MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

April 9, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

2 games · 3 starters · Updated Jun 4, 11:29 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

Thin slate today — three starters, all flagged unfavorable matchups, all medium confidence. If you're forcing a pivot, Rhett Lowder has the clearest path: 4.5 projected innings leads the board and his 4.6 projected Ks edge out the field, even with a 5.4 season ERA that's hard to trust. Max Meyer's 2.81 ERA is the cleanest underlying number here, but 3.9 projected innings and only 4.1 Ks cap his ceiling. Flaherty carries an extra wrinkle — 12 days of extended rest flagged as a rust risk, 44°F conditions suppressing both offense and confidence in his projected 3.8 Ks over 3.9 innings.

#1Rhett Lowder(RHP)

Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins

loanDepot park · Final

GS
8
IP
38.3
W-L
3-3
ERA
5.40
WHIP
1.41
K/9
6.30
BB/9
4.20
K/BB
1.50

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.6
ER
2.1
H
4.3
HR
0.20
BB
1.6
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
11.4
Floor
2.4
Ceiling
20.4
Rest
5d
  • Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral

Last 2 Starts

Recent starts for Rhett Lowder.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-04-046.03024082W
2026-03-295.03225186

#2Max Meyer(RHP)

Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds

loanDepot park · Final

GS
13
IP
73.7
W-L
6-0
ERA
2.81
WHIP
1.05
K/9
9.90
BB/9
3.30
K/BB
3.00

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
4.1
ER
2.1
H
3.9
HR
0.20
BB
1.7
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
9.2
Floor
1.9
Ceiling
16.5
Rest
5d
  • Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral

Last 2 Starts

Recent starts for Max Meyer.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-04-044.73236189
2026-03-295.05325081

#3Jack Flaherty(RHP)

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins

Target Field · Final

GS
11
IP
48.0
W-L
1-6
ERA
4.88
WHIP
1.62
K/9
10.30
BB/9
5.10
K/BB
2.04

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.8
ER
2.1
H
3.9
HR
0.30
BB
2.4
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
8.2
Floor
1.7
Ceiling
14.7
Rest
12d
  • Cold conditions (44°F) suppress offense
  • Extended rest (12 days) — rust risk

Last 1 Start

Recent starts for Jack Flaherty.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-03-284.34242089L

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