Otto Lopez vs Drew Rasmussen

The Almanac's Take

Otto Lopez is hitting .332/.365/.501 across 405 plate appearances this season, a legitimate breakout line with 18 steals and a 14.6% strikeout rate that suggests real contact quality. The problem here is Drew Rasmussen, who carries a 0.94 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9, and a 5.76 K/BB ratio — he simply does not give hitters much to work with, and Lopez has no platoon edge as a righty facing a righty. The 10 career plate appearances between these two are too thin to carry any weight; Lopez is 2-for-9 with an 88.1 mph average exit velocity in that sample, which is a footnote. Season form favors Lopez, matchup shape favors Rasmussen.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.222

2-for-9

PA

10

HR

0

K

2

BB

1

Pitches seen

34

Avg exit velo

88.1 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-07-14Strikeout · Sweeper 84.2 mph
• 2026-06-05Field Out · Cutter 86.3 mph · 68.5 mph EV
• 2026-06-05Field Out · Sinker 94.6 mph · 74.5 mph EV
• 2026-06-05Strikeout · Changeup 90.1 mph
• 2026-05-17Grounded Into Double Play · Sweeper 85.3 mph · 96.6 mph EV
• 2026-05-17Single · Cutter 90.7 mph · 99.4 mph EV
• 2026-05-17Hit By Pitch · Sinker 94.9 mph
• 2025-06-08Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 95.3 mph · 86.5 mph EV
• 2025-06-08Walk · 4-Seam Fastball 95.0 mph
• 2025-06-08Single · Sinker 96.1 mph · 103.0 mph EV