MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

May 20, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

1 game · 1 starter · Updated Jun 4, 11:19 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

One starter on the board today, so calibrate expectations accordingly. Shane Baz draws Tampa Bay at Tropicana Field — a 5% run-suppression environment that flatters his projected 2.0 ER, but the matchup is flagged unfavorable and his 4.5 projected innings suggest a short leash, which caps his K upside at 4.3. That strikeout projection against a tough Rays lineup is modest, and his 4.16 season ERA isn't a number that inspires confidence at medium projection confidence. Thin slate — one arm, one game, real limitations on the ceiling here.

#1Shane Baz(RHP)

Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays

Tropicana Field · Final

GS
12
IP
71.3
W-L
3-5
ERA
4.16
WHIP
1.36
K/9
7.90
BB/9
3.70
K/BB
2.17

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.3
ER
2.0
H
4.2
HR
0.20
BB
1.8
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
10.9
Floor
2.2
Ceiling
19.6
Rest
5d
  • Tropicana Field suppresses run scoring by 5%
  • Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Shane Baz.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-05-157.063341108L
2026-05-094.755351100L
2026-05-045.75554196L
2026-04-285.76116198W
2026-04-216.38424098

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