Matt Olson vs Luis Severino

The Almanac's Take

Olson carries the real edge here as a lefty squaring off against Severino's right arm, and his season line backs it up — .270/.347/.561, 17 home runs, and a .908 OPS across 61 games. Severino has been hittable all year: 4.16 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, and 9 home runs allowed in just 62.2 innings, with a 4.5 BB/9 that keeps hitters alive in counts. The H2H is 21 plate appearances — too thin to lean on — though Olson's 85.4 mph average exit velocity in those meetings and 8 strikeouts in that sample do flash some swing-and-miss exposure against Severino's fastball-heavy mix.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.312

5-for-16

PA

21

HR

0

K

8

BB

5

Pitches seen

111

Avg exit velo

85.4 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-04-01Strikeout · Sinker 96.8 mph
• 2026-04-01Strikeout · Sweeper 85.8 mph
• 2024-09-24Walk · 4-Seam Fastball 98.4 mph
• 2024-09-24Single · 4-Seam Fastball 96.5 mph · 81.4 mph EV
• 2024-07-25Single · 4-Seam Fastball 97.2 mph · 86.9 mph EV
• 2024-07-25Single · 4-Seam Fastball 96.9 mph · 67.8 mph EV
• 2024-07-25Strikeout · Sweeper 86.4 mph
• 2024-05-12Single · 4-Seam Fastball 97.2 mph · 97.3 mph EV
• 2024-05-12Walk · Cutter 92.1 mph
• 2024-05-12Hit By Pitch · 4-Seam Fastball 94.9 mph
• 2023-08-15Strikeout · Cutter 89.9 mph
• 2023-08-15Walk · 4-Seam Fastball 98.9 mph
• 2022-04-02Field Out · Slider 86.1 mph · 78.2 mph EV
• 2022-04-02Strikeout · Cutter 93.2 mph
• 2018-10-03Walk · Slider 89.1 mph
• 2018-10-03Walk · 4-Seam Fastball 97.6 mph
• 2018-09-05Strikeout · Slider 87.4 mph
• 2018-09-05Double · 4-Seam Fastball 96.3 mph · 103.8 mph EV
• 2018-05-13Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 97.9 mph · 82.4 mph EV
• 2018-05-13Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 97.8 mph
• 2018-05-13Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 96.4 mph