Jakob Marsee vs Cade Cavalli

The Almanac's Take

Marsee gets the platoon edge as a lefty against Cavalli's right hand, but his season line makes that advantage hard to lean on — a .199/.305/.608 slash in 243 PA with a 23.5% strikeout rate is a profile that struggles to cash even favorable matchups. Cavalli is punching out 10.3 per nine with a 3.08 K/BB ratio across 64.2 innings, so the swing-and-miss concern is real. The 11-PA head-to-head is too thin to mean anything — two hits, three strikeouts, 88.4 mph exit velo. Season read drives this one, and it doesn't favor Marsee.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.182

2-for-11

PA

11

HR

0

K

3

BB

0

Pitches seen

36

Avg exit velo

88.4 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-06-01Field Out · Knuckle Curve 85.8 mph · 63.8 mph EV
• 2026-06-01Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 97.5 mph · 88.0 mph EV
• 2026-05-10Hit By Pitch · Knuckle Curve 82.9 mph
• 2026-05-10Strikeout · Knuckle Curve 82.5 mph
• 2026-05-10Single · 4-Seam Fastball 95.7 mph · 100.3 mph EV
• 2025-09-08Force Out · Cutter 94.3 mph · 79.8 mph EV
• 2025-09-08Double · Knuckle Curve 85.6 mph · 104.7 mph EV
• 2025-09-08Field Out · Knuckle Curve 86.1 mph · 76.3 mph EV
• 2025-09-02Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 96.6 mph
• 2025-09-02Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 97.6 mph · 105.9 mph EV
• 2025-09-02Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 97.7 mph