MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

April 16, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

2 games · 3 starters · Updated Jun 4, 11:27 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

Thin slate today — three starters, all at medium confidence, so don't over-invest. Landen Roupp is the clearest arm on the board: projected 6.2 IP and 6.2 Ks against Cincinnati in an elite matchup, with a 2.1 projected ER that outpaces his 4.22 season ERA by a wide margin. Chase Burns carries the best season ERA at 2.05 but draws an unfavorable matchup against his own opponent's lineup and projects for only 5.1 IP and 5.3 Ks — the real-skill case is there, the spot isn't. Bubic is similarly constrained facing Detroit unfavorably with a 5.1 IP projection.

#1Landen Roupp(RHP)

San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds

Great American Ball Park · Final

GS
12
IP
64.0
W-L
5-6
ERA
4.22
WHIP
1.31
K/9
10.10
BB/9
3.80
K/BB
2.67

Projection

Matchup · elite
IP
6.2
K
6.2
ER
2.1
H
5.3
HR
0.20
BB
2.0
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
17.6
Floor
3.6
Ceiling
31.6
Rest
6d

Last 3 Starts

Recent starts for Landen Roupp.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-04-106.05124093W
2026-04-044.77517095L
2026-03-306.02027088W

#2Kris Bubic(LHP)

Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers

Comerica Park · Final

GS
9
IP
50.3
W-L
3-2
ERA
4.11
WHIP
1.23
K/9
9.10
BB/9
4.60
K/BB
1.96

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
5.4
ER
2.1
H
4.6
HR
0.30
BB
2.2
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.8
Floor
2.8
Ceiling
24.8
Rest
6d

Last 3 Starts

Recent starts for Kris Bubic.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-04-107.020111088W
2026-04-055.04438196L
2026-03-306.02134175W

#3Chase Burns(RHP)

Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants

Great American Ball Park · Final

GS
12
IP
70.3
W-L
7-1
ERA
2.05
WHIP
0.95
K/9
10.40
BB/9
2.70
K/BB
3.86

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
5.3
ER
2.2
H
4.7
HR
0.30
BB
2.0
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.5
Floor
2.8
Ceiling
24.2
Rest
6d

Last 3 Starts

Recent starts for Chase Burns.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-04-105.37542292L
2026-04-056.05119187
2026-03-305.01037078W

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