHIP
1.42
K/9
6.10
BB/9
3.00
K/BB
2.00

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
5.2
ER
2.3
H
4.8
HR
0.30
BB
1.9
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.1
Floor
2.7
Ceiling
23.5
Rest
8d
  • Extended rest (8 days) — rust risk
  • low sample

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Adrian Houser.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-094.34306177L
2026-06-044.35235182
2026-05-303.78424192L
2026-05-234.77305079
2026-05-176.04153093W

#3Grant Holmes(RHP)

Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants

Truist Park · Final

GS
19
IP
92.3
W-L
6-4
ERA
3.70
WHIP
1.34
K/9
7.60
BB/9
4.00
K/BB
1.90

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
4.0
ER
2.1
H
3.9
HR
0.30
BB
1.4
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
9.2
Floor
1.9
Ceiling
16.5
Rest
8d
  • Extended rest (8 days) — rust risk
  • low sample

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Grant Holmes.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-093.74322167
2026-06-036.05224189W
2026-05-294.77315280
2026-05-235.062210287L
2026-05-176.05014087W

#4Nick Lodolo(LHP)

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets

Great American Ball Park · Final

GS
12
IP
62.7
W-L
3-2
ERA
4.60
WHIP
1.45
K/9
7.20
BB/9
3.90
K/BB
1.85

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.9
ER
2.3
H
4.0
HR
0.20
BB
1.2
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
8.7
Floor
1.8
Ceiling
15.6
Rest
5d
  • low sample

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Nick Lodolo.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-125.35215096
2026-06-065.09413195
2026-05-316.753442100W
2026-05-256.06107198W
2026-05-185.73353197

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