MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

July 8, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

15 games · 29 starters · Updated Jul 8, 1:59 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

Dylan Cease is the cleanest arm on a 29-game slate — 6.5 projected Ks, 1.7 projected ER over 6.2 projected innings against the Giants, no flags, high confidence, and a 2.79 season ERA that supports the number. MacKenzie Gore projects identically (6.5 K, 1.6 ER, 6.2 IP) against an Angels lineup rated elite on the matchup side, but seven days of extended rest is a real variable to weigh. Kyle Harrison draws the same caution — elite projections against St. Louis, 2.82 ERA as context, but 11 days off is the longest layoff on the board. Cease's clean workload history makes him the straightforward anchor.

#1MacKenzie Gore(RHP)

Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels

Globe Life Field · Scheduled

GS
18
IP
96.0
W-L
5-7
ERA
4.31
WHIP
1.27
K/9
9.80
BB/9
3.70
K/BB
2.67

Projection

Matchup · elite
IP
6.2
K
6.5
ER
1.6
H
5.0
HR
0.20
BB
1.8
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
19.5
Floor
4.0
Ceiling
35.0
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for MacKenzie Gore.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-015.07517192L
2026-06-257.04315098W
2026-06-206.05126095
2026-06-157.0442102102L
2026-06-105.08236087

#2Kyle Harrison(RHP)

Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals

Busch Stadium · Scheduled

GS
16
IP
79.7
W-L
8-1
ERA
2.82
WHIP
1.07
K/9
11.20
BB/9
2.30
K/BB
4.95

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
6.2
K
6.5
ER
1.8
H
5.1
HR
0.20
BB
1.4
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
19.3
Floor
4.0
Ceiling
34.6
Rest
11d
  • Extended rest (11 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Kyle Harrison.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-275.03219192
2026-06-206.34207185
2026-06-146.03003080W
2026-06-025.7412121106W
2026-05-266.04002092W

#3Troy Melton(RHP)

Detroit Tigers vs Athletics

Comerica Park · Scheduled

GS
7
IP
44.0
W-L
4-1
ERA
2.05
WHIP
0.80
K/9
6.50
BB/9
2.00
K/BB
3.20

Projection

Matchup · elite
IP
6.2
K
6.1
ER
1.7
H
5.0
HR
0.20
BB
1.1
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
18.9
Floor
3.9
Ceiling
33.9
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Troy Melton.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-016.32017084
2026-06-256.02106188L
2026-06-206.01135184W
2026-06-095.08405488W
2026-06-038.04225194W

#4Dylan Cease(RHP)

Toronto Blue Jays vs San Francisco Giants

Oracle Park · Pre-Game

GS
16
IP
90.3
W-L
5-4
ERA
2.79
WHIP
1.18
K/9
13.60
BB/9
4.10
K/BB
3.34

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
6.2
K
6.5
ER
1.7
H
5.0
HR
0.30
BB
3.1
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
18.5
Floor
3.8
Ceiling
33.2
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Dylan Cease.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-037.030190102W
2026-06-274.7445100107L
2026-06-225.732480110
2026-06-165.040470108W
2026-06-096.031111093

#5Steven Cruz(RHP)

Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets

Citi Field · Scheduled

GS
26
IP
28.3
W-L
2-2
ERA
5.08
WHIP
1.45
K/9
11.80
BB/9
5.10
K/BB
2.31

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
6.2
K
6.6
ER
2.0
H
5.2
HR
0.20
BB
3.0
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
18.0
Floor
3.7
Ceiling
32.3
Rest
5d
  • New York Mets has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

No completed starts on record.

#6Gerrit Cole(RHP)

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

Tropicana Field · Scheduled

GS
8
IP
42.7
W-L
3-3
ERA
4.01
WHIP
1.20
K/9
8.60
BB/9
2.10
K/BB
4.10

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
6.2
K
5.9
ER
2.0
H
5.2
HR
0.40
BB
1.1
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
17.8
Floor
3.7
Ceiling
31.9
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Gerrit Cole.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-035.05207188W
2026-06-275.37415289L
2026-06-224.39515189L
2026-06-166.03226190W
2026-06-094.05224083

#7Grant Holmes(RHP)

Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates

PNC Park · Scheduled

GS
17
IP
82.3
W-L
5-4
ERA
3.83
WHIP
1.35
K/9
7.80
BB/9
4.20
K/BB
1.87

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
6.2
K
6.4
ER
2.5
H
5.5
HR
0.40
BB
1.6
QS%
78%
Win%
45%
DK pts
17.3
Floor
3.6
Ceiling
31.0
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Grant Holmes.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-035.05112182W
2026-06-274.01004047
2026-06-224.73154191L
2026-06-093.74322167
2026-06-036.05224189W

#8Chase Burns(RHP)

Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies

Great American Ball Park · Scheduled

GS
17
IP
97.7
W-L
10-1
ERA
2.40
WHIP
1.08
K/9
10.70
BB/9
2.90
K/BB
3.74

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
6.2
K
6.6
ER
2.6
H
5.6
HR
0.30
BB
1.8
QS%
77%
Win%
45%
DK pts
17.3
Floor
3.6
Ceiling
31.0
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Chase Burns.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-026.04224189W
2026-06-276.095010193
2026-06-215.05137196W
2026-06-155.040370100W
2026-06-095.362270105

#9Connor Prielipp(RHP)

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians

Target Field · Scheduled

GS
12
IP
61.7
W-L
2-5
ERA
4.96
WHIP
1.38
K/9
9.50
BB/9
3.40
K/BB
2.83

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
5.6
K
5.7
ER
1.7
H
4.7
HR
0.30
BB
1.1
QS%
46%
Win%
45%
DK pts
16.9
Floor
3.5
Ceiling
30.3
Rest
10d
  • Extended rest (10 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Connor Prielipp.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-286.062010093
2026-06-196.09334197L
2026-06-136.07422198
2026-06-074.34217077L
2026-06-026.06427094W

#10Walbert Ureña(RHP)

Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers

Globe Life Field · Scheduled

GS
4
IP
11.3
W-L
0-3
ERA
4.76
WHIP
2.21
K/9
10.30
BB/9
7.90
K/BB
1.30

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
6.2
K
6.1
ER
2.4
H
5.5
HR
0.30
BB
2.4
QS%
79%
Win%
45%
DK pts
16.4
Floor
3.4
Ceiling
29.4
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Walbert Ureña.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-025.711460107L
2026-06-264.36725071L
2026-06-205.04006090W
2026-06-157.07323188L
2026-06-095.030570107W

#11Foster Griffin(RHP)

Washington Nationals vs Houston Astros

Nationals Park · Scheduled

GS
18
IP
103.3
W-L
9-2
ERA
2.87
WHIP
1.04
K/9
8.70
BB/9
2.30
K/BB
3.85

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.6
K
5.8
ER
2.3
H
5.1
HR
0.20
BB
1.6
QS%
41%
Win%
45%
DK pts
15.4
Floor
3.2
Ceiling
27.6
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Foster Griffin.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-035.04112183W
2026-06-277.030290112
2026-06-227.341091105W
2026-06-166.061260100
2026-06-106.061051100

#12George Kirby(RHP)

Seattle Mariners vs Miami Marlins

loanDepot park · Scheduled

GS
17
IP
104.0
W-L
7-7
ERA
3.81
WHIP
1.31
K/9
7.90
BB/9
2.10
K/BB
3.79

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.6
K
5.3
ER
2.2
H
5.0
HR
0.20
BB
1.2
QS%
42%
Win%
45%
DK pts
14.9
Floor
3.1
Ceiling
26.7
Rest
9d
  • Extended rest (9 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for George Kirby.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-298.072171100W
2026-06-236.08125091W
2026-06-176.08305192L
2026-06-106.0733101104L
2026-06-034.09415089L

#13Dean Kremer(RHP)

Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Scheduled

GS
3
IP
17.0
W-L
1-1
ERA
3.18
WHIP
0.88
K/9
10.60
BB/9
1.60
K/BB
6.67

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.6
K
5.8
ER
2.8
H
5.4
HR
0.20
BB
1.1
QS%
37%
Win%
45%
DK pts
14.5
Floor
3.0
Ceiling
26.0
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk
  • Chicago Cubs has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 3 Starts

Recent starts for Dean Kremer.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-016.04114179W
2026-04-186.02327195L
2026-04-135.06209380

#14Jake Bennett(RHP)

Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox

Rate Field · Scheduled

GS
7
IP
40.7
W-L
3-3
ERA
3.10
WHIP
0.98
K/9
6.90
BB/9
1.50
K/BB
4.43

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.6
K
5.5
ER
2.6
H
5.2
HR
0.30
BB
1.1
QS%
39%
Win%
45%
DK pts
14.4
Floor
3.0
Ceiling
25.8
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Jake Bennett.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-037.75206192W
2026-06-276.33123187W
2026-06-226.04009072
2026-06-175.33205079L
2026-06-105.07414073L

#15Logan Webb(RHP)

San Francisco Giants vs Toronto Blue Jays

Oracle Park · Pre-Game

GS
14
IP
88.3
W-L
5-5
ERA
3.36
WHIP
1.12
K/9
7.20
BB/9
2.30
K/BB
3.09

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.1
K
4.8
ER
1.8
H
4.4
HR
0.20
BB
1.4
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.8
Floor
2.8
Ceiling
24.8
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Logan Webb.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-033.011722276L
2026-06-277.01026092W
2026-06-218.052151103L
2026-06-148.070070106W
2026-06-088.05107099

#16Jeffrey Springs(RHP)

Athletics vs Detroit Tigers

Comerica Park · Scheduled

GS
18
IP
93.3
W-L
3-8
ERA
5.79
WHIP
1.38
K/9
7.70
BB/9
3.20
K/BB
2.42

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.1
K
5.4
ER
2.3
H
4.7
HR
0.30
BB
1.8
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.6
Floor
2.8
Ceiling
24.4
Rest
8d
  • Extended rest (8 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Jeffrey Springs.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-305.38642292L
2026-06-255.33326187
2026-06-193.74644286
2026-06-144.07605377L
2026-06-085.08523299

#17Slade Cecconi(RHP)

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins

Target Field · Scheduled

GS
18
IP
95.3
W-L
4-6
ERA
4.44
WHIP
1.40
K/9
6.90
BB/9
2.80
K/BB
2.43

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.1
K
5.0
ER
2.1
H
4.6
HR
0.30
BB
1.4
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.5
Floor
2.8
Ceiling
24.2
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Slade Cecconi.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-025.095131100
2026-06-276.03024087W
2026-06-216.06221179L
2026-06-165.73124182
2026-06-095.06227187

#18Michael King(RHP)

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Petco Park · Scheduled

GS
18
IP
102.3
W-L
5-7
ERA
3.52
WHIP
1.16
K/9
7.70
BB/9
3.60
K/BB
2.15

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
4.9
ER
2.2
H
4.7
HR
0.20
BB
2.4
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
12.4
Floor
2.6
Ceiling
22.2
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Michael King.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-036.03225075
2026-06-284.33445090L
2026-06-227.06005093W
2026-06-164.35331093L
2026-06-106.773332106

#19Jared Jones(RHP)

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves

PNC Park · Scheduled

GS
7
IP
29.0
W-L
1-1
ERA
5.28
WHIP
1.38
K/9
9.60
BB/9
3.40
K/BB
2.82

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
5.0
ER
2.6
H
4.9
HR
0.40
BB
1.6
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
12.2
Floor
2.5
Ceiling
21.9
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Jared Jones.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-024.02126073
2026-06-274.74314181
2026-06-213.01123045
2026-06-154.08514275L
2026-06-104.03214075

#20Davis Martin(RHP)

Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox

Rate Field · Scheduled

GS
16
IP
90.3
W-L
8-3
ERA
3.19
WHIP
1.30
K/9
8.50
BB/9
2.70
K/BB
3.15

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.1
K
4.8
ER
2.2
H
4.7
HR
0.20
BB
2.4
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
12.2
Floor
2.5
Ceiling
21.9
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Davis Martin.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-023.36250073
2026-06-275.34013087
2026-06-216.05134077
2026-06-163.38934388L
2026-06-106.060060100W

#21Shane McClanahan(RHP)

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees

Tropicana Field · Scheduled

GS
16
IP
79.7
W-L
7-5
ERA
3.05
WHIP
1.17
K/9
8.70
BB/9
3.20
K/BB
2.75

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.8
ER
2.3
H
4.4
HR
0.40
BB
1.0
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
11.7
Floor
2.4
Ceiling
21.0
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Shane McClanahan.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-016.03004069W
2026-06-236.06214375L
2026-06-173.73253083
2026-06-124.08417074L
2026-06-065.08426181L

#22Colin Rea(RHP)

Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Scheduled

GS
17
IP
84.0
W-L
5-5
ERA
4.82
WHIP
1.44
K/9
6.80
BB/9
3.30
K/BB
2.03

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.6
ER
2.5
H
4.5
HR
0.20
BB
1.9
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
10.3
Floor
2.1
Ceiling
18.5
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Colin Rea.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-015.06235181W
2026-06-265.05134089
2026-06-205.33003078
2026-06-144.76432190L
2026-06-094.79732279L

#23Spencer Arrighetti(RHP)

Houston Astros vs Washington Nationals

Nationals Park · Scheduled

GS
13
IP
72.0
W-L
6-4
ERA
4.00
WHIP
1.26
K/9
9.50
BB/9
4.60
K/BB
2.05

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.4
ER
2.3
H
4.4
HR
0.30
BB
2.3
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
10.1
Floor
2.1
Ceiling
18.1
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Spencer Arrighetti.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-036.02114173
2026-06-263.05857393L
2026-06-206.06608390L
2026-06-146.084170101L
2026-06-086.04347095

#24Gabriel Hughes(RHP)

Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · Scheduled

GS
1
IP
3.0
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
1.00
K/9
3.00
BB/9
3.00
K/BB
1.00

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
4.4
ER
3.0
H
5.2
HR
0.10
BB
1.9
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
9.8
Floor
2.0
Ceiling
17.6
Rest
5d
  • Los Angeles Dodgers has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense
  • low sample

Last 1 Start

Recent starts for Gabriel Hughes.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-033.02011053S

#25Christian Scott(RHP)

New York Mets vs Kansas City Royals

Citi Field · Scheduled

GS
11
IP
49.0
W-L
2-1
ERA
3.49
WHIP
1.35
K/9
11.00
BB/9
4.60
K/BB
2.40

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
4.3
ER
1.9
H
3.7
HR
0.20
BB
2.4
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
9.7
Floor
2.0
Ceiling
17.4
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Christian Scott.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-034.02347282L
2026-06-274.33226182
2026-06-114.77416388
2026-06-055.73023098W
2026-05-305.05128096W

#26Michael McGreevy(RHP)

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers

Busch Stadium · Scheduled

GS
17
IP
95.3
W-L
3-7
ERA
3.12
WHIP
1.11
K/9
5.70
BB/9
2.10
K/BB
2.73

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.3
ER
2.9
H
4.8
HR
0.30
BB
1.0
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
9.3
Floor
1.9
Ceiling
16.7
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk
  • Milwaukee Brewers has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Michael McGreevy.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-016.03213187L
2026-06-266.05014094
2026-06-195.08512195L
2026-06-146.07222189
2026-06-076.05205283

#27Tyler Phillips(RHP)

Miami Marlins vs Seattle Mariners

loanDepot park · Scheduled

GS
23
IP
69.0
W-L
1-3
ERA
3.52
WHIP
1.38
K/9
6.80
BB/9
4.20
K/BB
1.62

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.9
ER
2.4
H
4.1
HR
0.30
BB
1.3
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
8.4
Floor
1.7
Ceiling
15.1
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Tyler Phillips.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-033.37522171
2026-06-287.36201197L
2026-06-226.05234189
2026-06-164.06834379L
2026-06-115.02025070W

#28Jose Cabrera(RHP)

Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres

Petco Park · Scheduled

GS
3
IP
13.3
W-L
0-1
ERA
4.73
WHIP
1.58
K/9
6.80
BB/9
3.40
K/BB
2.00

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.9
ER
2.9
H
4.4
HR
0.20
BB
1.9
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
6.8
Floor
1.4
Ceiling
12.2
Rest
5d
  • low sample

Last 3 Starts

Recent starts for Jose Cabrera.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-033.36333163
2026-06-275.07424280L
2026-06-215.03003062

#29Roki Sasaki(RHP)

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · Scheduled

GS
15
IP
75.0
W-L
3-5
ERA
5.40
WHIP
1.40
K/9
9.00
BB/9
3.80
K/BB
2.34

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.6
ER
2.6
H
4.2
HR
0.30
BB
2.4
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
6.6
Floor
1.4
Ceiling
11.8
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Roki Sasaki.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-07-023.07623388
2026-06-264.03352181L
2026-06-195.74316290
2026-06-124.37734191L
2026-06-057.020210098

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