3 games · 2 starters · Updated Jul 9, 11:58 AM ET
Two starters on the board today, and neither is an easy sell. Manaea is the cleaner projection — 4.7 strikeouts over 5.1 innings against Kansas City in a neutral matchup, with high confidence and no flags dragging on the number. His 5.16 ERA is an obvious concern, but the model likes this spot better than the season line suggests. Keller is harder to build around: 3.9 projected innings in an unfavorable matchup against Atlanta, 3.7 projected strikeouts, 2.5 projected earned runs — the floor is low. Thin slate; Manaea is the only arm here worth much attention.
vs Kansas City Royals
| Date | IP | H | ER | BB | K | HR | P | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | 5.0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 108 | L |
| 2026-06-29 | 5.7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 90 | L |
| 2026-06-24 | 3.0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 86 | — |
| 2026-06-18 | 5.3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 95 | — |
| 2026-06-13 | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 84 | L |
vs Atlanta Braves
| Date | IP | H | ER | BB | K | HR | P | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | 6.0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 83 | L |
| 2026-06-28 | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 79 | W |
| 2026-06-23 | 6.0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 92 | L |
| 2026-06-16 | 5.3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 96 | — |
| 2026-06-11 | 4.0 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 98 | L |
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