Justin Morneau
2003–2016 · 1B

Justin Morneau

6' 4", 220 lbs·Lived to 45·Bats L / Throws R
2×Silver SluggerMVPAll-Star
Hitter archetype· CONTEXTUAL
BalancedA well-rounded profile without a single dominant tendency.2015–2016 · 296 batted balls
The Almanac's Take

The big Canadian first baseman's career tells the story of two very different halves. Morneau was developing into one of baseball's premier sluggers when a devastating concussion in 2010 derailed everything — he hit .345 with a 1.055 OPS that season before the injury essentially ended his MVP-caliber production.

Before the concussion, Morneau was a legitimate middle-of-the-order force for the Twins, combining gap power with solid contact skills. His 2006 MVP season showcased a player hitting .321 with elite run production. After 2010, he never again posted an OPS+ above 110, managing just 65 home runs over his final six seasons.

Morneau's tale serves as a sobering reminder of how quickly careers can change. He finished with respectable counting stats — 247 homers and 985 RBI — but those numbers only hint at what might have been without that fateful collision at home plate.

Career Highs
1.055
Best OPS · 2010
34
Most HR · 2006
130
Most RBI · 2006
.345
Best AVG · 2010
Career Arc · OPS
14 seasons
Statistical Comps

Career · Batting

14 seasons
YearTeamGABHRRBIAVGOPSOPS+
2003MIN40106416.226.66488
2004MIN742801958.271.875115
2005MIN1414902279.239.74199
2006MIN15759234130.321.934122
2007MIN15759031111.271.834110
2008MIN16362323129.300.873117
2009MIN13550830100.274.878117
2010MIN812961856.3451.055145
2011MIN69264430.227.61886
2012MIN1345051977.267.773107
2013MIN1525721777.259.734103
2014COL1355021782.319.860123
2015COL49168315.310.821114
2016CWS58203625.261.73199
Career15455699247985.281
Barrel Surface

Every ball this hitter has put in play — how hard it left the bat, and at what angle. The red field behind the dots shows how much damage that kind of contact does, league-wide: the darker the red, the better things go for the hitter.

288 BBE · 2015–2016 · 89.5 mph avg EV · 4.9% barrels
406080100-60-3030600EXIT VELOCITY (MPH)LAUNCH ANGLE (°)BARRELZONE
LEAGUE xwOBA0.02.0
BATTED BALLS11025+

The field — league-average xwOBA (what a batted ball is typically worth: 0.0 is a sure out, ~2.0 a sure home run) for every exit-velocity × launch-angle combination, measured from 1.3 million regular-season balls in play since 2015. The dark ridge — balls hit 105+ mph at 25–30° — is the barrel zone, where contact becomes near-automatic extra bases.

The dots — this hitter’s career regular-season balls in play, grouped to a fine grid; a bigger dot means more batted balls at that exact combination. Dots piled onto the red ridge are damage; dots low on the pale field are weak or mishit contact. Spring training and the postseason are excluded.

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