MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

May 6, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

1 game · 1 starter · Updated Jun 4, 11:18 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

One starter on the board today, and it's a tough one to get excited about. Patrick Corbin draws an unfavorable matchup against Tampa Bay at Tropicana Field, where the park suppresses run scoring by 5% and the total sits at 7.5 — both pointing toward a quiet environment that won't do him many favors. Projections have him at just 3.9 IP and 3.7 Ks, which is a shallow line even accounting for the dome keeping conditions neutral. Confidence is medium across the board. Sparse slate — one arm, limited leverage.

#1Patrick Corbin(LHP)

Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays

Tropicana Field · Final

GS: 10
IP: 49.3
W-L: 2-2
ERA: 4.20
WHIP: 1.42
K/9: 6.00
BB/9: 2.70
K/BB: 2.20

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 3.9
K: 3.7
ER: 1.4
H: 3.4
HR: 0.30
BB: 1.2
QS%: 15%
Win%: 55%
DK pts: 10.4
Floor: 2.1
Ceiling: 18.7
Rest: 5d

Tropicana Field suppresses run scoring by 5%
Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral
Game total of 7.5 suggests a lower-scoring environment

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Patrick Corbin.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-05-01	5.3	6	2	1	4	1	79	W
2026-04-26	4.7	6	2	2	4	0	84	—
2026-04-21	5.0	2	1	2	3	0	65	—
2026-04-16	5.7	4	1	1	6	0	79	—
2026-04-10	4.0	6	4	1	3	2	85	—

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