One starter on the board today, so calibrate expectations accordingly. Shane Baz draws Tampa Bay at Tropicana Field — a 5% run-suppression environment that flatters his projected 2.0 ER, but the matchup is flagged unfavorable and his 4.5 projected innings suggest a short leash, which caps his K upside at 4.3. That strikeout projection against a tough Rays lineup is modest, and his 4.16 season ERA isn't a number that inspires confidence at medium projection confidence. Thin slate — one arm, one game, real limitations on the ceiling here.