Matt Olson vs Luis Severino

The Almanac's Take

Olson carries the platoon edge here as a lefty against Severino's right arm, and his season line backs it up — .267/.342/.537 with 26 home runs across 421 plate appearances, an .879 OPS that reflects genuine power production. Severino has been hittable in 2024, posting a 4.16 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, and a concerning 4.5 BB/9 in 62.2 innings. The head-to-head is 21 plate appearances — too thin to lean on — though Olson's .312 average in that sample came with eight strikeouts and an 85.4 mph average exit velocity, so don't read too much into the batting line. The season read is the play here.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.312

5-for-16

PA

21

HR

0

K

8

BB

5

Pitches seen

111

Avg exit velo

85.4 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-04-01Strikeout · Sinker 96.8 mph
• 2026-04-01Strikeout · Sweeper 85.8 mph
• 2024-09-24Walk · 4-Seam Fastball 98.4 mph
• 2024-09-24Single · 4-Seam Fastball 96.5 mph · 81.4 mph EV
• 2024-07-25Single · 4-Seam Fastball 97.2 mph · 86.9 mph EV
• 2024-07-25Single · 4-Seam Fastball 96.9 mph · 67.8 mph EV
• 2024-07-25Strikeout · Sweeper 86.4 mph
• 2024-05-12Single · 4-Seam Fastball 97.2 mph · 97.3 mph EV
• 2024-05-12Walk · Cutter 92.1 mph
• 2024-05-12Hit By Pitch · 4-Seam Fastball 94.9 mph
• 2023-08-15Strikeout · Cutter 89.9 mph
• 2023-08-15Walk · 4-Seam Fastball 98.9 mph
• 2022-04-02Field Out · Slider 86.1 mph · 78.2 mph EV
• 2022-04-02Strikeout · Cutter 93.2 mph
• 2018-10-03Walk · Slider 89.1 mph
• 2018-10-03Walk · 4-Seam Fastball 97.6 mph
• 2018-09-05Strikeout · Slider 87.4 mph
• 2018-09-05Double · 4-Seam Fastball 96.3 mph · 103.8 mph EV
• 2018-05-13Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 97.9 mph · 82.4 mph EV
• 2018-05-13Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 97.8 mph
• 2018-05-13Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 96.4 mph