2 games · 2 starters · Updated Jul 10, 9:23 PM ET
Thin two-game slate tonight, and neither arm is easy to love — both Matthews and Dobbins draw unfavorable matchups with medium confidence projections. Matthews is the marginal edge: 5.2 projected strikeouts over 5.1 innings against Detroit, with 2.2 projected earned runs keeping the floor reasonable despite a 4.43 season ERA. Dobbins projects for just 4.5 innings and 4.5 Ks against the Mets, and 93°F game-time conditions add a modest offensive boost that works against him. No flags on Matthews; Dobbins carries the heat note. On a two-starter board this sparse, the projections carry less weight than usual.
Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers
Comerica Park · Final
| Date | IP | H | ER | BB | K | HR | P | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 100 | W |
| 2026-05-31 | 4.3 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 100 | L |
| 2026-05-25 | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 88 | L |
| 2026-05-19 | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 100 | L |
| 2026-05-14 | 7.0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 83 | W |
St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets
Citi Field · Final
| Date | IP | H | ER | BB | K | HR | P | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | 5.0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 78 | W |
| 2026-05-31 | 3.7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 61 | S |
| 2026-04-30 | 4.3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 79 | — |
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