MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

June 10, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

15 games · 28 starters · Updated Jun 10, 1:47 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

Rasmussen is the cleanest arm on the board — elite matchup against Boston, projected 1.6 ER over 6.2 innings with no flags attached, and a 6.1 projected strikeout line that holds up without needing a best-case scenario. Ohtani's 0.74 season ERA makes the 2.0 projected ER and 6.9 projected Ks look almost conservative, but the seven days of extended rest and Pittsburgh's favorable arsenal matchup are real friction points worth sitting with. Detmers against Houston at 6.6 projected Ks and 2.3 ER in a favorable matchup is the quieter angle here — season ERA of 4.38 creates the gap between perception and projection. Twenty-eight starters is a full slate; confidence grades run high on most of the names above.

#1Shohei Ohtani(RHP)

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates

PNC Park · Scheduled

GS
10
IP
61.0
W-L
6-2
ERA
0.74
WHIP
0.79
K/9
9.90
BB/9
2.70
K/BB
3.72

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
6.2
K
6.9
ER
2.0
H
5.2
HR
0.20
BB
2.2
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
19.1
Floor
3.9
Ceiling
34.3
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk
  • Pittsburgh Pirates has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Shohei Ohtani.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-036.02016089W
2026-05-276.00147099W
2026-05-205.03024088W
2026-05-137.040280105W
2026-05-057.04208289L

#2Drew Rasmussen(RHP)

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Tropicana Field · In Progress

GS
12
IP
66.0
W-L
5-2
ERA
3.00
WHIP
0.91
K/9
8.70
BB/9
1.60
K/BB
5.33

Projection

Matchup · elite
IP
6.2
K
6.1
ER
1.6
H
4.9
HR
0.30
BB
1.3
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
19.0
Floor
3.9
Ceiling
34.1
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Drew Rasmussen.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-057.01009087W
2026-05-304.04524170L
2026-05-247.05016092
2026-05-175.37222093W
2026-05-116.043161100W

#3Reid Detmers(RHP)

Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros

Angel Stadium · Scheduled

GS
13
IP
74.0
W-L
2-5
ERA
4.38
WHIP
1.15
K/9
10.70
BB/9
2.90
K/BB
3.67

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
6.2
K
6.6
ER
2.3
H
5.4
HR
0.30
BB
2.1
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
17.9
Floor
3.7
Ceiling
32.1
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Reid Detmers.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-056.02026091
2026-05-305.05337192W
2026-05-248.011014196
2026-05-195.78828092L
2026-05-135.763261102L

#4Jack Perkins(RHP)

Athletics vs Milwaukee Brewers

Las Vegas Ballpark · Scheduled

GS
18
IP
32.0
W-L
2-3
ERA
6.19
WHIP
1.28
K/9
11.00
BB/9
2.50
K/BB
4.33

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
6.2
K
6.3
ER
2.2
H
5.4
HR
0.30
BB
2.0
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
17.5
Floor
3.6
Ceiling
31.4
Rest
5d

Last 2 Starts

Recent starts for Jack Perkins.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-054.05526175L
2026-05-254.73207163

#5Chris Sale(RHP)

Atlanta Braves vs Chicago White Sox

Rate Field · Scheduled

GS
11
IP
67.7
W-L
7-4
ERA
2.13
WHIP
0.98
K/9
10.40
BB/9
2.10
K/BB
4.88

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.6
K
6.3
ER
2.1
H
4.9
HR
0.20
BB
1.8
QS%
43%
Win%
45%
DK pts
16.8
Floor
3.5
Ceiling
30.1
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Chris Sale.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-045.7103260108L
2026-05-207.04108096W
2026-05-146.050280100L
2026-05-087.052071102L
2026-05-027.0313110102W

#6Carlos Rodón(RHP)

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians

Progressive Field · In Progress

GS
5
IP
25.0
W-L
1-2
ERA
2.88
WHIP
1.20
K/9
9.70
BB/9
5.80
K/BB
1.69

Projection

Matchup · elite
IP
6.2
K
5.8
ER
2.0
H
5.2
HR
0.30
BB
3.2
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
16.3
Floor
3.4
Ceiling
29.2
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Carlos Rodón.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-046.02137096
2026-05-296.04123193W
2026-05-215.03137095L
2026-05-163.73236088L
2026-05-104.32354078

#7Jesús Luzardo(RHP)

Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays

Rogers Centre · Scheduled

GS
13
IP
73.0
W-L
4-4
ERA
4.68
WHIP
1.33
K/9
9.90
BB/9
2.60
K/BB
3.81

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.6
K
5.5
ER
2.1
H
4.9
HR
0.40
BB
1.7
QS%
43%
Win%
45%
DK pts
15.3
Floor
3.2
Ceiling
27.4
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Jesús Luzardo.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-056.07522390
2026-05-305.37226095
2026-05-256.040260104W
2026-05-196.05225095L
2026-05-146.04014092

#8Framber Valdez(RHP)

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins

Comerica Park · Scheduled

GS
13
IP
72.7
W-L
3-4
ERA
4.21
WHIP
1.31
K/9
7.30
BB/9
3.30
K/BB
2.19

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.1
K
5.2
ER
1.6
H
4.3
HR
0.20
BB
1.9
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
14.8
Floor
3.1
Ceiling
26.5
Rest
5d
  • Minnesota Twins struggles against this pitch mix — arsenal matchup favors pitcher

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Framber Valdez.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-055.051250102W
2026-05-306.76424189L
2026-05-246.02125192
2026-05-185.05443089L
2026-05-136.752270106

#9Andre Pallante(RHP)

St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets

Citi Field · Scheduled

GS
12
IP
63.7
W-L
6-4
ERA
4.10
WHIP
1.32
K/9
7.20
BB/9
3.30
K/BB
2.22

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.6
K
5.7
ER
2.6
H
5.2
HR
0.20
BB
1.7
QS%
39%
Win%
45%
DK pts
14.5
Floor
3.0
Ceiling
26.0
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk
  • New York Mets has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Andre Pallante.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-035.73125085W
2026-05-293.08413175
2026-05-236.02113193W
2026-05-176.78107199L
2026-05-125.04334085W

#10Parker Messick(RHP)

Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees

Progressive Field · In Progress

GS
13
IP
75.0
W-L
6-2
ERA
2.40
WHIP
1.07
K/9
9.40
BB/9
2.60
K/BB
3.55

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.6
K
5.6
ER
2.6
H
5.2
HR
0.30
BB
1.5
QS%
39%
Win%
45%
DK pts
14.4
Floor
3.0
Ceiling
25.8
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Parker Messick.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-055.75314285L
2026-05-305.05124093
2026-05-245.75026091W
2026-05-195.04236181
2026-05-136.742371104W

#11Austin Warren(RHP)

New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals

Citi Field · Scheduled

GS
16
IP
22.3
W-L
1-2
ERA
2.01
WHIP
1.12
K/9
9.30
BB/9
3.60
K/BB
2.56

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
5.6
ER
2.3
H
4.7
HR
0.40
BB
2.2
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.8
Floor
2.8
Ceiling
24.8
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

No completed starts on record.

#12George Kirby(RHP)

Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Scheduled

GS
13
IP
78.0
W-L
5-5
ERA
4.04
WHIP
1.28
K/9
7.40
BB/9
2.10
K/BB
3.56

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
5.2
ER
2.4
H
4.8
HR
0.20
BB
1.1
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.4
Floor
2.8
Ceiling
24.0
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for George Kirby.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-034.09415089L
2026-05-295.36414187
2026-05-236.09303092L
2026-05-175.76626298L
2026-05-115.07127099W

#13MacKenzie Gore(RHP)

Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals

Kauffman Stadium · Scheduled

GS
13
IP
66.0
W-L
4-5
ERA
4.23
WHIP
1.29
K/9
9.50
BB/9
4.10
K/BB
2.33

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.1
K
5.1
ER
2.1
H
4.6
HR
0.20
BB
1.9
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.4
Floor
2.8
Ceiling
24.0
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for MacKenzie Gore.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-034.794350100L
2026-05-296.34013099W
2026-05-246.01127099
2026-05-128.03115195W
2026-05-075.36533096L

#14Peter Lambert(RHP)

Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels

Angel Stadium · Scheduled

GS
9
IP
50.7
W-L
5-4
ERA
3.55
WHIP
1.26
K/9
8.30
BB/9
4.40
K/BB
1.88

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.1
K
5.2
ER
2.1
H
4.6
HR
0.30
BB
2.6
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.2
Floor
2.7
Ceiling
23.7
Rest
5d
  • Los Angeles Angels struggles against this pitch mix — arsenal matchup favors pitcher

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Peter Lambert.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-055.35144194W
2026-05-305.05233090W
2026-05-245.053450103W
2026-05-176.03526193L
2026-05-117.06316196L

#15Foster Griffin(RHP)

Washington Nationals vs San Francisco Giants

Oracle Park · Pre-Game

GS
13
IP
72.0
W-L
7-2
ERA
3.63
WHIP
1.10
K/9
8.60
BB/9
2.60
K/BB
3.29

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.7
ER
2.1
H
4.3
HR
0.40
BB
1.1
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
11.9
Floor
2.5
Ceiling
21.3
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Foster Griffin.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-055.02104162W
2026-05-305.05325390
2026-05-246.03016090W
2026-05-195.08505297W
2026-05-144.37937292L

#16Shota Imanaga(RHP)

Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies

Coors Field · Scheduled

GS
13
IP
76.0
W-L
4-6
ERA
4.86
WHIP
1.08
K/9
8.80
BB/9
2.30
K/BB
3.89

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.6
ER
2.4
H
4.4
HR
0.40
BB
1.0
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
11.1
Floor
2.3
Ceiling
19.9
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Shota Imanaga.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-046.06615484
2026-05-295.35512375L
2026-05-246.07716394L
2026-05-184.39832279L
2026-05-137.05206196L

#17Ryne Nelson(RHP)

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins

loanDepot park · Pre-Game

GS
13
IP
72.3
W-L
2-4
ERA
4.60
WHIP
1.18
K/9
6.80
BB/9
2.60
K/BB
2.62

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.1
ER
2.0
H
4.2
HR
0.30
BB
1.0
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
11.0
Floor
2.3
Ceiling
19.7
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Ryne Nelson.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-047.05223094
2026-05-305.37403499L
2026-05-248.061330103W
2026-05-197.08323288
2026-05-137.04308188

#18Michael King(RHP)

San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds

Petco Park · Pre-Game

GS
13
IP
74.0
W-L
4-5
ERA
3.41
WHIP
1.12
K/9
8.40
BB/9
3.50
K/BB
2.38

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.8
ER
2.6
H
4.6
HR
0.30
BB
1.4
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
10.7
Floor
2.2
Ceiling
19.2
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Michael King.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-056.06404293L
2026-05-306.05512177L
2026-05-243.75444181L
2026-05-187.040290100W
2026-05-135.76125099

#19Brandon Young(RHP)

Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Scheduled

GS
9
IP
49.3
W-L
4-1
ERA
4.01
WHIP
1.36
K/9
6.70
BB/9
3.10
K/BB
2.18

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.4
ER
2.4
H
4.4
HR
0.30
BB
1.3
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
10.5
Floor
2.2
Ceiling
18.8
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Brandon Young.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-056.37304185W
2026-05-306.77217086
2026-05-246.750240105
2026-05-173.75233170
2026-05-115.33235197

#20Ryan Gusto(RHP)

Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks

loanDepot park · Pre-Game

GS
3
IP
5.0
W-L
0-1
ERA
10.80
WHIP
1.80
K/9
9.00
BB/9
1.80
K/BB
5.00

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.6
ER
2.1
H
3.9
HR
0.10
BB
0.8
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
8.8
Floor
1.8
Ceiling
15.8
Rest
5d
  • low sample

Last 5 Starts

No completed starts on record.

#21Brady Singer(RHP)

Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres

Petco Park · Pre-Game

GS
12
IP
55.0
W-L
2-6
ERA
5.89
WHIP
1.69
K/9
6.90
BB/9
3.10
K/BB
2.21

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.8
ER
2.1
H
3.9
HR
0.20
BB
1.6
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
8.7
Floor
1.8
Ceiling
15.6
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Brady Singer.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-054.04136189L
2026-05-305.04342294L
2026-05-174.07516386L
2026-05-123.76312375L
2026-05-066.06416196

#22Seth Lugo(RHP)

Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers

Kauffman Stadium · Scheduled

GS
13
IP
76.0
W-L
2-4
ERA
3.91
WHIP
1.34
K/9
7.60
BB/9
2.80
K/BB
2.67

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.9
ER
2.4
H
4.1
HR
0.20
BB
1.0
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
8.5
Floor
1.8
Ceiling
15.2
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Seth Lugo.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-045.06514392
2026-05-306.06106190
2026-05-246.36323186W
2026-05-186.05225193L
2026-05-135.08524092L

#23Robbie Ray(RHP)

San Francisco Giants vs Washington Nationals

Oracle Park · Pre-Game

GS
13
IP
67.7
W-L
4-6
ERA
4.12
WHIP
1.40
K/9
8.40
BB/9
4.80
K/BB
1.75

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.0
ER
2.6
H
4.6
HR
0.30
BB
2.6
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
8.4
Floor
1.7
Ceiling
15.1
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Robbie Ray.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-055.02054097W
2026-05-314.05126096
2026-05-244.02473192
2026-05-184.311921284L
2026-05-134.77322295L

#24Max Scherzer(RHP)

Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies

Rogers Centre · Scheduled

GS
5
IP
18.7
W-L
1-3
ERA
9.64
WHIP
1.61
K/9
4.80
BB/9
3.90
K/BB
1.25

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.7
ER
2.3
H
4.0
HR
0.30
BB
1.4
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
8.2
Floor
1.7
Ceiling
14.7
Rest
53d
  • Extended rest (53 days) — rust risk

Last 2 Starts

Recent starts for Max Scherzer.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-04-186.05211074
2026-03-316.04114183W

#25Michael Lorenzen(RHP)

Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs

Coors Field · Scheduled

GS
14
IP
60.7
W-L
2-8
ERA
8.01
WHIP
1.98
K/9
7.10
BB/9
3.30
K/BB
2.18

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.8
ER
2.4
H
4.1
HR
0.20
BB
1.3
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
8.2
Floor
1.7
Ceiling
14.7
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Michael Lorenzen.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-033.310825185L
2026-05-293.75322070
2026-05-235.08515194L
2026-05-174.796352101L
2026-05-125.05225085L

#26Jake Bennett(RHP)

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Tropicana Field · In Progress

GS
2
IP
10.3
W-L
1-1
ERA
4.35
WHIP
1.45
K/9
3.50
BB/9
3.50
K/BB
1.00

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.3
ER
2.0
H
3.8
HR
0.20
BB
1.5
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
8.0
Floor
1.7
Ceiling
14.3
Rest
34d
  • Extended rest (34 days) — rust risk
  • low sample

Last 2 Starts

Recent starts for Jake Bennett.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-05-075.36421086L
2026-05-015.05123185W

#27Brandon Sproat(RHP)

Milwaukee Brewers vs Athletics

Las Vegas Ballpark · Scheduled

GS
12
IP
54.0
W-L
1-4
ERA
6.17
WHIP
1.56
K/9
9.00
BB/9
4.80
K/BB
1.86

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.6
ER
2.5
H
4.2
HR
0.20
BB
1.5
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
7.4
Floor
1.5
Ceiling
13.3
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Brandon Sproat.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-055.07322187
2026-05-304.36504195L
2026-05-244.04347089L
2026-05-184.73335178
2026-05-125.36326185W

#28Jared Jones(RHP)

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers

PNC Park · Scheduled

GS
2
IP
9.3
W-L
1-0
ERA
4.82
WHIP
1.61
K/9
9.60
BB/9
3.90
K/BB
2.50

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.9
ER
3.1
H
4.5
HR
0.40
BB
1.5
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
6.6
Floor
1.4
Ceiling
11.8
Rest
6d
  • Los Angeles Dodgers lineup has a 0.359 xwOBA vs RHP — tough matchup
  • Los Angeles Dodgers has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense
  • low sample

Last 2 Starts

Recent starts for Jared Jones.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-045.04024074W
2026-05-294.37526277

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