MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

April 8, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

3 games · 4 starters · Updated Jul 19, 11:38 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

Four starters on the board today, and Cantillo is the clearest edge — 6.6 projected Ks over 6.2 innings against Kansas City, with Progressive Field suppressing run scoring by 9%, pushing his projected ER down to 1.2. Keller mirrors him in innings (6.2) and matchup grade with a favorable draw against San Diego, though his 6.2 projected Ks and 1.7 projected ER slot him a half-step behind Cantillo's ceiling. Both carry medium confidence, so don't treat either as a lock. Ragans gets low confidence despite the same park, and Drohan at 3.9 projected innings against Boston in an unfavorable matchup is a hard pass.

#1Joey Cantillo(LHP)

Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals

Progressive Field · Final

GS
20
IP
101.0
W-L
8-4
ERA
3.74
WHIP
1.40
K/9
9.40
BB/9
4.40
K/BB
2.14

Projection

Matchup · elite
IP
6.2
K
6.6
ER
1.3
H
4.7
HR
0.20
BB
2.9
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
19.8
Floor
4.1
Ceiling
35.5
Rest
5d
  • Progressive Field suppresses run scoring by 9%
  • low sample

Last 2 Starts

Recent starts for Joey Cantillo.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-04-035.34126082
2026-03-283.74235091

#2Mitch Keller(RHP)

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres

PNC Park · Final

GS
19
IP
103.3
W-L
6-7
ERA
5.14
WHIP
1.33
K/9
6.70
BB/9
3.00
K/BB
2.20

Projection

Matchup · elite
IP
6.2
K
6.2
ER
1.7
H
5.0
HR
0.10
BB
1.8
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
18.7
Floor
3.9
Ceiling
33.5
Rest
5d
  • low sample

Last 2 Starts

Recent starts for Mitch Keller.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-04-036.06244088W
2026-03-286.03003077

#3Cole Ragans(LHP)

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians

Progressive Field · Final

GS
8
IP
35.3
W-L
1-4
ERA
4.84
WHIP
1.42
K/9
11.50
BB/9
5.90
K/BB
1.96

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.1
K
5.6
ER
1.7
H
4.3
HR
0.10
BB
2.5
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
15.0
Floor
3.1
Ceiling
26.9
Rest
6d
  • Progressive Field suppresses run scoring by 9%
  • low sample

Last 2 Starts

Recent starts for Cole Ragans.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-04-026.04018089L
2026-03-274.06445390L

#4Shane Drohan(LHP)

Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox

Fenway Park · Final

GS
20
IP
76.0
W-L
5-3
ERA
3.20
WHIP
1.18
K/9
9.00
BB/9
2.50
K/BB
3.62

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.3
ER
2.3
H
4.0
HR
0.10
BB
3.7
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
6.0
Floor
1.2
Ceiling
10.8
Rest
5d
  • Fenway Park boosts run scoring by 6%
  • Cold conditions (40°F) suppress offense
  • low sample

Last 5 Starts

No completed starts on record.

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