Two-game Sunday slate, so the signal is concentrated. Skenes against Miami is the clearest projection on the board — 6.2 projected innings, 6.2 strikeouts, and 1.6 ER against a Marlins lineup that the matchup grades as about as favorable as it gets; his 3.31 ERA gives the high-confidence projection real grounding. Abbott is the cautionary note: facing Arizona with a .346 xwOBA against lefties, his line sits at 4.5 IP and 3.8 projected strikeouts with 2.7 ER — workable counting stats if the innings hold, but the matchup flag is genuine and worth weighing against the thin slate.
#1Paul Skenes(RHP)
vs Miami Marlins
GS
13
IP
70.7
W-L
6-4
ERA
3.31
WHIP
0.93
K/9
10.10
BB/9
1.50
K/BB
6.58
Projection
Matchup · elite
IP
6.2
K
6.2
ER
1.6
H
4.9
HR
0.20
BB
1.4
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
19.2
Floor
4.0
Ceiling
34.4
Rest
5d
Last 5 Starts
Recent starts for Paul Skenes.
Date
IP
H
ER
BB
K
HR
P
Dec
2026-06-09
6.0
6
2
2
7
0
103
—
2026-06-03
4.7
7
3
1
7
0
109
—
2026-05-23
5.0
9
4
1
2
1
98
L
2026-05-17
5.0
6
5
1
7
1
92
L
2026-05-12
8.0
2
0
0
10
0
98
W
#2Andrew Abbott(LHP)
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
GS
14
IP
74.7
W-L
4-4
ERA
3.98
WHIP
1.39
K/9
6.40
BB/9
4.00
K/BB
1.61
Projection
Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
3.8
ER
2.7
H
4.6
HR
0.30
BB
1.9
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
8.2
Floor
1.7
Ceiling
14.7
Rest
6d
Arizona Diamondbacks lineup has a 0.346 xwOBA vs LHP — tough matchup