Justin Topa
2020–2026 · P

Justin Topa

6' 4", 200 lbs·Lived to 35·Bats R / Throws R
Pitcher archetype· RP· DERIVED
Finesse / CommandBeats hitters with location and sequencing rather than velocity.2020–2026 · 2,768 pitches · 93.9 mph fastball
The Almanac's Take

AI-generated analysis coming soon.

Career Highs
2.61
Best ERA · 2023
5
Most W · 2023
61
Most K · 2023
1.145
Best WHIP · 2023
Career Arc · ERA
5 seasons
Statistical Comps

Career · Pitching

6 seasons
YearTeamGIPWLERAERA+SOWHIP
2020MIL67.7012.35189120.913
2021MIL43.30029.701413.900
2022MIL77.3004.918141.773
2023SEA7569.0542.61166611.145
2024MIN32.3000.0020.429
2025MIN5460.0153.90107491.433
Career149149.6610129
Pitch Movement Map

Each pitch type this pitcher throws regularly, placed by how the ball moves — sideways break across, rise or drop down the side. Each dotted ring holds about the middle 85% of the league’s pitches of that type, so a cluster sitting outside its ring is movement most pitchers don’t have.

RHP · 2,736 pitches · 2020–2026
-24-12+12+24-24-12+12+24← GLOVE SIDEARM SIDE →HORIZONTAL BREAK (IN)INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (IN)SISTFCCHSL
SI · Sinker44.0% · 94.8 mph
ST · Sweeper26.6% · 82.6 mph
FC · Cutter17.8% · 91.7 mph
CH · Changeup10.3% · 86.8 mph
SL · Slider1.3% · 83.3 mph

The dots — a sample of this pitcher’s regular-season pitches, placed by movement: left–right is horizontal break, up–down is induced vertical break (what the pitch does beyond gravity). The view is handedness-neutral — positive break is toward the pitcher’s arm side for lefties and righties alike, so every sinker runs right and every sweeper breaks left, whoever throws it.

The dotted rings — about the middle 85% of where each pitch type lands league-wide (a 2-standard-deviation spread), measured from 7.5 million regular-season pitches since 2015. A cluster sitting well outside its ring is movement most of the league doesn’t get. Spring training and the postseason are excluded.

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