Colt Keith vs Michael Wacha

The Almanac's Take

Colt Keith gets the platoon edge here as a lefty against Wacha's right hand, which is the clearest signal in this matchup. Keith's season line is modest — .248/.282/.413 with a 21.6 K% and just 4.6 BB% in 241 PA — so the platoon advantage matters more as a structural edge than as a confirmation of hot form. Wacha has been serviceable at 3.66 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over 125.1 innings, but 15 homers allowed hints at some real contact damage when hitters square him up. The 23-PA head-to-head (.304, 91.9 mph exit velo, no walks) is too thin to lean on — treat it as a footnote, not a signal.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.304

7-for-23

PA

23

HR

0

K

5

BB

0

Pitches seen

67

Avg exit velo

91.9 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-05-09Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 92.8 mph · 76.9 mph EV
• 2026-05-09Strikeout · Sinker 94.4 mph
• 2026-05-09Strikeout · Changeup 81.4 mph
• 2025-08-31Double · 4-Seam Fastball 93.0 mph · 106.1 mph EV
• 2025-08-31Field Out · Cutter 86.1 mph · 86.0 mph EV
• 2025-08-31Strikeout · Slider 83.3 mph
• 2025-08-23Field Out · Curveball 73.9 mph · 80.1 mph EV
• 2025-08-23Strikeout · Cutter 87.4 mph
• 2025-08-23Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 92.3 mph · 102.3 mph EV
• 2025-05-31Single · Cutter 89.4 mph · 105.2 mph EV
• 2025-05-31Field Out · Changeup 80.4 mph · 79.6 mph EV
• 2025-05-31Field Out · Curveball 74.7 mph · 93.2 mph EV
• 2025-04-20Single · 4-Seam Fastball 93.0 mph · 106.3 mph EV
• 2025-04-20Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 90.7 mph · 87.5 mph EV
• 2024-08-04Single · 4-Seam Fastball 93.8 mph · 105.5 mph EV
• 2024-08-04Field Out · Slider 82.7 mph · 86.9 mph EV
• 2024-08-04Field Out · Changeup 81.6 mph · 88.3 mph EV
• 2024-05-20Double · 4-Seam Fastball 93.7 mph · 78.0 mph EV
• 2024-05-20Single · Changeup 81.4 mph · 108.4 mph EV
• 2024-05-20Single · 4-Seam Fastball 92.4 mph · 109.4 mph EV
• 2024-04-28Field Out · Changeup 80.3 mph · 71.6 mph EV
• 2024-04-28Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 93.2 mph · 83.5 mph EV
• 2024-04-28Strikeout · Changeup 79.0 mph