Gavin Sheets vs Sonny Gray

The Almanac's Take

Sheets bats left against Gray's right arm, so the platoon edge is real, and his season line gives it some grounding — an 11.1% walk rate and .408 slugging show he's making contact count when he connects, even if the .217 average undersells him a bit. Gray has been sharp this year, 3.20 ERA over 56.1 innings with a 2.75 K/BB, so this isn't a soft matchup. The head-to-head is 19 plate appearances — too thin to lean on — though Sheets did post an 83.3 mph average exit velocity in those meetings, which is a mild caution flag regardless of the .316 average. Platoon edge is the cleanest angle here; Gray's stuff is legitimate.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.316

6-for-19

PA

19

HR

1

K

3

BB

0

Pitches seen

71

Avg exit velo

83.3 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-04-03Single · Sweeper 85.1 mph · 101.2 mph EV
• 2026-04-03Single · Curveball 80.7 mph · 66.4 mph EV
• 2025-07-24Field Out · Sweeper 84.7 mph · 70.6 mph EV
• 2025-07-24Single · Changeup 84.0 mph · 80.8 mph EV
• 2025-07-24Field Out · Curveball 79.6 mph · 51.9 mph EV
• 2024-05-03Strikeout · Sinker 92.2 mph
• 2024-05-03Field Out · Changeup 88.4 mph · 82.3 mph EV
• 2024-05-03Strikeout · Sweeper 85.8 mph
• 2023-09-17Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 92.6 mph · 88.2 mph EV
• 2023-09-17Field Out · Sweeper 85.5 mph · 90.5 mph EV
• 2023-09-17Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 92.6 mph
• 2023-04-12Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 92.8 mph · 90.1 mph EV
• 2023-04-12Field Out · Curveball 79.6 mph · 72.3 mph EV
• 2022-09-02Field Out · Curveball 78.8 mph · 99.2 mph EV
• 2022-09-02Field Out · Slider 83.0 mph · 77.3 mph EV
• 2022-07-14Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 93.1 mph · 91.4 mph EV
• 2022-07-14Single · Curveball 78.9 mph · 69.1 mph EV
• 2021-09-29Single · 4-Seam Fastball 93.4 mph · 97.3 mph EV
• 2021-09-29Home Run · Sinker 91.8 mph · 103.9 mph EV