MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

April 25, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

1 game · 1 starter · Updated Jun 4, 11:28 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

One starter on the board today, so this is a thin read — plan accordingly. Trevor Rogers projects for 5.1 IP and 5.3 Ks against Boston in a neutral matchup, with a projected 2.0 ER line that sits well below his 6.84 season ERA — that gap is worth treating with some skepticism given the medium confidence tag. No workload or velocity flags are attached, which at least removes a downside concern. With nothing to stack against and a single arm carrying low-to-medium conviction, today's grid is more of a monitor situation than an action slate.

#1Trevor Rogers(LHP)

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Final

GS: 10
IP: 48.7
W-L: 2-6
ERA: 6.84
WHIP: 1.56
K/9: 7.00
BB/9: 3.30
K/BB: 2.11

Projection

Matchup · neutral

IP: 5.1
K: 5.3
ER: 2.0
H: 4.6
HR: 0.40
BB: 1.6
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 14.2
Floor: 2.9
Ceiling: 25.5
Rest: 6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Trevor Rogers.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-04-19	5.0	6	5	2	5	2	95	L
2026-04-14	4.7	9	4	1	6	1	99	L
2026-04-07	6.0	6	2	0	6	0	101	—
2026-04-01	6.0	6	2	1	3	0	91	W
2026-03-26	7.0	3	0	4	5	0	88	W

More for this date

DFS Picks Player Props Confirmed Lineups Matchups

Want the why behind a projection?

Ask The Almanac about an arm's arsenal, the opposing lineup's xwOBA vs hand, or recent velocity trends.

Start a conversation →