1 game · 2 starters · Updated Jun 4, 11:28 PM ET
Thin Monday slate — one game, two starters, both medium confidence. The counterintuitive read here is that 48°F at Fenway partially offsets the park's 6% run-scoring bump, which nudges both projected lines slightly more favorable than the raw matchup tag suggests. Between the two, Flaherty projects 4.6 Ks over 4.5 IP with 2.1 projected ER, but his 4.88 season ERA is hard to get past against Boston. Gray is the cleaner arm — 3.06 ERA on the year, same 2.1 projected ER — though his 3.9 projected IP is a short leash that caps the upside either way.
Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox
Fenway Park · Final
| Date | IP | H | ER | BB | K | HR | P | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 97 | — |
| 2026-04-09 | 5.7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 89 | — |
| 2026-03-28 | 4.3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 89 | L |
Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers
Fenway Park · Final
| Date | IP | H | ER | BB | K | HR | P | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | 4.0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 93 | L |
| 2026-04-08 | 6.3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 90 | W |
| 2026-04-03 | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 87 | W |
| 2026-03-28 | 4.0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 80 | — |
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