Mauricio Dubón vs Luis Severino

The Almanac's Take

Dubón has no platoon edge here — both men throw and bat right-handed — and his .691 OPS across 221 PA this season isn't a line that punishes a pitcher on its own. Severino has been hittable, posting a 4.16 ERA and 1.47 WHIP over 62.2 IP, and his 4.5 BB/9 keeps him from running away with counts, but that K/9 of 9.3 still gives him a path to limiting damage against a free-swinger. The head-to-head is 14 PA — genuinely too thin to mean anything — though an 83.6 mph average exit velocity in those meetings fits a batter who isn't squaring Severino up. Season read drives this one: modest matchup, no real edge either way.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.214

3-for-14

PA

14

HR

1

K

3

BB

0

Pitches seen

53

Avg exit velo

83.6 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-04-01Single · Sinker 94.4 mph · 102.6 mph EV
• 2026-04-01Field Out · Sweeper 87.5 mph · 83.1 mph EV
• 2025-07-24Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 97.5 mph · 96.7 mph EV
• 2025-07-24Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 96.4 mph
• 2025-06-18Force Out · Sweeper 87.3 mph · 42.8 mph EV
• 2025-06-18Home Run · Sinker 93.7 mph · 99.4 mph EV
• 2025-05-28Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 97.4 mph · 103.6 mph EV
• 2024-06-30Strikeout · Sinker 96.8 mph
• 2024-06-30Single · Sinker 94.9 mph · 61.5 mph EV
• 2024-06-30Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 96.9 mph
• 2023-09-02Field Out · Cutter 88.4 mph · 77.0 mph EV
• 2023-09-02Field Out · Cutter 91.9 mph · 73.4 mph EV
• 2022-06-30Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 96.4 mph · 88.6 mph EV
• 2022-06-30Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 95.5 mph · 90.5 mph EV