MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

July 18, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

1 game · 1 starter · Updated Jul 18, 10:40 AM ET

The Almanac's Take

One-game slate, so this is simple: Jones is the only arm on the board. The matchup grades out as strong, and his projections are respectable — 6.3 strikeouts and 6.2 innings with just 1.0 projected earned runs is a clean line against Cleveland. The catch is 10 days of extended rest flagged as a rust risk, which is real; his 4.37 season ERA is the other thing keeping confidence at medium rather than higher. There's no alternative here, so Jones is the read by default, rust flag and all.

#1Jared Jones(RHP)

vs Cleveland Guardians

GS: 8
IP: 35.0
W-L: 1-1
ERA: 4.37
WHIP: 1.14
K/9: 10.00
BB/9: 2.80
K/BB: 3.55

Projection

Matchup · elite

IP: 6.2
K: 6.3
ER: 1.0
H: 4.6
HR: 0.40
BB: 1.3
QS%: 80%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 20.8
Floor: 4.3
Ceiling: 37.3
Rest: 10d

Extended rest (10 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Jared Jones.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-08	6.0	0	0	0	8	0	77	—
2026-07-02	4.0	2	1	2	6	0	73	—
2026-06-27	4.7	4	3	1	4	1	81	—
2026-06-21	3.0	1	1	2	3	0	45	—
2026-06-15	4.0	8	5	1	4	2	75	L

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