Salvador Perez vs Casey Mize

The Almanac's Take

Perez enters this matchup hitting .210/.242/.361 with a .603 OPS across 393 plate appearances — a down year at the plate, and the same-hand matchup against Mize means no platoon edge working in his favor. Mize has been sharp, carrying a 2.79 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, and a 4.32 K/BB through 15 starts, the kind of control profile that punishes free-swinging catchers. The head-to-head numbers look eye-catching — .412 over 35 PA with a 90.6 mph average exit velocity — but 35 PA is a thin sample, so treat it as texture rather than signal. Mize leaning on sliders (33.8%) and sinkers (26.9%) against a right-handed Perez who's striking out at a 21.6% clip is a tough draw.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.412

14-for-34

PA

35

HR

1

K

4

BB

1

Pitches seen

130

Avg exit velo

90.6 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2025-08-22Field Out · Slurve 84.8 mph · 69.0 mph EV
• 2025-08-22Double · Slurve 85.3 mph · 104.9 mph EV
• 2025-08-22Field Out · Sinker 95.4 mph · 104.0 mph EV
• 2025-05-30Double · Split-Finger 89.6 mph · 104.8 mph EV
• 2025-05-30Field Out · Sinker 94.4 mph · 86.2 mph EV
• 2025-04-19Field Out · Sinker 95.0 mph · 102.9 mph EV
• 2025-04-19Field Out · Sinker 93.9 mph · 92.5 mph EV
• 2025-04-19Strikeout · Slurve 85.5 mph
• 2024-09-17Walk · Slider 87.5 mph
• 2024-09-17Single · 4-Seam Fastball 98.6 mph · 104.1 mph EV
• 2024-09-17Strikeout · Slider 89.0 mph
• 2024-05-21Single · Sinker 95.6 mph · 95.7 mph EV
• 2024-05-21Single · Slider 86.3 mph · 88.1 mph EV
• 2024-04-27Double · Knuckle Curve 82.7 mph · 96.1 mph EV
• 2024-04-27Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 96.8 mph · 93.3 mph EV
• 2024-04-27Single · Split-Finger 87.4 mph · 63.5 mph EV
• 2022-04-14Field Out · Knuckle Curve 81.2 mph · 92.3 mph EV
• 2022-04-14Field Out · Slider 85.4 mph · 92.2 mph EV
• 2022-04-14Field Out · Slider 85.9 mph · 78.3 mph EV
• 2021-09-24Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 95.0 mph
• 2021-07-24Home Run · Sinker 93.6 mph · 110.5 mph EV
• 2021-07-24Field Out · Sinker 92.7 mph · 77.7 mph EV
• 2021-07-24Field Out · Slider 85.8 mph · 101.8 mph EV
• 2021-06-15Field Out · Split-Finger 85.0 mph · 106.1 mph EV
• 2021-06-15Hit By Pitch · Split-Finger 86.4 mph
• 2021-06-15Single · Slider 87.4 mph · 89.9 mph EV
• 2021-05-23Single · Slider 87.5 mph · 101.5 mph EV
• 2021-05-23Single · Sinker 93.3 mph · 78.3 mph EV
• 2021-05-23Field Out · Sinker 92.1 mph · 81.2 mph EV
• 2021-05-12Single · 4-Seam Fastball 94.4 mph · 101.8 mph EV
• 2021-05-12Field Out · Sinker 92.2 mph · 48.8 mph EV
• 2021-05-12Double · Slider 87.0 mph · 98.6 mph EV
• 2021-04-23Field Out · Slider 86.6 mph · 81.3 mph EV
• 2021-04-23Single · Slider 88.2 mph · 81.3 mph EV
• 2021-04-23Strikeout · Slider 88.4 mph