MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

June 26, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

14 games · 26 starters · Updated Jun 26, 10:35 AM ET

The Almanac's Take

Sasaki is the clearest arm on the board — projected 1.6 ER over 6.2 innings against a San Diego lineup that struggles with his pitch mix, and that arsenal advantage is the kind of two-layer edge that's hard to find on a 26-game slate. The 7-day rest is a real flag, not a throwaway one, so treat his floor as slightly murkier than the 4.76 season ERA already suggests. Misiorowski carries the same rest concern but faces a softer Cubs matchup with a 1.45 ERA behind him. Wheeler is the cleanest projection on the page — 6.7 Ks, 1.9 ER, no flags, no noise.

#1Paul Skenes(RHP)

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds

PNC Park · Scheduled

GS
15
IP
82.7
W-L
6-6
ERA
3.27
WHIP
0.93
K/9
10.60
BB/9
1.60
K/BB
6.47

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
6.2
K
6.8
ER
1.9
H
5.1
HR
0.30
BB
1.5
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
19.6
Floor
4.0
Ceiling
35.2
Rest
6d
  • Cincinnati Reds has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Paul Skenes.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-206.042281104L
2026-06-146.0421102104L
2026-06-096.062270103
2026-06-034.773170109
2026-05-235.09412198L

#2Jacob Misiorowski(RHP)

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs

American Family Field · Scheduled

GS
15
IP
93.0
W-L
8-3
ERA
1.45
WHIP
0.75
K/9
13.40
BB/9
2.20
K/BB
6.00

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
6.2
K
6.8
ER
1.9
H
5.1
HR
0.20
BB
1.9
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
19.4
Floor
4.0
Ceiling
34.8
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Jacob Misiorowski.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-196.05217091L
2026-06-129.010015095W
2026-06-067.04038098W
2026-05-317.03008088W
2026-05-257.021112096W

#3Roki Sasaki(RHP)

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres

Petco Park · Scheduled

GS
13
IP
68.0
W-L
3-4
ERA
4.76
WHIP
1.29
K/9
9.30
BB/9
3.30
K/BB
2.80

Projection

Matchup · elite
IP
6.2
K
6.5
ER
1.6
H
4.9
HR
0.30
BB
2.3
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
19.3
Floor
4.0
Ceiling
34.6
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk
  • San Diego Padres struggles against this pitch mix — arsenal matchup favors pitcher

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Roki Sasaki.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-195.74316290
2026-06-124.37734191L
2026-06-057.020210098
2026-05-305.33117184
2026-05-235.04224087W

#4Zack Wheeler(RHP)

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Citi Field · Scheduled

GS
11
IP
68.3
W-L
7-1
ERA
2.11
WHIP
0.88
K/9
9.10
BB/9
2.40
K/BB
3.83

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
6.2
K
6.7
ER
1.9
H
5.1
HR
0.40
BB
2.2
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
19.0
Floor
3.9
Ceiling
34.1
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Zack Wheeler.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-215.742371104W
2026-06-156.02039097W
2026-06-096.06105196
2026-06-047.022381104W
2026-05-296.05414490L

#5Payton Tolle(RHP)

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

Fenway Park · Scheduled

GS
10
IP
59.7
W-L
3-5
ERA
3.32
WHIP
1.07
K/9
8.30
BB/9
2.40
K/BB
3.44

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
6.2
K
6.3
ER
2.5
H
5.6
HR
0.20
BB
2.2
QS%
78%
Win%
45%
DK pts
16.7
Floor
3.4
Ceiling
30.0
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Payton Tolle.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-216.06322179L
2026-06-165.04326290L
2026-06-096.09413094L
2026-06-036.07025099W
2026-05-226.04329085

#6Trevor Rogers(RHP)

Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Scheduled

GS
14
IP
73.0
W-L
4-7
ERA
5.30
WHIP
1.36
K/9
6.70
BB/9
3.00
K/BB
2.25

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
6.2
K
6.1
ER
2.5
H
5.5
HR
0.30
BB
1.8
QS%
78%
Win%
45%
DK pts
16.6
Floor
3.4
Ceiling
29.8
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Trevor Rogers.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-207.01026096W
2026-06-146.05224082L
2026-06-095.76313197
2026-06-045.75113087W
2026-05-296.06413284

#7Nathan Eovaldi(RHP)

Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays

Rogers Centre · Scheduled

GS
14
IP
86.3
W-L
7-6
ERA
4.07
WHIP
1.20
K/9
9.00
BB/9
2.10
K/BB
4.30

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.6
K
5.6
ER
2.2
H
5.0
HR
0.30
BB
1.1
QS%
42%
Win%
45%
DK pts
15.6
Floor
3.2
Ceiling
28.0
Rest
5d
  • Toronto Blue Jays has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Nathan Eovaldi.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-216.07319094W
2026-06-147.06316294W
2026-06-095.74433188L
2026-06-026.011417193
2026-05-237.05326197L

#8Walbert Ureña(RHP)

Los Angeles Angels vs Athletics

Angel Stadium · Scheduled

GS
4
IP
11.3
W-L
0-3
ERA
4.76
WHIP
2.21
K/9
10.30
BB/9
7.90
K/BB
1.30

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
6.2
K
5.8
ER
2.6
H
5.6
HR
0.20
BB
2.0
QS%
77%
Win%
45%
DK pts
15.6
Floor
3.2
Ceiling
28.0
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Walbert Ureña.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-205.04006090W
2026-06-157.07323188L
2026-06-095.030570107W
2026-06-036.03337199W
2026-05-296.05135192

#9J.T. Ginn(RHP)

Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels

Angel Stadium · Scheduled

GS
17
IP
82.7
W-L
5-4
ERA
3.16
WHIP
1.21
K/9
7.90
BB/9
3.80
K/BB
2.09

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.2
K
5.6
ER
1.8
H
4.5
HR
0.30
BB
1.8
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
15.3
Floor
3.2
Ceiling
27.4
Rest
6d
  • Fastball velocity declining vs season average — fatigue concern

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for J.T. Ginn.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-205.37435098L
2026-06-156.06023098W
2026-06-095.78535197W
2026-06-046.02118188
2026-05-306.04034080W

#10Luis Castillo(RHP)

Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians

Progressive Field · Scheduled

GS
15
IP
70.7
W-L
2-6
ERA
5.22
WHIP
1.39
K/9
8.80
BB/9
3.20
K/BB
2.76

Projection

Matchup · elite
IP
5.6
K
5.1
ER
1.8
H
4.7
HR
0.20
BB
1.7
QS%
46%
Win%
45%
DK pts
15.2
Floor
3.1
Ceiling
27.3
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Luis Castillo.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-194.07404063
2026-06-135.77224184L
2026-06-075.721151100
2026-05-315.02123071W
2026-05-254.02026068

#11Max Meyer(RHP)

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals

Busch Stadium · Scheduled

GS
16
IP
90.0
W-L
8-0
ERA
2.80
WHIP
1.16
K/9
10.20
BB/9
3.40
K/BB
3.00

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.6
K
5.9
ER
2.7
H
5.4
HR
0.30
BB
2.1
QS%
38%
Win%
45%
DK pts
14.3
Floor
3.0
Ceiling
25.6
Rest
6d
  • St. Louis Cardinals has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Max Meyer.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-205.07227198W
2026-06-146.061390105W
2026-06-095.37225295
2026-06-037.02127092W
2026-05-296.065361106

#12Andrew Alvarez(RHP)

Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Scheduled

GS
9
IP
32.3
W-L
1-0
ERA
3.34
WHIP
1.36
K/9
10.30
BB/9
3.30
K/BB
3.08

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.1
K
5.4
ER
2.2
H
4.7
HR
0.20
BB
1.6
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.9
Floor
2.9
Ceiling
24.9
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Andrew Alvarez.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-214.04106068
2026-06-154.05115058
2026-06-094.05254090
2026-06-034.74115182
2026-05-293.05321074

#13Spencer Arrighetti(RHP)

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers

Comerica Park · Scheduled

GS
11
IP
63.0
W-L
6-3
ERA
3.29
WHIP
1.24
K/9
9.30
BB/9
4.40
K/BB
2.10

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.1
K
5.4
ER
2.4
H
4.8
HR
0.20
BB
1.8
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.3
Floor
2.7
Ceiling
23.9
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Spencer Arrighetti.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-206.06608390L
2026-06-146.084170101L
2026-06-086.04347095
2026-06-034.06413183
2026-05-225.02045089W

#14Will Warren(RHP)

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Fenway Park · Scheduled

GS
15
IP
78.3
W-L
7-2
ERA
3.33
WHIP
1.31
K/9
9.70
BB/9
3.00
K/BB
3.23

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.1
K
5.0
ER
2.0
H
4.5
HR
0.20
BB
2.2
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.3
Floor
2.7
Ceiling
23.9
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Will Warren.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-205.78228190L
2026-06-144.08231098
2026-06-084.33225091
2026-05-316.06035082W
2026-05-256.03233185

#15Taj Bradley(RHP)

Minnesota Twins vs Colorado Rockies

Target Field · Scheduled

GS
14
IP
76.7
W-L
6-3
ERA
4.11
WHIP
1.32
K/9
9.90
BB/9
3.80
K/BB
2.62

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
5.2
ER
2.4
H
4.8
HR
0.30
BB
1.9
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
12.9
Floor
2.7
Ceiling
23.1
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Taj Bradley.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-205.03224191W
2026-06-146.754172101
2026-06-094.37533389L
2026-06-034.774550104L
2026-05-294.05426187

#16Keider Montero(RHP)

Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros

Comerica Park · Scheduled

GS
15
IP
80.7
W-L
3-5
ERA
3.68
WHIP
1.00
K/9
5.90
BB/9
1.90
K/BB
3.12

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
4.8
ER
2.5
H
4.9
HR
0.30
BB
0.9
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
12.4
Floor
2.6
Ceiling
22.2
Rest
5d
  • Houston Astros has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Keider Montero.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-217.06303176
2026-06-116.34014096W
2026-06-065.06411179L
2026-05-316.02004065
2026-05-265.78417189

#17Joey Cantillo(RHP)

Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners

Progressive Field · Scheduled

GS
16
IP
80.0
W-L
6-3
ERA
4.27
WHIP
1.40
K/9
8.50
BB/9
4.20
K/BB
2.05

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.7
K
4.9
ER
2.4
H
4.5
HR
0.20
BB
1.6
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
11.7
Floor
2.4
Ceiling
21.0
Rest
6d
  • Fastball velocity declining vs season average — fatigue concern

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Joey Cantillo.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-208.04119098W
2026-06-135.06104079W
2026-06-075.09727397L
2026-06-024.06434191
2026-05-215.73036098W

#18Walker Buehler(RHP)

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Petco Park · Scheduled

GS
15
IP
72.7
W-L
4-3
ERA
3.96
WHIP
1.32
K/9
8.10
BB/9
2.80
K/BB
2.83

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
4.9
ER
3.0
H
5.2
HR
0.30
BB
1.0
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
11.4
Floor
2.4
Ceiling
20.4
Rest
6d
  • Los Angeles Dodgers lineup has a 0.349 xwOBA vs RHP — tough matchup
  • Los Angeles Dodgers has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Walker Buehler.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-205.35117087
2026-06-145.06105186W
2026-06-084.78124086
2026-06-036.04126086
2026-05-275.33202058L

#19Patrick Corbin(RHP)

Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers

Rogers Centre · Scheduled

GS
13
IP
59.7
W-L
2-3
ERA
4.98
WHIP
1.58
K/9
6.50
BB/9
3.30
K/BB
1.95

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.2
ER
2.5
H
4.5
HR
0.20
BB
0.9
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
10.1
Floor
2.1
Ceiling
18.1
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Patrick Corbin.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-203.763341101
2026-06-143.77203076
2026-06-083.04543179L
2026-06-035.06421185L
2026-05-236.05107084W

#20Nick Martinez(RHP)

Tampa Bay Rays vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Tropicana Field · Scheduled

GS
15
IP
89.0
W-L
6-2
ERA
2.73
WHIP
1.16
K/9
5.60
BB/9
1.70
K/BB
3.24

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
3.9
ER
2.3
H
4.4
HR
0.20
BB
0.8
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
10.0
Floor
2.1
Ceiling
17.9
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Nick Martinez.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-216.04335188
2026-06-155.35316196
2026-06-097.06302073W
2026-06-034.09611258L
2026-05-297.08205088W

#21Andrew Abbott(RHP)

Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates

PNC Park · Scheduled

GS
16
IP
84.7
W-L
5-4
ERA
3.72
WHIP
1.41
K/9
6.80
BB/9
4.10
K/BB
1.64

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.5
ER
2.6
H
4.6
HR
0.30
BB
1.9
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
9.8
Floor
2.0
Ceiling
17.6
Rest
6d
  • Pittsburgh Pirates has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Andrew Abbott.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-205.05136197W
2026-06-145.04135195
2026-06-086.043261101L
2026-06-026.053450105
2026-05-276.052142101L

#22Michael McGreevy(RHP)

St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins

Busch Stadium · Scheduled

GS
15
IP
83.3
W-L
3-6
ERA
3.35
WHIP
1.15
K/9
5.70
BB/9
2.20
K/BB
2.65

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.7
ER
1.8
H
3.7
HR
0.20
BB
1.0
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
9.6
Floor
2.0
Ceiling
17.2
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Michael McGreevy.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-195.08512195L
2026-06-146.07222189
2026-06-076.05205283
2026-06-016.05221087L
2026-05-264.07536189L

#23Tomoyuki Sugano(RHP)

Colorado Rockies vs Minnesota Twins

Target Field · Scheduled

GS
15
IP
79.3
W-L
8-4
ERA
4.54
WHIP
1.30
K/9
5.20
BB/9
2.50
K/BB
2.09

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.6
ER
1.9
H
3.7
HR
0.20
BB
1.1
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
9.1
Floor
1.9
Ceiling
16.3
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Tomoyuki Sugano.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-206.04105185W
2026-06-145.09822197W
2026-06-095.06323193W
2026-06-025.05225096W
2026-05-274.76313283L

#24Zac Gallen(RHP)

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays

Tropicana Field · Scheduled

GS
16
IP
79.7
W-L
3-6
ERA
6.44
WHIP
1.64
K/9
5.90
BB/9
2.80
K/BB
2.08

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.6
ER
2.0
H
3.8
HR
0.30
BB
1.2
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
8.8
Floor
1.8
Ceiling
15.8
Rest
6d
  • Tampa Bay Rays struggles against this pitch mix — arsenal matchup favors pitcher

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Zac Gallen.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-204.012922081L
2026-06-146.06324285
2026-06-095.39413094
2026-06-035.09421190L
2026-05-295.08512384

#25Colin Rea(RHP)

Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

American Family Field · Scheduled

GS
15
IP
74.0
W-L
4-5
ERA
5.11
WHIP
1.41
K/9
6.60
BB/9
3.00
K/BB
2.16

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.7
ER
2.0
H
3.8
HR
0.20
BB
1.6
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
8.8
Floor
1.8
Ceiling
15.8
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Colin Rea.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-205.33003078
2026-06-144.76432190L
2026-06-094.79732279L
2026-06-035.34223069
2026-05-237.04334298L

#26Reynaldo López(RHP)

Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants

Oracle Park · Scheduled

GS
17
IP
41.7
W-L
3-1
ERA
3.67
WHIP
1.42
K/9
8.40
BB/9
4.50
K/BB
1.86

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.6
ER
1.8
H
3.7
HR
0.10
BB
2.4
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
8.5
Floor
1.8
Ceiling
15.2
Rest
5d
  • San Francisco Giants struggles against this pitch mix — arsenal matchup favors pitcher

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Reynaldo López.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-213.01013058
2026-04-145.05336096
2026-04-074.73027180
2026-04-025.04113179W
2026-03-286.03123177

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