Brandon Lowe vs Dylan Cease

The Almanac's Take

Lowe gets the platoon edge as a lefty against Cease's right arm, and his .819 OPS with 21 home runs across 393 PA this season is the real foundation here. The problem is who's throwing: Cease is running a 2.56 ERA with 13.5 K/9 and a 3.36 K/BB ratio, and Lowe's 26.7 percent strikeout rate is a genuine vulnerability against that kind of swing-and-miss arsenal. The 16-PA head-to-head is too thin to weight heavily — the .357 average and two home runs are a footnote, not a trend. At 94 pitches per start pace, Cease's 39.4 percent slider usage is the pitch Lowe will see most, and that's the matchup to watch.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.357

5-for-14

PA

16

HR

2

K

6

BB

2

Pitches seen

94

Avg exit velo

95.2 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-05-24Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 97.7 mph
• 2026-05-24Field Out · Slider 88.6 mph · 105.3 mph EV
• 2025-04-26Walk · 4-Seam Fastball 96.4 mph
• 2025-04-26Home Run · 4-Seam Fastball 96.4 mph · 101.5 mph EV
• 2025-04-26Field Out · Slider 88.9 mph · 85.5 mph EV
• 2024-09-01Single · 4-Seam Fastball 97.2 mph · 85.6 mph EV
• 2024-09-01Force Out · Slider 87.6 mph · 86.3 mph EV
• 2024-09-01Strikeout · Slider 86.5 mph
• 2023-04-27Single · 4-Seam Fastball 95.3 mph · 93.3 mph EV
• 2023-04-27Home Run · Slider 85.6 mph · 106.3 mph EV
• 2023-04-27Triple · 4-Seam Fastball 95.5 mph · 97.5 mph EV
• 2023-04-22Strikeout · Slider 87.2 mph
• 2023-04-22Strikeout · Slider 87.4 mph
• 2022-04-15Walk · Slider 85.5 mph
• 2022-04-15Strikeout · Changeup 79.7 mph
• 2022-04-15Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 97.6 mph