Aaron Nola
Philadelphia Phillies · No. 27 · P

Aaron Nola

6' 2", 200 lbs·Age 33·Bats R / Throws R
↑ HotL3 games
Pitcher archetype· SP· CONTEXTUAL
Power / KOverpowering stuff — premium velocity and whiffs, strikeouts in bunches.2015–2026 · 28,802 pitches · 91.8 mph fastball
2026 · 20 G
5.68
ERA
3-7
W-L
103.0
IP
1.45
WHIP
108
SO
35
BB
9.4
K/9
0
SV
The Almanac's Take

AI-generated analysis coming soon.

Career Highs
2.37
Best ERA · 2018
17
Most W · 2018
235
Most K · 2022
0.96
Best WHIP · 2022
Career Arc · OPS
6 seasons
Career Arc · ERA
12 seasons
Statistical Comps
Last 10 Games
DateIPHERBBSOHRDec
Jul 16663463L
Jul 10532281
Jul 5773070L
Jun 294.33387252L
Jun 24532252
Jun 18572162
Jun 134.66763232
Jun 74.33365440
Jun 2542081
May 26632051W

Career · Hitting

7 seasons
YearTeamGABHRRBIAVGOPSOPS+
2015132301
2016203000
2017274801
2018336204
2019345902
202012000
2021334904
Career172271012

Career · Pitching

12 seasons
YearTeamGIPWLERAERA+SOWHIP
20151377.2623.59681.20
201620111.0694.781211.31
201727168.012113.541841.21
201833212.11762.372240.97
201934202.11273.872291.27
20201271.1553.28961.08
202132180.2994.632231.13
202232205.011133.252350.96
202332193.21294.462021.15
202433199.11483.571971.20
20251794.15106.01971.35
202620103.0375.681081.45
Career3051816.1112961984
Pitch Movement Map

Each pitch type this pitcher throws regularly, placed by how the ball moves — sideways break across, rise or drop down the side. Each dotted ring holds about the middle 85% of the league’s pitches of that type, so a cluster sitting outside its ring is movement most pitchers don’t have.

RHP · 28,731 pitches · 2015–2026
-24-12+12+24-24-12+12+24← GLOVE SIDEARM SIDE →HORIZONTAL BREAK (IN)INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (IN)FFKCSICHFCCU
FF · 4-Seam Fastball30.8% · 92.6 mph
KC · Knuckle Curve27.6% · 78.6 mph
SI · Sinker19.5% · 91.5 mph
CH · Changeup15.5% · 85.1 mph
FC · Cutter3.5% · 86.7 mph
CU · Curveball3.0% · 76.9 mph

The dots — a sample of this pitcher’s regular-season pitches, placed by movement: left–right is horizontal break, up–down is induced vertical break (what the pitch does beyond gravity). The view is handedness-neutral — positive break is toward the pitcher’s arm side for lefties and righties alike, so every sinker runs right and every sweeper breaks left, whoever throws it.

The dotted rings — about the middle 85% of where each pitch type lands league-wide (a 2-standard-deviation spread), measured from 7.5 million regular-season pitches since 2015. A cluster sitting well outside its ring is movement most of the league doesn’t get. Spring training and the postseason are excluded.

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Matchups, projections, comps — grounded in Lahman, Retrosheet, and Statcast.

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