Ezequiel Tovar vs Kevin Gausman

The Almanac's Take

Tovar is having a rough season — .213/.258/.593 OPS across 244 PA, with a 27.9% strikeout rate that's a real problem against Gausman's 8.9 K/9 and a filthy splitter that makes up 40.5% of his pitch mix in their prior meetings. No platoon edge here either, both right-handed. The 11-PA Statcast sample (.455, five hits, zero strikeouts) is far too thin to lean on as anything other than a curiosity — at 90.6 mph average exit velocity, Tovar was making contact but not hitting it hard. The season-long numbers tell the more honest story, and they favor Gausman comfortably.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.455

5-for-11

PA

11

HR

0

K

0

BB

0

Pitches seen

37

Avg exit velo

90.6 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-04-01Single · Slider 84.7 mph · 93.9 mph EV
• 2026-04-01Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 92.8 mph · 57.3 mph EV
• 2025-08-06Field Out · Split-Finger 85.8 mph · 93.7 mph EV
• 2025-08-06Single · Slider 84.0 mph · 89.7 mph EV
• 2025-08-06Double · Split-Finger 86.4 mph · 105.3 mph EV
• 2024-04-12Field Out · Slider 81.4 mph · 82.2 mph EV
• 2024-04-12Single · Split-Finger 86.0 mph · 98.8 mph EV
• 2024-04-12Field Out · Split-Finger 82.9 mph · 92.7 mph EV
• 2023-09-03Field Out · Split-Finger 86.7 mph · 97.0 mph EV
• 2023-09-03Single · 4-Seam Fastball 94.1 mph · 89.5 mph EV
• 2023-09-03Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 94.9 mph · 96.7 mph EV