Ezequiel Tovar vs Sandy Alcantara

The Almanac's Take

Tovar is struggling badly this season — .199/.242/.570 OPS across 335 plate appearances, with a 25.7% strikeout rate that makes him a tough sell against anyone. Alcantara has been solid in his return, 3.95 ERA and 7.0 K/9 over 136.2 innings, and the platoon edge sits with him here since both are right-handed. The 11-PA head-to-head is too thin to move the needle — three hits and a .273 average in that sample is noise, not signal. This matchup reads as a clear lean toward Alcantara, entirely on the season numbers.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.273

3-for-11

PA

11

HR

0

K

0

BB

0

Pitches seen

26

Avg exit velo

90.3 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-06-29Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 96.4 mph · 74.0 mph EV
• 2026-06-29Field Out · Cutter 88.9 mph · 98.0 mph EV
• 2026-06-29Sac Fly · Changeup 92.4 mph · 83.5 mph EV
• 2026-03-27Field Out · Cutter 90.6 mph · 76.7 mph EV
• 2026-03-27Field Error · Changeup 91.3 mph · 108.7 mph EV
• 2026-03-27Single · 4-Seam Fastball 95.6 mph · 102.9 mph EV
• 2025-09-18Field Out · Curveball 87.4 mph · 94.7 mph EV
• 2025-09-18Field Out · Changeup 89.4 mph · 80.5 mph EV
• 2025-09-18Single · Curveball 82.2 mph · 86.0 mph EV
• 2023-05-24Field Out · Slider 87.2 mph · 96.9 mph EV
• 2023-05-24Single · Sinker 98.6 mph · 90.9 mph EV