MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

July 10, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

15 games · 29 starters · Updated Jul 10, 4:15 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

Sale against St. Louis is the cleanest arm on the board — 6.5 projected Ks over 6.2 innings with a 2.4 projected ER, backed by a 2.2 season ERA and a favorable matchup tag with no flags. Messick draws a similar read against Miami: 6.2 projected innings, 2.1 projected ER, and no arsenal concerns on either side. McLean is worth a look despite the neutral matchup — his 1.7 projected ER is the lowest on the slate, though only 5.6 projected innings caps his ceiling. Flaherty and Burke both carry explicit flags that the opposing offense has handled their pitch mix well, which dims otherwise serviceable lines.

#1Chris Sale(RHP)

Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals

Busch Stadium · Pre-Game

GS: 15
IP: 90.0
W-L: 8-6
ERA: 2.20
WHIP: 1.08
K/9: 10.40
BB/9: 2.10
K/BB: 4.95

Projection

Matchup · favorable

IP: 6.2
K: 6.5
ER: 2.4
H: 5.5
HR: 0.40
BB: 1.6
QS%: 79%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 17.7
Floor: 3.7
Ceiling: 31.7
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Chris Sale.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-04	5.0	7	3	2	3	2	98	W
2026-06-28	6.0	8	1	1	10	0	94	L
2026-06-20	5.7	5	0	1	7	0	101	—
2026-06-10	5.7	6	2	1	6	0	103	L
2026-06-04	5.7	10	3	2	6	0	108	L

#2Parker Messick(RHP)

Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins

loanDepot park · Pre-Game

GS: 18
IP: 106.0
W-L: 7-5
ERA: 2.80
WHIP: 1.08
K/9: 9.30
BB/9: 2.70
K/BB: 3.41

Projection

Matchup · favorable

IP: 6.2
K: 5.8
ER: 2.1
H: 5.3
HR: 0.40
BB: 1.4
QS%: 80%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 17.2
Floor: 3.6
Ceiling: 30.8
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Parker Messick.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-04	5.0	5	1	3	3	0	100	—
2026-06-29	6.7	8	4	0	5	0	83	L
2026-06-23	7.7	3	2	1	10	1	95	L
2026-06-18	6.0	4	2	3	9	0	96	W
2026-06-10	5.7	5	4	3	4	0	100	L

#3Nolan McLean(RHP)

New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox

Citi Field · Pre-Game

GS: 18
IP: 101.3
W-L: 6-5
ERA: 3.73
WHIP: 1.12
K/9: 10.50
BB/9: 3.30
K/BB: 3.19

Projection

Matchup · neutral

IP: 5.6
K: 6.0
ER: 1.7
H: 4.7
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.7
QS%: 46%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 17.2
Floor: 3.6
Ceiling: 30.8
Rest: 5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Nolan McLean.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-05	6.0	5	2	1	5	0	96	W
2026-06-30	6.0	5	0	2	7	0	91	W
2026-06-24	6.0	7	6	2	9	2	104	L
2026-06-17	7.0	3	0	1	9	0	101	W
2026-06-12	4.0	3	2	4	6	0	93	—

#4Sonny Gray(RHP)

Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets

Citi Field · Pre-Game

GS: 16
IP: 89.7
W-L: 10-1
ERA: 2.61
WHIP: 1.10
K/9: 8.20
BB/9: 2.30
K/BB: 3.57

Projection

Matchup · neutral

IP: 6.2
K: 6.5
ER: 2.7
H: 5.7
HR: 0.30
BB: 1.8
QS%: 76%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 16.9
Floor: 3.5
Ceiling: 30.3
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Sonny Gray.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-04	6.0	4	1	2	7	1	70	W
2026-06-28	7.3	1	0	1	9	0	97	—
2026-06-23	7.0	6	1	3	11	1	93	W
2026-06-18	7.0	6	3	1	4	2	89	—
2026-06-12	6.0	5	1	0	7	0	88	W

#5Shota Imanaga(RHP)

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

Great American Ball Park · Pre-Game

GS: 18
IP: 103.0
W-L: 5-7
ERA: 4.37
WHIP: 1.10
K/9: 8.70
BB/9: 2.30
K/BB: 3.85

Projection

Matchup · neutral

IP: 5.6
K: 6.1
ER: 2.2
H: 5.0
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.3
QS%: 42%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 16.4
Floor: 3.4
Ceiling: 29.4
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Shota Imanaga.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-04	4.7	4	2	3	8	1	86	L
2026-06-29	6.3	9	2	0	4	0	97	—
2026-06-24	5.3	4	4	1	4	3	69	W
2026-06-15	5.7	5	1	1	3	0	85	—
2026-06-10	5.0	2	0	2	7	0	90	—

#6Jack Flaherty(RHP)

Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies

Comerica Park · Pre-Game

GS: 15
IP: 66.7
W-L: 2-7
ERA: 4.18
WHIP: 1.45
K/9: 10.40
BB/9: 4.30
K/BB: 2.41

Projection

Matchup · favorable

IP: 6.2
K: 6.1
ER: 2.5
H: 5.5
HR: 0.30
BB: 2.2
QS%: 79%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 16.3
Floor: 3.4
Ceiling: 29.2
Rest: 6d

Philadelphia Phillies has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Jack Flaherty.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	P	Dec
2026-07-04	5.7	3	0	0	5	88	W
2026-06-28	5.0	2	0	3	9	94	—
2026-06-12	3.0	3	2	1	1	63	L
2026-06-07	5.0	6	3	1	7	87	—
2026-06-02	5.0	5	0	2	6	94	W

#7Sean Burke(RHP)

Chicago White Sox vs Athletics

Rate Field · Pre-Game

GS: 18
IP: 98.7
W-L: 5-4
ERA: 3.56
WHIP: 1.22
K/9: 9.70
BB/9: 3.00
K/BB: 3.21

Projection

Matchup · neutral

IP: 6.2
K: 6.4
ER: 2.8
H: 5.8
HR: 0.40
BB: 2.2
QS%: 40%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 16.2
Floor: 3.3
Ceiling: 29.1
Rest: 6d

Athletics has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Sean Burke.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-04	6.0	7	1	0	11	1	95	—
2026-06-29	5.3	4	2	3	8	0	89	—
2026-06-23	6.3	6	1	1	6	1	90	W
2026-06-18	7.3	5	1	1	8	1	88	W
2026-06-13	4.0	6	4	5	6	2	92	L

#8Sandy Alcantara(RHP)

Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians

loanDepot park · Pre-Game

GS: 19
IP: 123.7
W-L: 10-4
ERA: 4.08
WHIP: 1.26
K/9: 6.70
BB/9: 2.40
K/BB: 2.79

Projection

Matchup · favorable

IP: 5.6
K: 5.3
ER: 1.8
H: 4.7
HR: 0.20
BB: 2.0
QS%: 46%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 15.4
Floor: 3.2
Ceiling: 27.6
Rest: 6d

Cleveland Guardians struggles against this pitch mix — arsenal matchup favors pitcher

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Sandy Alcantara.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-04	8.0	6	1	1	8	0	100	W
2026-06-29	5.7	7	5	5	3	0	96	W
2026-06-23	6.7	5	1	3	4	0	109	W
2026-06-17	6.0	8	2	1	6	0	102	W
2026-06-12	8.0	5	3	1	7	2	102	W

#9Brandon Sproat(RHP)

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates

PNC Park · Pre-Game

GS: 17
IP: 79.0
W-L: 3-4
ERA: 5.13
WHIP: 1.37
K/9: 9.60
BB/9: 4.20
K/BB: 2.27

Projection

Matchup · neutral

IP: 5.6
K: 5.7
ER: 2.3
H: 5.1
HR: 0.20
BB: 2.2
QS%: 41%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 14.8
Floor: 3.1
Ceiling: 26.5
Rest: 5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Brandon Sproat.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-05	4.0	5	1	3	4	0	92	—
2026-06-30	5.3	4	2	2	7	1	106	W
2026-06-23	6.0	1	0	0	10	0	80	W
2026-06-17	3.7	2	4	2	6	1	65	—
2026-06-10	6.0	4	1	1	3	1	68	—

#10Aaron Nola(RHP)

Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers

Comerica Park · Pre-Game

GS: 18
IP: 92.0
W-L: 3-6
ERA: 5.87
WHIP: 1.46
K/9: 9.20
BB/9: 2.80
K/BB: 3.24

Projection

Matchup · neutral

IP: 5.1
K: 5.6
ER: 2.1
H: 4.6
HR: 0.30
BB: 1.4
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 14.7
Floor: 3.0
Ceiling: 26.4
Rest: 5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Aaron Nola.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-05	7.0	7	3	0	7	0	98	L
2026-06-29	4.3	8	7	2	5	2	86	L
2026-06-24	5.0	3	2	2	5	2	86	—
2026-06-18	5.0	7	2	1	6	2	97	—
2026-06-13	4.7	6	3	2	3	2	85	—

#11Braxton Ashcraft(RHP)

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers

PNC Park · Pre-Game

GS: 18
IP: 108.3
W-L: 9-3
ERA: 3.24
WHIP: 1.10
K/9: 10.10
BB/9: 2.10
K/BB: 4.88

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 5.6
K: 5.8
ER: 2.7
H: 5.4
HR: 0.30
BB: 1.3
QS%: 38%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 14.6
Floor: 3.0
Ceiling: 26.2
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Braxton Ashcraft.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-04	5.7	6	1	2	7	1	94	W
2026-06-29	6.0	5	5	1	8	3	97	W
2026-06-24	6.0	5	1	0	10	0	86	W
2026-06-17	6.0	4	1	3	7	0	93	W
2026-06-12	5.0	5	2	2	4	0	90	—

#12Robbie Ray(RHP)

San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies

Oracle Park · Scheduled

GS: 18
IP: 101.7
W-L: 8-6
ERA: 3.45
WHIP: 1.23
K/9: 7.60
BB/9: 4.10
K/BB: 1.87

Projection

Matchup · favorable

IP: 5.6
K: 5.2
ER: 2.0
H: 4.8
HR: 0.30
BB: 2.3
QS%: 44%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 14.6
Floor: 3.0
Ceiling: 26.2
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Robbie Ray.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-04	6.0	5	3	3	4	1	88	W
2026-06-28	8.0	4	0	1	2	0	95	W
2026-06-23	8.0	2	0	4	6	0	102	W
2026-06-17	6.3	2	0	2	8	0	94	W
2026-06-10	5.7	7	5	0	3	1	93	—

#13Brandon Young(RHP)

Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Pre-Game

GS: 14
IP: 77.3
W-L: 7-2
ERA: 3.72
WHIP: 1.37
K/9: 7.20
BB/9: 3.50
K/BB: 2.07

Projection

Matchup · neutral

IP: 5.1
K: 5.3
ER: 2.0
H: 4.6
HR: 0.20
BB: 2.1
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 13.9
Floor: 2.9
Ceiling: 24.9
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Brandon Young.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-04	5.0	8	4	3	5	0	102	W
2026-06-27	5.0	7	2	2	8	1	93	—
2026-06-21	5.0	5	1	2	5	0	95	W
2026-06-16	6.0	4	3	4	2	0	92	L
2026-06-10	7.0	2	0	2	5	0	88	W

#14Cal Quantrill(RHP)

Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros

Globe Life Field · Pre-Game

GS: 17
IP: 38.3
W-L: 3-1
ERA: 3.52
WHIP: 1.17
K/9: 6.10
BB/9: 2.80
K/BB: 2.17

Projection

Matchup · neutral

IP: 5.1
K: 5.1
ER: 2.2
H: 4.7
HR: 0.50
BB: 1.2
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 13.6
Floor: 2.8
Ceiling: 24.4
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Cal Quantrill.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-04	5.0	3	2	1	2	1	66	L
2026-06-27	4.0	2	0	1	5	0	55	—
2026-05-22	3.0	3	0	1	0	0	39	—
2026-05-08	3.3	3	1	2	2	0	70	—
2026-05-02	3.0	2	0	2	2	0	56	—

#15Carson Palmquist(RHP)

Washington Nationals vs New York Yankees

Nationals Park · Pre-Game

GS: 4
IP: 6.3
W-L: 0-1
ERA: 7.11
WHIP: 1.58
K/9: 9.90
BB/9: 2.80
K/BB: 3.50

Projection

Matchup · neutral

IP: 5.1
K: 5.0
ER: 2.1
H: 4.6
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.8
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 13.3
Floor: 2.7
Ceiling: 23.9
Rest: 16d

Extended rest (16 days) — rust risk
low sample

Last 1 Start

Recent starts for Carson Palmquist.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-06-24	3.3	2	1	1	3	0	58	—

#16Hunter Brown(RHP)

Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers

Globe Life Field · Pre-Game

GS: 6
IP: 29.3
W-L: 1-0
ERA: 3.37
WHIP: 1.36
K/9: 10.70
BB/9: 5.20
K/BB: 2.06

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 5.1
K: 5.1
ER: 2.3
H: 4.7
HR: 0.20
BB: 2.5
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 12.6
Floor: 2.6
Ceiling: 22.6
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Hunter Brown.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-04	4.0	6	6	4	3	2	82	—
2026-06-28	6.0	5	2	2	4	1	103	—
2026-06-22	3.0	4	1	2	4	1	85	—
2026-06-16	5.7	3	1	3	7	0	92	—
2026-03-31	6.0	1	1	2	8	0	78	W

#17Luis Castillo(RHP)

Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays

Tropicana Field · Pre-Game

GS: 17
IP: 82.7
W-L: 3-7
ERA: 4.79
WHIP: 1.32
K/9: 8.40
BB/9: 2.90
K/BB: 2.85

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 5.1
K: 4.5
ER: 2.2
H: 4.6
HR: 0.30
BB: 1.3
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 12.4
Floor: 2.6
Ceiling: 22.2
Rest: 7d

Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Luis Castillo.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-03	6.0	5	2	1	4	0	101	L
2026-06-26	6.0	4	1	1	4	0	91	W
2026-06-19	4.0	7	4	0	4	0	63	—
2026-06-13	5.7	7	2	2	4	1	84	L
2026-06-07	5.7	2	1	1	5	1	100	—

#18Luinder Avila(RHP)

Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Pre-Game

GS: 17
IP: 51.7
W-L: 4-3
ERA: 5.05
WHIP: 1.59
K/9: 8.20
BB/9: 5.40
K/BB: 1.52

Projection

Matchup · neutral

IP: 5.1
K: 5.1
ER: 2.4
H: 4.8
HR: 0.30
BB: 2.6
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 12.3
Floor: 2.5
Ceiling: 22.1
Rest: 5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Luinder Avila.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-05	5.0	3	1	1	4	0	69	W
2026-06-28	4.0	6	4	3	4	1	86	—
2026-06-23	5.0	3	1	4	6	0	87	W
2026-06-17	5.7	3	1	1	5	0	91	W
2026-06-06	5.0	2	1	3	3	0	70	—

#19Zebby Matthews(RHP)

Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels

Target Field · Pre-Game

GS: 10
IP: 61.0
W-L: 4-5
ERA: 4.43
WHIP: 1.16
K/9: 7.50
BB/9: 2.40
K/BB: 3.19

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 4.5
K: 4.9
ER: 2.2
H: 4.3
HR: 0.30
BB: 1.4
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 11.9
Floor: 2.5
Ceiling: 21.3
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Zebby Matthews.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-04	4.7	3	4	4	5	2	79	—
2026-06-29	7.0	4	1	1	7	1	89	W
2026-06-22	6.0	6	2	2	5	2	108	L
2026-06-16	7.0	8	2	0	4	0	93	W
2026-06-11	6.0	9	7	1	4	3	81	L

#20Jacob Lopez(RHP)

Athletics vs Chicago White Sox

Rate Field · Pre-Game

GS: 13
IP: 53.7
W-L: 4-3
ERA: 7.04
WHIP: 1.84
K/9: 7.00
BB/9: 5.70
K/BB: 1.24

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 4.6
K: 4.6
ER: 2.0
H: 4.2
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.8
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 11.8
Floor: 2.4
Ceiling: 21.2
Rest: 3d

Pitching on short rest (3 days)

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Jacob Lopez.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-07	3.0	5	4	1	4	0	63	—
2026-05-24	4.7	6	1	1	3	0	91	W
2026-05-19	3.7	7	4	3	2	1	83	—
2026-05-14	5.0	4	2	3	2	2	86	—
2026-05-08	5.3	3	2	2	5	2	91	W

#21Kyle Leahy(RHP)

St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves

Busch Stadium · Pre-Game

GS: 17
IP: 86.3
W-L: 7-4
ERA: 3.86
WHIP: 1.45
K/9: 7.60
BB/9: 3.40
K/BB: 2.21

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 5.1
K: 4.8
ER: 2.5
H: 4.9
HR: 0.20
BB: 2.1
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 11.7
Floor: 2.4
Ceiling: 21.0
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Kyle Leahy.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-04	5.0	3	0	2	6	0	77	W
2026-06-28	5.0	2	1	3	5	0	87	W
2026-06-23	6.3	3	0	2	3	0	85	—
2026-06-17	6.0	7	3	1	7	0	81	L
2026-06-12	5.0	8	4	1	5	1	77	—

#22Nick Martinez(RHP)

Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners

Tropicana Field · Pre-Game

GS: 17
IP: 100.0
W-L: 7-2
ERA: 2.61
WHIP: 1.13
K/9: 5.50
BB/9: 1.60
K/BB: 3.39

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 4.5
K: 4.4
ER: 2.3
H: 4.4
HR: 0.20
BB: 0.7
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 11.1
Floor: 2.3
Ceiling: 19.9
Rest: 7d

Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Nick Martinez.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-03	5.3	3	1	1	3	1	85	—
2026-06-26	5.7	6	1	0	3	1	85	W
2026-06-21	6.0	4	3	3	5	1	88	—
2026-06-15	5.3	5	3	1	6	1	96	—
2026-06-09	7.0	6	3	0	2	0	73	W

#23Tanner Gordon(RHP)

Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants

Oracle Park · Scheduled

GS: 11
IP: 45.3
W-L: 0-2
ERA: 6.95
WHIP: 1.59
K/9: 9.10
BB/9: 2.00
K/BB: 4.60

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 4.5
K: 4.2
ER: 2.3
H: 4.4
HR: 0.20
BB: 0.8
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 10.6
Floor: 2.2
Ceiling: 19.0
Rest: 5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Tanner Gordon.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-05	5.0	6	5	2	7	4	94	—
2026-06-30	5.0	9	5	0	4	1	74	L
2026-05-31	3.0	6	4	1	2	0	75	L
2026-05-25	5.0	6	1	1	3	0	80	—
2026-05-19	6.3	12	7	1	5	1	81	—

#24Eduardo Rodriguez(RHP)

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · Scheduled

GS: 18
IP: 108.0
W-L: 7-3
ERA: 2.25
WHIP: 1.16
K/9: 6.20
BB/9: 3.20
K/BB: 1.95

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 4.5
K: 4.3
ER: 2.8
H: 4.7
HR: 0.30
BB: 1.0
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 9.5
Floor: 2.0
Ceiling: 17.0
Rest: 5d

Los Angeles Dodgers has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Eduardo Rodriguez.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-05	6.0	5	2	0	3	1	102	L
2026-06-29	7.0	5	1	0	1	0	91	W
2026-06-23	6.7	3	0	3	5	0	95	—
2026-06-17	7.0	6	1	3	5	1	100	W
2026-06-06	6.3	6	4	1	5	2	92	L

#25JP Sears(RHP)

San Diego Padres vs Toronto Blue Jays

Petco Park · Scheduled

GS: 3
IP: 15.3
W-L: 2-1
ERA: 4.70
WHIP: 1.37
K/9: 8.20
BB/9: 4.10
K/BB: 2.00

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 3.9
K: 3.6
ER: 1.7
H: 3.6
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.6
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 9.3
Floor: 1.9
Ceiling: 16.7
Rest: 5d

Last 3 Starts

Recent starts for JP Sears.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-05	5.0	1	0	2	5	0	76	W
2026-06-30	4.7	8	6	3	4	3	95	L
2026-06-24	5.7	5	2	2	5	1	81	W

#26Ryan Weathers(RHP)

New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals

Nationals Park · Pre-Game

GS: 17
IP: 92.3
W-L: 3-7
ERA: 4.29
WHIP: 1.25
K/9: 10.10
BB/9: 2.60
K/BB: 3.85

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 3.9
K: 3.8
ER: 2.5
H: 4.1
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.3
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 8.0
Floor: 1.7
Ceiling: 14.3
Rest: 5d

Washington Nationals has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Ryan Weathers.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-05	4.0	6	4	2	6	0	88	L
2026-06-24	6.0	6	1	2	6	0	97	W
2026-06-18	6.3	3	1	1	8	1	88	—
2026-06-12	4.3	5	6	1	2	2	82	L
2026-06-05	6.0	7	5	1	4	2	93	L

#27Grayson Rodriguez(RHP)

Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins

Target Field · Pre-Game

GS: 5
IP: 20.7
W-L: 1-2
ERA: 10.02
WHIP: 2.13
K/9: 8.30
BB/9: 5.70
K/BB: 1.46

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 3.9
K: 3.6
ER: 2.3
H: 4.0
HR: 0.10
BB: 2.4
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 7.4
Floor: 1.5
Ceiling: 13.3
Rest: 32d

Extended rest (32 days) — rust risk
Minnesota Twins struggles against this pitch mix — arsenal matchup favors pitcher

Last 4 Starts

Recent starts for Grayson Rodriguez.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-06-08	5.3	6	2	2	6	0	92	—
2026-06-02	3.7	8	8	3	3	3	91	L
2026-05-22	5.7	7	4	2	5	1	97	W
2026-05-17	3.7	7	7	4	4	0	79	L

#28Shane Bieber(RHP)

Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres

Petco Park · Scheduled

GS: 3
IP: 13.0
W-L: 0-1
ERA: 9.00
WHIP: 2.08
K/9: 6.20
BB/9: 4.80
K/BB: 1.29

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 3.9
K: 3.9
ER: 3.1
H: 4.5
HR: 0.30
BB: 1.7
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 6.5
Floor: 1.3
Ceiling: 11.7
Rest: 6d

Last 3 Starts

Recent starts for Shane Bieber.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-04	4.0	6	7	3	3	2	89	L
2026-06-28	5.3	5	2	4	4	1	92	—
2026-06-23	3.7	9	4	0	2	3	75	—

#29Hunter Greene(RHP)

Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs

Great American Ball Park · Pre-Game

GS: 1
IP: 3.3
W-L: 0-1
ERA: 21.60
WHIP: 3.30
K/9: 18.90
BB/9: 10.80
K/BB: 1.75

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 3.9
K: 3.8
ER: 2.9
H: 4.4
HR: 0.30
BB: 2.8
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 6.1
Floor: 1.3
Ceiling: 10.9
Rest: 6d

low sample

Last 1 Start

Recent starts for Hunter Greene.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-07-04	3.3	7	8	4	7	1	89	L

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