MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

June 4, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

1 game · 1 starter · Updated Jun 4, 11:13 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

One starter on the board today, so this is a thin slate — plan accordingly. Trevor Rogers draws an unfavorable matchup against Boston and his season ERA sits at 6.84, which makes the high-confidence tag on his projection a little surprising at first glance. The model has him at 3.9 innings and 3.7 projected strikeouts, which is a modest line even before accounting for the rough matchup. With just 2.0 projected earned runs in under four frames, the floor isn't a disaster, but the upside simply isn't there. No flags on workload or velocity, but one arm against a tough lineup isn't much of a slate.

#1Trevor Rogers(LHP)

vs Boston Red Sox

GS
10
IP
48.7
W-L
2-6
ERA
6.84
WHIP
1.56
K/9
7.00
BB/9
3.30
K/BB
2.11

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.7
ER
2.0
H
3.8
HR
0.20
BB
1.3
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
8.9
Floor
1.8
Ceiling
16.0
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Trevor Rogers.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-05-296.06413284
2026-05-244.74422190L
2026-05-183.78723088L
2026-05-124.06633273L
2026-04-195.06525295L

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