1 game · 2 starters · Updated Jul 25, 12:23 PM ET
Two starters, one clear lean. Mize against Kansas City carries the top projection on the board — 6.6 Ks and 1.7 ER over 6.2 innings at high confidence, and that matchup grades as the better side of this same-game pair. His 2.79 ERA on the season backs the projection rather than fighting it. Wacha draws the same Tigers lineup from the other dugout, and the read flips hard: unfavorable matchup, 2.5 projected ER in just 5.1 innings, 5.3 projected Ks. Thin slate, but the direction is clean — Mize is the only arm here worth building around.
Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals
| Date | IP | H | ER | BB | K | HR | P | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | 3.3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 74 | — |
| 2026-07-11 | 5.7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 97 | L |
| 2026-07-05 | 6.7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 94 | W |
| 2026-06-29 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 88 | W |
| 2026-06-23 | 5.7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 97 | L |
Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers
| Date | IP | H | ER | BB | K | HR | P | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 96 | — |
| 2026-07-09 | 4.7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 104 | L |
| 2026-07-04 | 6.0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 105 | L |
| 2026-06-27 | 7.7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 105 | — |
| 2026-06-22 | 7.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 99 | W |
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