Week 2 · 16 games · September 14, 2025 · Updated Jul 9, 12:07 AM ET
The Almanac's Take
Dallas and New York combined for 77 points and needed overtime to settle it, the Giants covering nearly every swing before the Cowboys pulled ahead 40–37 in the week's most chaotic finish. Tampa Bay's 20–19 road win in Houston was the quiet gut-punch — the Buccaneers went in as a 2.5-point underdog on the road and escaped by a single point under the total. Indianapolis did the same to Denver, winning 29–28 as a 2.5-point home dog. Philadelphia beating Kansas City 20–17 in Arrowhead was the other result worth bookmarking — the Eagles won outright as road favorites, keeping the Chiefs off the win column.
Washington Commanders at Green Bay Packers
Final
Washington Commanders18
Green Bay Packers27
Competitive · 2.6Under 45Lambeau Field
Green Bay Packers win probability
Biggest swings
Q1 · 6:46(6:46) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep right to 85-T.Kraft to WAS 20 for 57 yards (20-Q.Martin).
Q3 · 12:14(12:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels sacked at GB 34 for -10 yards (sack split by 56-E.Cooper and 1-M.Parsons). Penalty on WAS-72-J.Conerly, Offensive Holding, declined.
Q1 · 5:10(5:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love scrambles right end to WAS 5 for 14 yards (95-J.Newton). GB-85-T.Kraft was injured during the play.
Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions
Final
Chicago Bears21
Detroit Lions52
Competitive · 2.1Over 73Ford Field
Detroit Lions win probability
Biggest swings
Q1 · 8:38(8:38) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass short left to 15-R.Odunze for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 0:38(:38) (Shotgun) 4-D.Swift left end to DET 32 for 1 yard (32-B.Branch). FUMBLES (32-B.Branch), touched at DET 32, RECOVERED by DET-46-J.Campbell at DET 30. 46-J.Campbell to DET 32 for 2 yards (73-J.Jackson).
Q1 · 15:00(15:00) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 14-A.St. Brown to CHI 26 for 34 yards (29-T.Stevenson).
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys
Final (OT)
New York Giants37
Dallas Cowboys40
Instant classic · 10.4Over 77AT&T Stadium
Dallas Cowboys win probability
Biggest swings
Q4 · 0:33(:33) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 1-M.Nabers for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 2:50(2:50) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 17-W.Robinson for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
OT · 3:01(3:01) 5-B.Anger punts 49 yards to NYG 13, Center-44-T.Sieg. 80-G.Olszewski to NYG 34 for 21 yards (89-B.Spann-Ford; 2-J.Thomas).
Seattle Seahawks at Pittsburgh Steelers
Final
Seattle Seahawks31
Pittsburgh Steelers17
UpsetBack-and-forth · 4.3Over 48Acrisure Stadium
Pittsburgh Steelers win probability
Biggest swings
Q4 · 12:465-J.Myers kicks 65 yards from SEA 35 to PIT 0. RECOVERED by SEA-36-G.Holani, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: PIT-42-J.Pierre has returned to the game.
Q2 · 3:41(3:41) 14-S.Darnold pass short middle intended for 88-A.Barner INTERCEPTED by 51-N.Herbig (97-Ca.Heyward) at PIT 38. 51-N.Herbig to SEA 21 for 41 yards (40-R.Ouzts; 88-A.Barner).
Q3 · 6:05(6:05) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short left to 30-J.Warren to SEA 5 for 65 yards (27-T.Woolen).
Los Angeles Rams at Tennessee Titans
Final
Los Angeles Rams33
Tennessee Titans19
Back-and-forth · 3.9Over 52Nissan Stadium
Tennessee Titans win probability
Biggest swings
Q1 · 8:48(8:48) 12-P.Nacua left end for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 11:15(11:15) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward sacked at TEN 21 for -8 yards (0-B.Young). FUMBLES (0-B.Young) [0-B.Young], touched at TEN 19, RECOVERED by LA-53-N.Landman at TEN 21.
Q3 · 12:52(12:52) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 17-D.Adams to TEN 19 for 26 yards (38-L.Sneed). Penalty on TEN-38-L.Sneed, Defensive Holding, declined.
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens
Final
Cleveland Browns17
Baltimore Ravens41
Competitive · 2.2Over 58M&T Bank Stadium
Baltimore Ravens win probability
Biggest swings
Q3 · 11:46(11:46) (Shotgun) 15-J.Flacco pass deep right intended for 85-D.Njoku INTERCEPTED by 2-N.Wiggins [0-R.Smith] at BAL 34. 2-N.Wiggins to CLE 5 for 61 yards (75-J.Bitonio).
Q3 · 5:08(5:08) (Shotgun) 15-J.Flacco pass deep right to 19-C.Tillman for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 1:09(1:09) (Shotgun) 15-J.Flacco pass short middle to 85-D.Njoku to BAL 28 for 23 yards (24-M.Starks).
Q3 · 1:44(1:44) 2-S.Rattler pass short right to 41-A.Kamara to SF 29 for 1 yard (27-J.Brown). San Francisco challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 2-S.Rattler pass short right to 41-A.Kamara to SF 29 for 1 yard (27-J.Brown, 54-F.Warner). FUMBLES (54-F.Warner), RECOVERED by SF-54-F.Warner at SF 32.
Q4 · 1:03(1:03) (Shotgun) 2-S.Rattler sacked at NO 34 for -8 yards (47-B.Huff). FUMBLES (47-B.Huff) [47-B.Huff], touched at NO 33, recovered by NO-51-C.Ruiz at NO 27.
Q4 · 12:26(12:26) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass deep middle to 15-J.Jennings for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets
Final
Buffalo Bills30
New York Jets10
Competitive · 1.7Under 40MetLife Stadium
New York Jets win probability
Biggest swings
Q1 · 12:44(12:44) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles up the middle pushed ob at NYJ 39 for 40 yards (22-T.Adams). PENALTY on NYJ-30-M.Carter, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at NYJ 39.
Q1 · 7:24(7:24) 7-J.Fields scrambles up the middle to NYJ 20 for 1 yard (97-J.Bosa; 58-M.Milano). FUMBLES (97-J.Bosa), RECOVERED by BUF-57-A.Epenesa at NYJ 24.
Q1 · 1:08(1:08) (Shotgun) 11-M.Trubisky pass deep right to 5-J.Palmer to NYJ 45 for 32 yards (1-A.Gardner). Penalty on NYJ-1-A.Gardner, Defensive Holding, declined.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals
Final
Jacksonville Jaguars27
Cincinnati Bengals31
Instant classic · 6.3Over 58Paycor Stadium
Cincinnati Bengals win probability
Biggest swings
Q4 · 0:19(:19) 6-J.Browning up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · 2:46(2:46) (Shotgun) 6-J.Browning pass deep right to 5-T.Higgins for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 5:22(5:22) (Shotgun) 6-J.Browning pass short middle intended for 80-A.Iosivas INTERCEPTED by 0-D.Lloyd at CIN 34. 0-D.Lloyd to CIN 12 for 22 yards (30-C.Brown).
New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins
Final
New England Patriots33
Miami Dolphins27
UpsetBack-and-forth · 5.2Over 60Hard Rock Stadium
Miami Dolphins win probability
Biggest swings
Q4 · 7:1847-R.Patterson kicks 55 yards from MIA 35 to NE 10. 4-A.Gibson for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 7:39(7:39) 17-B.Baringer punts 65 yards to MIA 26, Center-47-J.Ashby. 6-M.Washington for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 0:41(:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short middle to 28-D.Achane for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts
Final
Denver Broncos28
Indianapolis Colts29
UpsetBack-and-forth · 5.9Over 57Lucas Oil Stadium
Indianapolis Colts win probability
Biggest swings
Q4 · 15:00(:00) 3-S.Shrader 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
Q4 · 0:03(:03) 3-S.Shrader 60 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez. PENALTY on DEN-92-D.Tillman, Leverage, 15 yards, enforced at DEN 42 - No Play.
Q4 · 3:19(3:19) 3-W.Lutz 42 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.
Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals
Final
Carolina Panthers22
Arizona Cardinals27
Competitive · 2.7Over 49State Farm Stadium
Arizona Cardinals win probability
Biggest swings
Q4 · 1:586-S.Martin kicks onside 14 yards from CAR 35 to CAR 49, impetus ends at CAR 44. RECOVERED by CAR-36-D.Richardson.
Q4 · 0:33(:33) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young sacked at ARI 46 for -8 yards (93-C.Campbell).
Q1 · 13:36(13:36) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young sacked at CAR 19 for -11 yards (10-J.Sweat). FUMBLES (10-J.Sweat) [10-J.Sweat], touched at CAR 19, RECOVERED by ARI-25-Z.Collins at CAR 3. 25-Z.Collins for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Philadelphia Eagles at Kansas City Chiefs
Final
Philadelphia Eagles20
Kansas City Chiefs17
Back-and-forth · 4.3Under 37GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Kansas City Chiefs win probability
Biggest swings
Q4 · 13:07(13:07) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 24-A.Mukuba [98-J.Carter] at PHI 0. 24-A.Mukuba pushed ob at PHI 41 for 41 yards (71-J.Simmons).
Q4 · 3:07(3:07) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 80-T.Thornton for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 6:00(6:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 87-T.Kelce to PHI 24 for 18 yards (24-A.Mukuba) [53-Z.Baun].
Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings
Final
Atlanta Falcons22
Minnesota Vikings6
UpsetCompetitive · 3.5Under 28U.S. Bank Stadium
Minnesota Vikings win probability
Biggest swings
Q4 · 15:00(15:00) (Shotgun) 9-J.McCarthy sacked at MIN 40 for -8 yards (96-Z.Harrison). FUMBLES (96-Z.Harrison) [96-Z.Harrison], RECOVERED by ATL-0-D.Deablo at MIN 38.
Q2 · 2:12(2:12) 9-J.McCarthy pass short right intended for 1-J.Nailor INTERCEPTED by 33-B.Bowman at MIN 38. 33-B.Bowman to MIN 38 for no gain (1-J.Nailor).
Q1 · 1:40(1:40) (Shotgun) 9-M.Penix pass short right to 5-D.London to MIN 30 for 18 yards (55-E.Wilson). FUMBLES (55-E.Wilson), RECOVERED by MIN-26-T.Jackson at MIN 23. 26-T.Jackson to MIN 32 for 9 yards (5-D.London).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Houston Texans
Final
Tampa Bay Buccaneers20
Houston Texans19
UpsetInstant classic · 6.3Under 39NRG Stadium
Houston Texans win probability
Biggest swings
Q4 · 0:09(:09) 1-R.White right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 0:064-C.McLaughlin kicks 61 yards from TB 35 to HOU 4. 11-T.Smith to HOU 33 for 29 yards (57-J.Bullock).
Q4 · 11:19(11:19) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short left to 12-N.Collins.
Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders
Final
Los Angeles Chargers20
Las Vegas Raiders9
Competitive · 3.1Under 29Allegiant Stadium
Las Vegas Raiders win probability
Biggest swings
Q2 · 2:00(2:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 1-Q.Johnston for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 11:46(11:46) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 10-D.Thornton to LAC 40 for 20 yards (32-A.Gilman).
Q1 · 14:53(14:53) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right intended for 1-T.Tucker INTERCEPTED by 0-D.Henley (32-A.Gilman) at LV 33. 0-D.Henley to LV 25 for 8 yards (87-M.Mayer).
Methodology
Final scores, box-score leaders, and the schedule are facts from nflverse. Win probability and the drama index (the sum of the win-probability swings across a game) are nflfastR-modeled — derived estimates, not raw facts; the win-probability line is the home team's, already team-relative. Standings are regular-season records to date, with win percentage counting a tie as half a win. Each game's recap is written from that deterministic data — the model turns the numbers into prose, it never computes them.