MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

July 5, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

1 game · 1 starter · Updated Jul 5, 1:56 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

Thin slate today — one starter on the board, so this is a straightforward read. Bradish draws a neutral matchup against Cincinnati and projects to 5.1 IP with 5.2 strikeouts and 2.3 earned runs, a solid line that sits comfortably under his 3.97 season ERA. The confidence tag is high, which matters when there's nothing else to compare him against. The one real wrinkle is seven days of extended rest — rust risk is flagged, and with only 5.1 projected innings, the model may already be discounting a short leash if he's laboring early.

#1Kyle Bradish(RHP)

vs Cincinnati Reds

GS: 17
IP: 93.0
W-L: 5-8
ERA: 3.97
WHIP: 1.46
K/9: 9.30
BB/9: 4.50
K/BB: 2.04

Projection

Matchup · neutral

IP: 5.1
K: 5.2
ER: 2.3
H: 4.8
HR: 0.20
BB: 3.4
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 12.2
Floor: 2.5
Ceiling: 21.9
Rest: 7d

Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Kyle Bradish.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-06-28	4.0	1	3	5	2	0	85	L
2026-06-22	8.0	6	0	1	9	0	101	W
2026-06-17	7.7	5	1	2	12	0	100	W
2026-06-11	4.0	7	5	3	5	3	85	—
2026-06-06	4.0	9	5	3	3	1	81	L

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