1 game · 1 starter · Updated Jul 17, 2:26 PM ET
One starter on the board today, so this is a short read. Griffin Jax projects for 5.6 K and 5.1 IP against Boston, a matchup the model grades unfavorable — that context matters when his ceiling is already capped by a moderate workload projection. The 2.0 projected ER against a tough lineup isn't a red flag on its own given his 3.34 season ERA, but the unfavorable matchup tag and single-game slate mean there's nowhere to hide if the read is wrong. No flags on workload or velocity. Confidence is high, but the opportunity set here is genuinely thin.
vs Boston Red Sox
| Date | IP | H | ER | BB | K | HR | P | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | 5.0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 69 | W |
| 2026-07-06 | 5.0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 81 | L |
| 2026-06-30 | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 71 | W |
| 2026-06-24 | 5.0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 88 | W |
| 2026-06-19 | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 69 | W |
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